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  1. Home
  2. Serie B
  3. Cesena vs Mantova

Cesena vs Mantova

Result • Serie B·Cesena·Mantova

Serie B
Serie B
Sep 6, 2026
13:00
medium Confidence
DRAW
Cesena

Cesena

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
12.62
X3.10
22.50
Stadium
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
medium Confidence
DRAW
Mantova

Mantova

Away
Odds
12.62
X3.10
22.50
Stadium
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
Win Probabilities
28%
Cesena
32%
Draw
40%
Mantova
Home2.6228%
Draw3.1032%
Away2.5040%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Mantova are favored at 40% to win away at Cesena. The draw is rated 32% and the home win 28%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

Our AI model analyzes this Serie B fixture between Cesena and Mantova using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Cesena a 28% win probability, a 32% chance of a draw, and Mantova a 40% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 58%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 58%

Match Events

  1. 19'
    Yellow Card: Rachid KoudaMantova
    Yellow Card: Rachid Kouda
  2. 31'
    Goal: Francesco RuoccoMantova
    Goal: Francesco Ruocco
  3. 45'
    Substitution: Ettore GliozziMantova · Out: Vanja Vlahovic
    Substitution: Ettore GliozziOut: Vanja Vlahovic
  4. Substitution: Gianluca FrabottaOut: Antonio David
    45'
    Substitution: Gianluca FrabottaCesena · Out: Antonio David
  5. Substitution: Luca D'AndreaOut: X. Druiventak
    55'
    Substitution: Luca D'AndreaCesena · Out: X. Druiventak
  6. 58'
    Substitution: David·WieserMantova · Out: Lorenzo Ignacchiti
    Substitution: David·WieserOut: Lorenzo Ignacchiti
  7. 58'
    Substitution: Davide BragantiniMantova · Out: Rares Ilie
    Substitution: Davide BragantiniOut: Rares Ilie
  8. 58'
    Yellow Card: Francesco ModestoMantova
    Yellow Card: Francesco Modesto
  9. Substitution: Alessandro DebenedettiOut: Marco Dalla Vecchia
    68'
    Substitution: Alessandro DebenedettiCesena · Out: Marco Dalla Vecchia
  10. 76'
    Substitution: Tommaso Del LungoMantova · Out: Rachid Kouda
    Substitution: Tommaso Del LungoOut: Rachid Kouda
  11. 76'
    Substitution: Flavio PaolettiMantova · Out: Alessio Castellini
    Substitution: Flavio PaolettiOut: Alessio Castellini
  12. Goal: Cristian ShpendiAssist: Luca D'Andrea
    77'
    Goal: Cristian ShpendiCesena · Assist: Luca D'Andrea
  13. Substitution: Massimiliano MangravitiOut: Mihajlo Ilic
    80'
    Substitution: Massimiliano MangravitiCesena · Out: Mihajlo Ilic
  14. Substitution: Matteo GuidiOut: Antonio Fiori
    80'
    Substitution: Matteo GuidiCesena · Out: Antonio Fiori
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1C. Shpendi vs B. Tomašević: Cesena's main attacking threat will test Mantova's central defender, with his movement and finishing ability crucial to breaking down a solid backline.
2D. Bisoli vs L. Ignacchiti: The midfield battle will be key, with Bisoli's energy and passing range looking to control the tempo against Ignacchiti's defensive screening.
3A. Fiori vs Jonathan Silva: The duel on the flank could decide the match, as Fiori's attacking runs from full-back will be checked by Silva's defensive discipline.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Cesena

  • Solid defensive record with two clean sheets in recent matches
  • Historical dominance in head-to-head encounters
  • Inconsistent goal-scoring, failing to score in two of the last five games
  • Lower attacking output compared to the opposition

Mantova

  • Perfect winning start to the season with two victories
  • Strong attacking form, averaging 1.8 goals per game
  • Conceded in every match so far, showing defensive vulnerabilities
  • Away from home, they may face a tougher test

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
40%
API-Football
45%
43%
Mantova193943

Moderate agreement on away win (43%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

This Serie B clash at the Stadio Dino Manuzzi pits Cesena against Mantova in a match that appears extremely tight, with the bookmaker-implied probabilities giving each side a near-identical chance of victory. The market suggests a contest that could go either way, with a slight edge to the visitors.

Form Analysis: Mantova arrive in outstanding form, having won both of their opening matches, scoring five goals and conceding just two. Their attacking output has been impressive, averaging 1.8 goals per game. Cesena, meanwhile, have drawn one and won one, with a more modest goal tally of three scored and two conceded. While Cesena have kept two clean sheets in their last five, they have also failed to score in two of those matches, indicating a potential lack of cutting edge.

Key Factors: The away side's superior momentum and attacking threat are significant. Mantova's 100% win rate in their last five games contrasts with Cesena's 50%. Additionally, the head-to-head record shows Cesena have historically dominated with six wins to Mantova's three, but recent form suggests the visitors are the more dangerous side. The absence of any significant injuries for either team means both can field their strongest available lineups.

Conclusion: The data points to a closely fought encounter, but Mantova's current form and superior attacking statistics give them a narrow edge. Cesena's home advantage and historical dominance in this fixture cannot be discounted, making a draw a very plausible outcome. The most likely scenario is a low-scoring affair with Mantova slightly more likely to edge it.

