Alaves vs Girona

Résultat • La Liga

La Liga
La Liga
23 Feb 2026
20:00
MATCH NUL
Alaves

Alaves

🏠Victoire
Score final
2-2
Prédit: 2-1
MATCH NUL
Girona

Girona

✈️Extérieur
Cotes
12.35
X3.00
23.40
🏟️Stade
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Probabilités de victoire
Domicile40%
⭐Match nul32%
Extérieur28%
🔮

Vision de l'Oracle

“The Oracle sees Alaves's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Girona, but the hosts' quality should shine through.”

Notre modèle IA analyse cette rencontre La Liga entre Alaves et Girona en utilisant les données de performance historiques, la forme actuelle, les confrontations directes et les indicateurs tactiques. Le modèle attribue à Alaves une probabilité de victoire de 40%, une probabilité de match nul de 32% et à Girona une probabilité de victoire de 28%. Le score le plus probable est 2-1. Probabilité que les deux équipes marquent : 50%. Ce pronostic est évalué avec une confiance low basée sur la qualité et la cohérence des points de données disponibles.

Alaves 40%Match nul 32%Girona 28%Score prédit: 2-1BTTS: 50%
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Analyse IA et Revue de Prediction

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Analyse et duels clés

Alaves

DOMICILE
✓
Points forts
  • Home advantage with rating 0.55
  • Higher average goals scored (1.4 per match)
  • No significant injuries reported
⚠
Points faibles
  • Higher average goals conceded (1.6 per match)
  • 0 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • Lower league standing (15th place)

Girona

EXTÉRIEUR
✓
Points forts
  • Stronger defense with 0.8 average goals conceded
  • Recent win streak
  • Head-to-head advantage with 5 wins in last 5 meetings
⚠
Points faibles
  • Lower average goals scored (1.2 per match)
  • Away status reduces home advantage
  • Lower league standing (13th place)

Duels de joueurs clés

⚔️Carlos Vicente vs Girona defense: Vicente's scoring ability (1 goal, 1 assist) will test Girona's defensive organization.
⚔️Toni Martínez vs Girona midfield: Martínez's role in attack (1 goal) could challenge Girona's 4-2-3-1 setup.
⚔️Y. Asprilla vs Alaves defense: Asprilla as top scorer (1 goal) poses a threat to Alaves' vulnerable defense.

Alaves vs Girona — Analyse du match

The Oracle sees Alaves's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Girona, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the structured data, Alaves is predicted to win with a 40% probability, reflecting their home advantage and market consensus as the favorite, despite statistical models favoring Girona.

Form Analysis: Alaves has a form of DLWWL with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, showing offensive capability but defensive vulnerability. Girona has a form of WDLDW with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, indicating stronger defense but lower scoring. Alaves is on a 1-draw streak, while Girona is on a 1-win streak.

Key Factors: 1. Home advantage with a rating of 0.55 favors Alaves. 2. Market probabilities show Alaves as the favorite (40% win probability), aligning with no significant injuries. 3. Head-to-head history shows Girona has 5 wins to Alaves' 2 in last 5 meetings, but current data prioritizes recent form and odds.

Conclusion: The data supports Alaves as the most likely winner due to home advantage and market odds, with a close match expected given Girona's defensive strength and recent win streak.

Win Probabilities: Alaves: 40% · Draw: 32% · Girona: 28%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Alaves wins: 2 · Draws: 3 · Girona wins: 5

Form: Alaves: WWLLD · Girona: WDLDW

  • Carlos Vicente vs Girona defense: Vicente's scoring ability (1 goal, 1 assist) will test Girona's defensive organization.
  • Toni Martínez vs Girona midfield: Martínez's role in attack (1 goal) could challenge Girona's 4-2-3-1 setup.
  • Y. Asprilla vs Alaves defense: Asprilla as top scorer (1 goal) poses a threat to Alaves' vulnerable defense.

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