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  1. Home
  2. Liga Profesional
  3. Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente

Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente

Result • Liga Profesional·Deportivo Riestra·Independiente

Liga Profesional
Liga Profesional
Apr 24, 2026
20:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Deportivo Riestra

Deportivo Riestra

Home
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 0-1
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 0-1
Odds
13.70
X2.90
22.25
Stadium
Estadio Guillermo Laza
high Confidence
Independiente

Independiente

Away
Odds
13.70
X2.90
22.25
Stadium
Estadio Guillermo Laza
Win Probabilities
21%
Deportivo Riestra
36%
Draw
43%
Independiente
Home3.7021%
Draw2.9036%
Away2.2543%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a clear path for Independiente, as the stars align with their strong form and Riestra's goal drought. A victory for the away side is written in the numbers.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga Profesional fixture between Deportivo Riestra and Independiente using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Deportivo Riestra a 21% win probability, a 36% chance of a draw, and Independiente a 43% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-1. Both teams to score probability: 35%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 35%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: P. Ramirez
    4'
    Yellow Card: P. RamirezDeportivo Riestra
  2. Goal: M. Bracamonte
    13'
    Goal: M. BracamonteDeportivo Riestra
  3. 18'
    Yellow Card: M. Perez CurciIndependiente
    Yellow Card: M. Perez Curci
  4. Yellow Card: J. Randazzo
    41'
    Yellow Card: J. RandazzoDeportivo Riestra
  5. Yellow Card: J. Goitia
    49'
    Yellow Card: J. GoitiaDeportivo Riestra
  6. 63'
    Yellow Card: I. MarconeIndependiente
    Yellow Card: I. Marcone
  7. 66'
    Substitution: F. TemponeIndependiente · Out: S. Montiel
    Substitution: F. TemponeOut: S. Montiel
  8. 66'
    Substitution: L. MillanIndependiente · Out: M. Perez Curci
    Substitution: L. MillanOut: M. Perez Curci
  9. Substitution: N. WatsonOut: M. Bracamonte
    68'
    Substitution: N. WatsonDeportivo Riestra · Out: M. Bracamonte
  10. Yellow Card: J. Herrera
    68'
    Yellow Card: J. HerreraDeportivo Riestra
  11. Substitution: G. ObredorOut: J. Herrera
    68'
    Substitution: G. ObredorDeportivo Riestra · Out: J. Herrera
  12. Goal: P. Ramirez
    80'
    Goal: P. RamirezDeportivo Riestra
  13. Substitution: R. SayavedraOut: P. Ramirez
    83'
    Substitution: R. SayavedraDeportivo Riestra · Out: P. Ramirez
  14. Substitution: G. FloresOut: M. Smarra
    83'
    Substitution: G. FloresDeportivo Riestra · Out: M. Smarra
  15. 85'
    Yellow Card: F. ZabalaIndependiente
    Yellow Card: F. Zabala
  16. Yellow Card: G. Flores
    85'
    Yellow Card: G. FloresDeportivo Riestra
  17. 87'
    Substitution: F. ValdezIndependiente · Out: M. Abaldo
    Substitution: F. ValdezOut: M. Abaldo
  18. 87'
    Substitution: M. ValenzuelaIndependiente · Out: F. Zabala
    Substitution: M. ValenzuelaOut: F. Zabala
  19. Substitution: A. StringaOut: A. Alonso
    90+2'
    Substitution: A. StringaDeportivo Riestra · Out: A. Alonso
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Riestra defense vs Independiente attack: The home side's backline will be tested by a free-scoring away attack.
2Midfield control: Independiente's midfield trio should outplay Riestra's five-man midfield due to superior quality.
3Set pieces: Both teams have similar defensive records, but Independiente's height advantage could be decisive.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Deportivo Riestra

  • Defensive organization in 5-4-1 formation
  • Home advantage
  • Severe lack of goals (failed to score in 5 of last 5)
  • Poor form (3 consecutive losses)

Independiente

  • Strong attacking form (2.0 goals per game)
  • Excellent recent form (4 unbeaten)
  • Occasional defensive lapses (conceded 1.2 per game)
  • Inconsistent results in last 5 (WDWLL)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
43%
API-Football
45%
44%
Independiente164144

Moderate agreement on away win (44%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the data, Independiente is the clear favorite to win. Bookmaker odds imply a 42% chance for an away win, while the API-Football model also favors Independiente with a 45% probability and a predicted winner of Independiente. The market and model agree, giving high confidence.

Form Analysis: Deportivo Riestra is in terrible form with 3 consecutive losses and has failed to score in 5 of their last 5 games. In contrast, Independiente has a 4-match unbeaten streak and averages 2.0 goals scored per game. The form comparison heavily favors Independiente.

Key Factors: 1) Deportivo Riestra's poor form and lack of goals. 2) Independiente's strong attack and momentum. 3) The league standings show a 14-point gap and 9-place difference, with Independiente 6th and Riestra 15th.