Statistical ContextMantova

Double chance : draw or Mantova

Team Comparison

AI Powered
CesenaMantova
44%Strength56%
38%Attacking Potential63%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
60%H2H Strength40%
45%Goals H2H55%
44%Wins the Game56%
Head-to-head →Injuries · CesenaInjuries · MantovaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Cesena

LDDWD
  • LOct 10, 26A · Benevento2-0
  • DSep 18, 26A · Juve Stabia1-1
  • DSep 12, 26H · Cremonese2-2
  • WAug 29, 26A · Virtus Entella1-2
  • DAug 23, 26H · Sampdoria1-1

Mantova

WDWWW
  • WOct 11, 26A · Catanzaro1-3
  • DSep 20, 26H · Pisa2-2
  • WSep 13, 26H · Sampdoria2-0
  • WSep 3, 26H · Palermo5-2
  • WAug 30, 26H · Empoli3-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Palermo6+716WWDWW
2Mantova6+714WDWDW
3Modena6+513WWDLW
10Padova6-37LLWLD
11Cesena6-17LDDDW
12Arezzo6-77DLWLL

Head to Head

6
Cesena
1
Draws
3
Mantova
  • Mar 17, 26Mantova – Cesena3-0
  • Dec 13, 25Cesena – Mantova3-2
  • Aug 2, 25Mantova – Cesena1-2
  • May 1, 25Mantova – Cesena3-0
  • Sep 29, 24Cesena – Mantova4-2

Season Statistics — 2026

CesenaMantova
Played55
Goals Scored710
Goals Conceded65
Avg Scored1.42.0
Avg Conceded1.21.0
Clean Sheets01

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

CesenaMantova
Over 2.5 Goals5/105/10
Both Teams Scored5/105/10
Clean Sheets3/103/10

Cesena vs Mantova — Match Analysis

Mantova are favored at 40% to win away at Cesena. The draw is rated 32% and the home win 28%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

This Serie B clash at the Stadio Dino Manuzzi pits Cesena against Mantova in a match that appears extremely tight, with the bookmaker-implied probabilities giving each side a near-identical chance of victory. The market suggests a contest that could go either way, with a slight edge to the visitors.

Form Analysis: Mantova arrive in outstanding form, having won both of their opening matches, scoring five goals and conceding just two. Their attacking output has been impressive, averaging 1.8 goals per game. Cesena, meanwhile, have drawn one and won one, with a more modest goal tally of three scored and two conceded. While Cesena have kept two clean sheets in their last five, they have also failed to score in two of those matches, indicating a potential lack of cutting edge.

Key Factors: The away side's superior momentum and attacking threat are significant. Mantova's 100% win rate in their last five games contrasts with Cesena's 50%. Additionally, the head-to-head record shows Cesena have historically dominated with six wins to Mantova's three, but recent form suggests the visitors are the more dangerous side. The absence of any significant injuries for either team means both can field their strongest available lineups.

Conclusion: The data points to a closely fought encounter, but Mantova's current form and superior attacking statistics give them a narrow edge. Cesena's home advantage and historical dominance in this fixture cannot be discounted, making a draw a very plausible outcome. The most likely scenario is a low-scoring affair with Mantova slightly more likely to edge it.

Win Probabilities: Cesena: 28% · Draw: 32% · Mantova: 40%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (14.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 53% · Under 2.5: 47% · BTTS: 58%

H2H: Cesena wins: 6 · Draws: 1 · Mantova wins: 3

Form (latest first): Cesena: LDDWD · Mantova: WDWWW

  • C. Shpendi vs B. Tomašević: Cesena's main attacking threat will test Mantova's central defender, with his movement and finishing ability crucial to breaking down a solid backline.
  • D. Bisoli vs L. Ignacchiti: The midfield battle will be key, with Bisoli's energy and passing range looking to control the tempo against Ignacchiti's defensive screening.
  • A. Fiori vs Jonathan Silva: The duel on the flank could decide the match, as Fiori's attacking runs from full-back will be checked by Silva's defensive discipline.

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Serie B

Serie B

Italy15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Serie BItaly
Hellas Verona
Oct 1618:30
Catanzaro
11.9651%
X3.3330%
25.2619%
Serie BItaly
Benevento
Oct 1713:00
Vicenza Virtus
12.1347%
X3.1332%
24.7621%
Serie BItaly
Ascoli
Oct 1713:00
Empoli
11.9651%
X3.2331%
25.5618%
Serie BItaly
Padova
Oct 1713:00
Virtus Entella
12.3343%
X3.0333%
24.1724%
Serie BItaly
Carrarese
Oct 1713:00
Modena
14.0025%
X3.1332%
22.3343%
Serie BItaly
Mantova
Oct 1715:15
Palermo
13.2331%
X3.8526%
22.3343%
Serie BItaly
Pisa
Oct 1717:30
Cremonese
12.2245%
X3.0333%
24.5522%
Serie BItaly
Juve Stabia
Oct 1813:00
Sudtirol
12.4441%
X3.3330%
23.4529%
Serie BItaly
Cesena
Oct 1815:15
Avellino
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Serie BItaly
Sampdoria
Oct 1817:30
Arezzo
12.5639%
X3.2331%
23.3330%
Serie BItaly
Empoli
Oct 2318:30
Vicenza Virtus
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Serie BItaly
Cremonese
Oct 2413:00
Juve Stabia
Early projection
11.7956%
X5.0020%
24.1724%
Serie BItaly
Virtus Entella
Oct 2413:00
Mantova
Early projection
14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%
Serie BItaly
Avellino
Oct 2413:00
Padova
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
Serie BItaly
Modena
Oct 2413:00
Cesena
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%

Betting Tips

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