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  1. Home
  2. Jupiler Pro League
  3. Dender vs RAAL La Louvière

Dender vs RAAL La Louvière

Result • Jupiler Pro League·Dender·RAAL La Louvière

Jupiler Pro League
Jupiler Pro League
May 3, 2026
17:15
medium Confidence
WINNER
Dender

Dender

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.60
X3.50
22.50
Stadium
Dender Football Complex
medium Confidence
RAAL La Louvière

RAAL La Louvière

Away
Odds
12.60
X3.50
22.50
Stadium
Dender Football Complex
Win Probabilities
39%
Dender
32%
Draw
29%
RAAL La Louvière
Home2.6039%
Draw3.5032%
Away2.5029%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a tight contest where Dender's home spirit may overcome RAAL's recent struggles. Ancient wisdom suggests a low-scoring affair with the hosts holding a slight edge.

Our AI model analyzes this Jupiler Pro League fixture between Dender and RAAL La Louvière using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Dender a 39% win probability, a 32% chance of a draw, and RAAL La Louvière a 29% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. 31'
    Goal: P. M. FallRAAL La Louvière
    Goal: P. M. Fall
  2. Substitution: B. NsimbaOut: A. Jahanbakhsh
    32'
    Substitution: B. NsimbaDender · Out: A. Jahanbakhsh
  3. Goal: M. BerteAssist: D. Acquah
    34'
    Goal: M. BerteDender · Assist: D. Acquah
  4. Penalty: B. Nsimba (Penalty)
    44'
    Penalty: B. Nsimba (Penalty)Dender
  5. 46'
    Substitution: J. AfriyieRAAL La Louvière · Out: B. Soumare
    Substitution: J. AfriyieOut: B. Soumare
  6. 46'
    Substitution: M. AshimeruRAAL La Louvière · Out: A. Beka Beka
    Substitution: M. AshimeruOut: A. Beka Beka
  7. Substitution: R. OratmangoenOut: D. Acquah
    46'
    Substitution: R. OratmangoenDender · Out: D. Acquah
  8. 46'
    Yellow Card: N. NsingiRAAL La Louvière
    Yellow Card: N. Nsingi
  9. Yellow Card: R. Oratmangoen
    53'
    Yellow Card: R. OratmangoenDender
  10. Substitution: M. SambuOut: L. De Fougerolles
    60'
    Substitution: M. SambuDender · Out: L. De Fougerolles
  11. 61'
    Substitution: S. GueuletteRAAL La Louvière · Out: N. Nsingi
    Substitution: S. GueuletteOut: N. Nsingi
  12. 72'
    Substitution: T. LutondaRAAL La Louvière · Out: J. Liongola
    Substitution: T. LutondaOut: J. Liongola
  13. Substitution: R. KvetOut: M. Viltard
    75'
    Substitution: R. KvetDender · Out: M. Viltard
  14. Substitution: A. DaaliOut: B. Nsimba
    76'
    Substitution: A. DaaliDender · Out: B. Nsimba
  15. Red Card: B. De Kerf
    88'
    Red Card: B. De KerfDender
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1B. Nsimba vs RAAL defense: Dender's top scorer will be key to breaking down a struggling away defense.
2J. Liongola vs Dender defense: RAAL's main attacking threat must step up to end their goal drought.
3Midfield battle: Both teams will compete for control in the center of the park, with Dender's home advantage potentially tipping the balance.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Dender

  • Home advantage
  • Better recent attacking form
  • Poor overall form (LLDDL)
  • Low league position (16th)

RAAL La Louvière

  • Higher league position (15th)
  • Better overall goal difference (-7)
  • 5-match losing streak
  • Failed to score in 4 of last 5 games

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
39%
API-Football
45%
42%
Dender423920

Moderate agreement on home win (42%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

This match between Dender and RAAL La Louvière is expected to be closely contested, with a slight edge to the home side based on recent form and statistical models.

Form Analysis: Dender have shown poor form recently (LLDDL) but have a slightly better attacking output (1.2 goals per game) compared to RAAL La Louvière (0.2 goals per game). RAAL are on a 5-match losing streak and have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 games, indicating a severe lack of confidence in attack.

Key Factors: 1) RAAL La Louvière's terrible run of form (5 consecutive losses) is a major concern. 2) Dender have a stronger home advantage and better defensive stats (58% defensive strength per API comparison). 3) Head-to-head history slightly favors Dender (2 wins in last 5 meetings).

