Based on the structured data, New England Revolution is predicted to win this match, with a slight edge over CF Montreal. The market probabilities indicate a 49% chance for a home win, while the API-Football model predicts a 45% chance for a home win, both aligning in favor of New England Revolution. The data supports this outcome through form trends and key factors.
Form Analysis: New England Revolution has an average of 2.8 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded in their last 5 matches, though specific win rate and goals for/against are N/A, and they are on a 1-loss streak with 0 clean sheets. CF Montreal has scored 7 goals and conceded 14 in their last 5 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 2.8 goals conceded, and they are on a 2-loss streak with 1 clean sheet. CF Montreal is struggling with 2 consecutive losses and failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games.
Key Factors: 1. Form advantage for New England Revolution, as they have better offensive metrics (avg 2.8 goals scored vs. 1.4 for CF Montreal) and CF Montreal is on a worse losing streak. 2. Home advantage with a rating of 0.55, which may provide a slight boost. 3. Head-to-head history shows New England Revolution has won 4 of the last 5 meetings, indicating a psychological edge.
Conclusion: The data-driven verdict points to a New England Revolution victory, supported by superior form, home advantage, and historical dominance, despite minor weather impacts and injuries to both teams.