Celta Vigo vs Alaves

ErgebnisLa Liga

La Liga
La Liga
22 Mar 2026
15:15
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

🏠Heimsieg
Endergebnis
3-4
Vorhergesagt: 2-1
GEWINNER
Alaves

Alaves

✈️Auswärts
Quoten
11.91
X3.30
24.50
🏟️Stadion
Estadio Abanca Balaídos
Siegwahrscheinlichkeiten
Heim52%
Unentschieden30%
Auswärts18%
🔮

Orakels Vision

The Oracle sees Celta Vigo's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Alaves, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Unser KI-Modell analysiert dieses La Liga-Spiel zwischen Celta Vigo und Alaves anhand historischer Leistungsdaten, aktueller Form, direkter Duelle und taktischer Indikatoren. Das Modell gibt Celta Vigo eine Siegwahrscheinlichkeit von 52%, ein Unentschieden von 30% und Alaves eine Siegwahrscheinlichkeit von 18%. Das wahrscheinlichste Ergebnis ist 2-1. Beide Teams treffen Wahrscheinlichkeit: 50%. Diese Prognose hat eine medium Konfidenz basierend auf der Qualität der verfügbaren Daten.

Celta Vigo 52%Unentschieden 30%Alaves 18%Vorhergesagtes Ergebnis: 2-1BTTS: 50%
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KI-Analyse und Vorhersage-Auswertung

Analyse & Schlüssel-Duelle

Celta Vigo

HEIM
Stärken
  • Strong recent form with a 3 unbeaten streak
  • Superior league position and goal difference
  • Historical dominance in head-to-head matches
Schwächen
  • Only one clean sheet in the last five matches
  • Inconsistent scoring with 1.4 avg goals per match
  • One key player doubtful (F. Jutgla)

Alaves

AUSWÄRTS
Stärken
  • No key injuries or suspensions
  • Recent draw streak showing resilience
  • Key player Carlos Vicente with high average rating
Schwächen
  • Poor recent form with no wins in last five
  • High goals conceded average of 1.8 per match
  • Lower league standing and negative goal difference

Schlüssel-Spieler-Duelle

⚔️Borja Iglesias vs Alaves defense: Celta Vigo's top scorer with 5 goals will test Alaves' weak defense, which has conceded 1.8 goals per match.
⚔️Carlos Vicente vs Celta Vigo midfield: Alaves' key player with an 8.2 rating could challenge Celta Vigo's midfield in a 3-4-3 setup.
⚔️Pablo Durán vs Alaves backline: Celta Vigo's second top scorer with 3 goals may exploit gaps in Alaves' 4-4-2 defensive organization.

Celta Vigo vs AlavesSpielanalyse

The Oracle sees Celta Vigo's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Alaves, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the structured data, Celta Vigo is predicted to win this match, with a home win probability of 52%, a draw at 30%, and an away win at 18%. This aligns with market probabilities and API-Football's predicted winner.

Form Analysis: Celta Vigo shows stronger recent form with a 3 unbeaten streak (DWLLW), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, and one clean sheet in the last five. Alaves has a weaker form (DLLDD), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, with no clean sheets and a current draw streak.

Key Factors: 1. Celta Vigo holds a significant advantage in league standings (6th place, 41 points, +7 GD) compared to Alaves (17th place, 28 points, -12 GD), with an 11-place and 13-point difference. 2. Head-to-head history strongly favors Celta Vigo with 7 wins in the last 5 meetings. 3. Home advantage is rated at 0.55, providing an edge for Celta Vigo, while injuries are minimal with only one doubtful player for Celta Vigo and none for Alaves.

Conclusion: The data consistently points to Celta Vigo as the favorite due to superior form, standings, historical dominance, and home advantage, with minimal injury concerns.

Win Probabilities: Celta Vigo: 52% · Draw: 30% · Alaves: 18%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Celta Vigo wins: 1 · Draws: 2 · Alaves wins: 7

Form: Celta Vigo: WLDDW · Alaves: DDLLD

  • Borja Iglesias vs Alaves defense: Celta Vigo's top scorer with 5 goals will test Alaves' weak defense, which has conceded 1.8 goals per match.
  • Carlos Vicente vs Celta Vigo midfield: Alaves' key player with an 8.2 rating could challenge Celta Vigo's midfield in a 3-4-3 setup.
  • Pablo Durán vs Alaves backline: Celta Vigo's second top scorer with 3 goals may exploit gaps in Alaves' 4-4-2 defensive organization.
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