Based on the data, a draw or away win is most likely, with Larisa slightly favored. The market probabilities are nearly equal (33% home, 33% draw, 34% away), while the API-Football model strongly favors Larisa or a draw (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Panserraikos has better recent form and defense, but Larisa has a stronger H2H record and slightly better standings, leading to a close match.
Form Analysis: Panserraikos is on a 5-game unbeaten streak (DWDDW) with 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.2 conceded. Larisa is on a 2-game losing streak (LLDDL), averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, with only 1 clean sheet in the last 5. Both teams have struggled to score, with Panserraikos failing to score in 3 of last 5 and Larisa in 2 of last 5.
Key Factors: 1) Larisa's H2H advantage (62% strength vs. 38% for Panserraikos in last 5 meetings). 2) Panserraikos' strong defensive form (4 clean sheets in 5 games). 3) The API-Football model predicts a draw or Larisa win with high probability (90% combined).
Conclusion: The data suggests a tight match leaning towards a draw or Larisa victory, supported by H2H history and statistical modeling, despite Panserraikos' recent defensive solidity.
