Padova vs Carrarese

Résultat • Serie B

Serie B
Serie B
10 Feb 2026
19:00
VAINQUEUR
Padova

Padova

🏠Victoire
Score final
1-0
Prédit: 1-2
Carrarese

Carrarese

✈️Extérieur
Cotes
12.55
X3.20
22.62
🏟️Stade
Stadio Euganeo
Probabilités de victoire
⭐Domicile36%
Match nul29%
Extérieur35%
🔮

Vision de l'Oracle

“The Oracle sees Padova's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Carrarese, but the hosts' quality should shine through.”

Notre modèle IA analyse cette rencontre Serie B entre Padova et Carrarese en utilisant les données de performance historiques, la forme actuelle, les confrontations directes et les indicateurs tactiques. Le modèle attribue à Padova une probabilité de victoire de 36%, une probabilité de match nul de 29% et à Carrarese une probabilité de victoire de 35%. Le score le plus probable est 1-2. Probabilité que les deux équipes marquent : 45%. Ce pronostic est évalué avec une confiance low basée sur la qualité et la cohérence des points de données disponibles.

Padova 36%Match nul 29%Carrarese 35%Score prédit: 1-2BTTS: 45%
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Analyse IA et Revue de Prediction

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Analyse et duels clés

Padova

DOMICILE
✓
Points forts
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Key scorer M. Bortolussi with 6 goals
  • 4-3-3 formation for attacking width
⚠
Points faibles
  • Poor defensive record with 2.0 goals conceded on average
  • Low clean sheet rate (1 in last 5 games)
  • Lower league position and goal difference

Carrarese

EXTÉRIEUR
✓
Points forts
  • Strong defense with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games
  • Better league position and goal difference
  • Good recent form with DLWWW
⚠
Points faibles
  • Away from home, though home advantage is minor
  • Key players may face pressure in an away setting
  • N/A

Duels de joueurs clés

⚔️M. Bortolussi vs Carrarese defense: Padova's top scorer against Carrarese's strong defensive unit with 3 clean sheets.
⚔️Nicolás Schiavi vs Padova defense: Carrarese's leading scorer facing Padova's vulnerable defense averaging 2.0 goals conceded.
⚔️Midfield battle: Padova's 4-3-3 midfield against Carrarese's 3-1-4-2 setup, crucial for controlling the game.

Padova vs Carrarese — Analyse du match

The Oracle sees Padova's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Carrarese, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, the match is highly balanced with a slight edge for Carrarese as the predicted winner, though probabilities are close.

Form Analysis: Padova's recent form is DLLLW with 1 clean sheet in the last 5 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Carrarese's form is DLWWW with 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, indicating stronger defensive momentum.

Key Factors: 1. Carrarese's defensive strength with 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games. 2. Carrarese's higher league position (9th vs 13th) and better goal difference (-1 vs -6). 3. The API-Football model predicts Carrarese as the winner with 45% probability for away win, aligning with market probabilities showing a close contest.

Conclusion: The data suggests a tight match with Carrarese having a slight advantage due to better form and defensive record, but home advantage for Padova keeps probabilities balanced.

Win Probabilities: Padova: 36% · Draw: 29% · Carrarese: 35%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Padova wins: 0 · Draws: 1 · Carrarese wins: 0

Form: Padova: WLLLD · Carrarese: WWWLD

  • M. Bortolussi vs Carrarese defense: Padova's top scorer against Carrarese's strong defensive unit with 3 clean sheets.
  • Nicolás Schiavi vs Padova defense: Carrarese's leading scorer facing Padova's vulnerable defense averaging 2.0 goals conceded.
  • Midfield battle: Padova's 4-3-3 midfield against Carrarese's 3-1-4-2 setup, crucial for controlling the game.

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