Based on the data, Saint Etienne is favored to win this Ligue 2 clash against Rodez, with odds-implied probability of 43% and API model also predicting an away win.
Form Analysis: Rodez comes into this match on a 5-game unbeaten streak (DWWDD), while Saint Etienne has lost two consecutive matches (LLWDW). However, Saint Etienne's overall form includes wins against strong opponents, and they sit 3rd in the table with 57 points, 5 points ahead of 6th-placed Rodez.
Key Factors: The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced with 2 wins each and 3 draws, but Saint Etienne holds a significant advantage in overall team strength (52.8% vs 47.2% per API comparison). Additionally, Saint Etienne's superior goal difference (+17 vs +4) and higher league position suggest they are the stronger side despite recent losses.
Conclusion: While Rodez has momentum, Saint Etienne's quality and league standing make them the likely winners. The draw is a distinct possibility given the balanced H2H, but the away win is the most probable outcome.