Conclusion: While the odds suggest a very tight match, Dender's home advantage and RAAL's poor form give the hosts a slight advantage. The most likely outcome is a low-scoring win for Dender or a draw.

Statistical ContextDender

Double chance : Dender or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
DenderRAAL La Louvière
54%Strength45%
50%Attacking Potential50%
58%Defensive Potential42%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
64%H2H Strength36%
43%Goals H2H57%
54%Wins the Game45%
Head-to-head →Injuries · DenderInjuries · RAAL La Louvière

Statistical Context

Dender

WDLLL
  • WSep 11, 26A · KAA Gent II0-1
  • DMay 23, 26H · Lommel United0-0
  • LMay 17, 26A · Lommel United3-2
  • LMay 9, 26A · Zulte Waregem2-1
  • LApr 24, 26A · Cercle Brugge2-1

RAAL La Louvière

WLDLL
  • WSep 13, 26H · Kortrijk3-0
  • LSep 5, 26A · St. Truiden4-0
  • DAug 29, 26H · KV Mechelen2-2
  • LAug 21, 26A · Standard Liege2-0
  • LAug 16, 26H · Gent1-2

Head to Head

2
Dender
1
Draws
1
RAAL La Louvière
  • Apr 6, 26RAAL La Louvière – Dender0-1
  • Dec 5, 25RAAL La Louvière – Dender1-2
  • Sep 28, 25Dender – RAAL La Louvière0-0
  • Jul 20, 24Dender – RAAL La Louvière0-3

Season Statistics — 2025 · 2026

DenderRAAL La Louvière
Played375
Goals Scored334
Goals Conceded6512
Avg Scored0.90.8
Avg Conceded1.82.4
Clean Sheets60

Dender vs RAAL La Louvière — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a tight contest where Dender's home spirit may overcome RAAL's recent struggles. Ancient wisdom suggests a low-scoring affair with the hosts holding a slight edge.

This match between Dender and RAAL La Louvière is expected to be closely contested, with a slight edge to the home side based on recent form and statistical models.

Form Analysis: Dender have shown poor form recently (LLDDL) but have a slightly better attacking output (1.2 goals per game) compared to RAAL La Louvière (0.2 goals per game). RAAL are on a 5-match losing streak and have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 games, indicating a severe lack of confidence in attack.

Key Factors: 1) RAAL La Louvière's terrible run of form (5 consecutive losses) is a major concern. 2) Dender have a stronger home advantage and better defensive stats (58% defensive strength per API comparison). 3) Head-to-head history slightly favors Dender (2 wins in last 5 meetings).

Conclusion: While the odds suggest a very tight match, Dender's home advantage and RAAL's poor form give the hosts a slight advantage. The most likely outcome is a low-scoring win for Dender or a draw.

Win Probabilities: Dender: 39% · Draw: 32% · RAAL La Louvière: 29%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Dender wins: 2 · Draws: 1 · RAAL La Louvière wins: 1

Form (latest first): Dender: WDLLL · RAAL La Louvière: WLDLL

  • B. Nsimba vs RAAL defense: Dender's top scorer will be key to breaking down a struggling away defense.
  • J. Liongola vs Dender defense: RAAL's main attacking threat must step up to end their goal drought.
  • Midfield battle: Both teams will compete for control in the center of the park, with Dender's home advantage potentially tipping the balance.

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Jupiler Pro League

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Gent
Sep 1818:45
Standard Liege
12.0449%
X3.3330%
24.7621%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
OH Leuven
Sep 1914:00
RAAL La Louvière
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Charleroi
Sep 1916:15
Cercle Brugge
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Lommel United
Sep 1918:45
KV Mechelen
12.2245%
X3.2331%
24.1724%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Anderlecht
Sep 1918:45
Zulte Waregem
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Antwerp
Sep 2011:30
Union St. Gilloise
16.6715%
X3.7027%
21.7258%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
St. Truiden
Sep 2014:00
KVC Westerlo
11.5963%
X4.3523%
27.1414%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Club Brugge KV
Sep 2016:30
Genk
Early projection
11.4370%
X6.2516%
27.1414%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Kortrijk
Sep 2017:15
SK Beveren
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
SK Beveren
Oct 918:45
Lommel United
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Cercle Brugge
Oct 1014:00
Anderlecht
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
RAAL La Louvière
Oct 1016:15
Club Brugge KV
Early projection
116.676%
X8.3312%
21.2282%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Zulte Waregem
Oct 1018:45
Gent
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Genk
Oct 1018:45
Kortrijk
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Standard Liege
Oct 1111:30
Charleroi
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%

Betting Tips

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