Based on the data, West Brom is predicted to win this match. The bookmaker-implied probabilities show a 56% chance for a home win, and the API-Football model, despite lower win probabilities, also predicts West Brom as the winner. West Brom's strong recent form and defensive solidity, combined with Watford's struggles, support this outcome.
Form Analysis: West Brom is on a 5-game unbeaten streak (WDDDW), with 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 goals conceded per game. In contrast, Watford is on a 2-game losing streak (LLDLD), averaging 1.4 goals conceded per game and failing to score in 3 of their last 5 matches. This stark contrast in form heavily favors West Brom.
Key Factors: 1) West Brom's defensive strength, with 4 clean sheets in 5 games, makes them difficult to break down. 2) Watford's poor attacking form, failing to score in 60% of recent matches, reduces their threat. 3) The head-to-head history shows Watford has won 4 of the last 5 meetings, but recent form overrides this historical edge for this match.
Conclusion: The data consistently points to a West Brom victory, supported by odds, form, and defensive metrics, with a high confidence level due to alignment between market and model predictions.