Conclusion: All data points to an Independiente victory. The only slight concern is the head-to-head record, which is balanced, but current form and overall strength strongly favor the away side.

Statistical ContextIndependiente

Combo Double chance : draw or Independiente and -3.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Deportivo RiestraIndependiente
28%Strength72%
13%Attacking Potential88%
46%Defensive Potential54%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
36%H2H Strength64%
33%Goals H2H67%
28%Wins the Game72%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Deportivo RiestraInjuries · IndependienteLive scores →

Statistical Context

Deportivo Riestra

DLDDD
  • DSep 19, 26A · Gimnasia M.0-0
  • LSep 14, 26H · Lanus0-3
  • DSep 4, 26A · Platense1-1
  • DAug 29, 26H · Velez Sarsfield1-1
  • DAug 23, 26A · Huracan0-0

Independiente

LWDWL
  • LOct 2, 26H · Instituto Cordoba1-4
  • WSep 19, 26A · Union Santa Fe1-2
  • DSep 13, 26H · San Lorenzo1-1
  • WSep 6, 26A · Central Cordoba de Santiago0-1
  • LAug 30, 26H · Gimnasia M.0-3

Head to Head

1
Deportivo Riestra
1
Draws
2
Independiente
  • Nov 10, 25Deportivo Riestra – Independiente0-1
  • Apr 28, 25Independiente – Deportivo Riestra0-0
  • Oct 6, 24Independiente – Deportivo Riestra3-1
  • Mar 15, 24Deportivo Riestra – Independiente1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Deportivo RiestraIndependiente
Played2627
Goals Scored1335
Goals Conceded2231
Avg Scored0.51.3
Avg Conceded0.81.1
Clean Sheets108

Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a clear path for Independiente, as the stars align with their strong form and Riestra's goal drought. A victory for the away side is written in the numbers.

Based on the data, Independiente is the clear favorite to win. Bookmaker odds imply a 42% chance for an away win, while the API-Football model also favors Independiente with a 45% probability and a predicted winner of Independiente. The market and model agree, giving high confidence.

Form Analysis: Deportivo Riestra is in terrible form with 3 consecutive losses and has failed to score in 5 of their last 5 games. In contrast, Independiente has a 4-match unbeaten streak and averages 2.0 goals scored per game. The form comparison heavily favors Independiente.

Key Factors: 1) Deportivo Riestra's poor form and lack of goals. 2) Independiente's strong attack and momentum. 3) The league standings show a 14-point gap and 9-place difference, with Independiente 6th and Riestra 15th.

Conclusion: All data points to an Independiente victory. The only slight concern is the head-to-head record, which is balanced, but current form and overall strength strongly favor the away side.

Win Probabilities: Deportivo Riestra: 21% · Draw: 36% · Independiente: 43%

Predicted Score: 0-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 35%

H2H: Deportivo Riestra wins: 1 · Draws: 1 · Independiente wins: 2

Form (latest first): Deportivo Riestra: DLDDD · Independiente: LWDWL

  • Riestra defense vs Independiente attack: The home side's backline will be tested by a free-scoring away attack.
  • Midfield control: Independiente's midfield trio should outplay Riestra's five-man midfield due to superior quality.
  • Set pieces: Both teams have similar defensive records, but Independiente's height advantage could be decisive.

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Liga Profesional

Liga Profesional

Argentina15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Talleres Cordoba
Oct 420:00
Belgrano Cordoba
13.0333%
X3.1332%
22.8635%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Argentinos JRS
Oct 422:15
Tigre
11.9651%
X3.0333%
26.2516%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Oct 500:30
Racing Club
14.7621%
X2.8635%
22.2744%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Deportivo Riestra
Oct 519:45
Central Cordoba de Santiago
12.0050%
X3.0333%
25.8817%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Velez Sarsfield
Oct 522:00
Platense
12.0449%
X2.9434%
25.8817%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Estudiantes L.P.
Oct 522:00
Gimnasia M.
11.8953%
X3.2331%
26.2516%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Banfield
Oct 600:15
Rosario Central
13.5728%
X3.2331%
22.4441%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Gimnasia L.P.
Oct 1120:00
Atletico Tucuman
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
River Plate
Oct 1120:00
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Early projection
11.6162%
X5.2619%
25.2619%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Racing Club
Oct 1120:00
Belgrano Cordoba
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Rosario Central
Oct 1120:00
Independ. Rivadavia
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Union Santa Fe
Oct 1120:00
Defensa Y Justicia
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Lanus
Oct 1120:00
Velez Sarsfield
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Tigre
Oct 1120:00
Banfield
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
Liga ProfesionalArgentina
Talleres Cordoba
Oct 1120:00
Independiente
Early projection
14.1724%
X5.0020%
21.7956%

Betting Tips

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