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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. FA Cup
  3. Liverpool vs Brighton

Liverpool vs Brighton

Result • FA Cup·Liverpool·Brighton

FA Cup
FA Cup
Feb 14, 2026
20:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Liverpool

Liverpool

Home
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.55
X4.50
25.00
Stadium
Anfield
medium Confidence
Brighton

Brighton

Away
Odds
11.55
X4.50
25.00
Stadium
Anfield
Win Probabilities
60%
Liverpool
21%
Draw
19%
Brighton
Home1.5560%
Draw4.5021%
Away5.0019%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Liverpool's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Brighton, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this FA Cup fixture between Liverpool and Brighton using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Liverpool a 60% win probability, a 21% chance of a draw, and Brighton a 19% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. 15'
    Yellow Card: L. DunkBrighton
    Yellow Card: L. Dunk
  2. 33'
    Yellow Card: D. GomezBrighton
    Yellow Card: D. Gomez
  3. 41'
    Yellow Card: C. BalebaBrighton
    Yellow Card: C. Baleba
  4. Goal: C. JonesAssist: M. Kerkez
    42'
    Goal: C. JonesLiverpool · Assist: M. Kerkez
  5. Goal: D. SzoboszlaiAssist: M. Salah
    56'
    Goal: D. SzoboszlaiLiverpool · Assist: M. Salah
  6. 62'
    Substitution: Y. MintehBrighton · Out: H. Howell
    Substitution: Y. MintehOut: H. Howell
  7. 62'
    Substitution: K. MitomaBrighton · Out: C. Baleba
    Substitution: K. MitomaOut: C. Baleba
  8. 62'
    Substitution: G. RutterBrighton · Out: D. Gomez
    Substitution: G. RutterOut: D. Gomez
  9. 67'
    Yellow Card: J. P. van HeckeBrighton
    Yellow Card: J. P. van Hecke
  10. Penalty: M. Salah (Penalty)
    68'
    Penalty: M. Salah (Penalty)Liverpool
  11. Substitution: J. GomezOut: F. Wirtz
    71'
    Substitution: J. GomezLiverpool · Out: F. Wirtz
  12. 72'
    Substitution: O. BoscagliBrighton · Out: J. P. van Hecke
    Substitution: O. BoscagliOut: J. P. van Hecke
  13. Substitution: R. NgumohaOut: M. Salah
    77'
    Substitution: R. NgumohaLiverpool · Out: M. Salah
  14. Substitution: H. EkitikeOut: F. Chiesa
    77'
    Substitution: H. EkitikeLiverpool · Out: F. Chiesa
  15. 81'
    Substitution: M. WiefferBrighton · Out: J. Hinshelwood
    Substitution: M. WiefferOut: J. Hinshelwood
  16. Substitution: T. NyoniOut: C. Jones
    89'
    Substitution: T. NyoniLiverpool · Out: C. Jones
  17. Substitution: C. RamsayOut: C. Gakpo
    89'
    Substitution: C. RamsayLiverpool · Out: C. Gakpo
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1C. Gakpo vs Brighton's defense: Gakpo's goal-scoring and assist record could test Brighton's defensive organization.
2D. Welbeck vs Liverpool's defense: Welbeck's 7 goals this season pose a threat, but Liverpool's defense has shown resilience with clean sheets.
3D. Szoboszlai vs Brighton's midfield: Szoboszlai's high average rating and playmaking skills could dominate the midfield battle.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Liverpool

  • Strong recent form with high goal-scoring average
  • Home advantage at Anfield with a rating of 0.55
  • Two players out with injuries, though doubtful
  • Average goals conceded of 1.2 in last 5 matches

Brighton

  • Defensive organization with average goals conceded of 1.2
  • Key player D. Welbeck as top scorer with 7 goals
  • Poor recent form with a 2-loss streak and low goal-scoring average
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games and 0 clean sheets
Head-to-head →Injuries · LiverpoolInjuries · BrightonLive scores →

Statistical Context

Liverpool

WWDWW
  • WSep 20, 26A · Bournemouth0-1
  • WSep 15, 26H · Tottenham3-1
  • DSep 12, 26H · Fulham0-0
  • WSep 9, 26H · Atletico Madrid2-1
  • WSep 4, 26A · Ipswich0-2

Brighton

WWWDL
  • WSep 19, 26H · Arsenal3-0
  • WSep 16, 26A · Manchester United2-3
  • WSep 13, 26A · Coventry0-5
  • DSep 5, 26H · Leeds1-1
  • LAug 30, 26A · Chelsea4-3

Head to Head

5
Liverpool
1
Draws
4
Brighton
  • Mar 21, 26Brighton – Liverpool2-1
  • Feb 14, 26Liverpool – Brighton3-0
  • Dec 13, 25Liverpool – Brighton2-0
  • May 19, 25Brighton – Liverpool3-2
  • Nov 2, 24Liverpool – Brighton2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

LiverpoolBrighton
Played54
Goals Scored713
Goals Conceded45
Avg Scored1.43.3
Avg Conceded0.81.3
Clean Sheets32

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

LiverpoolBrighton
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored4/10—
Clean Sheets3/10—

Liverpool vs Brighton — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Liverpool's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Brighton, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the structured data, Liverpool is predicted to win this FA Cup match against Brighton at Anfield. The market probabilities show a 60% chance for a home win, aligning with Liverpool's status as the favorite, while the API-Football model also predicts Liverpool as the winner, reinforcing this outcome despite some probability differences.

Form Analysis: Liverpool's recent form is strong with a WWWLW record in their last five matches, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded, and they are on a 1-win streak with 2 clean sheets. In contrast, Brighton is struggling with a LLDLD record, averaging only 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded, on a 2-loss streak, and has failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games, with 0 clean sheets.

Key Factors: 1. Liverpool's superior form and goal-scoring ability compared to Brighton's poor recent performance. 2. Home advantage at Anfield with a rating of 0.55, which typically boosts Liverpool's chances. 3. Head-to-head history shows Liverpool has won 5 of the last 5 meetings, indicating a psychological edge. Injuries are minimal for both teams, with 2 players each out but listed as doubtful, so impact is limited.

Conclusion: The data consistently points to a Liverpool victory, supported by bookmaker odds, statistical models, form trends, and historical dominance, making it the most likely outcome.

Win Probabilities: Liverpool: 60% · Draw: 21% · Brighton: 19%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Liverpool wins: 5 · Draws: 1 · Brighton wins: 4

Form (latest first): Liverpool: WWDWW · Brighton: WWWDL

  • C. Gakpo vs Brighton's defense: Gakpo's goal-scoring and assist record could test Brighton's defensive organization.
  • D. Welbeck vs Liverpool's defense: Welbeck's 7 goals this season pose a threat, but Liverpool's defense has shown resilience with clean sheets.
  • D. Szoboszlai vs Brighton's midfield: Szoboszlai's high average rating and playmaking skills could dominate the midfield battle.

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Betting Tips

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