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  1. Home
  2. Eliteserien
  3. Sandefjord vs Lillestrom

Sandefjord vs Lillestrom

Result • Eliteserien·Sandefjord·Lillestrom

Eliteserien
Eliteserien
Oct 18, 2026
15:00
low Confidence
Sandefjord

Sandefjord

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.50
X3.40
22.50
Stadium
Sandefjord Arena
low Confidence
WINNER
Lillestrom

Lillestrom

Away
Odds
12.50
X3.40
22.50
Stadium
Sandefjord Arena
Win Probabilities
40%
Sandefjord
31%
Draw
29%
Lillestrom
Home2.5040%
Draw3.4031%
Away2.5029%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Sandefjord are favored at 40% to win at home against Lillestrom. The draw is rated 31% and the away win 29%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Eliteserien fixture between Sandefjord and Lillestrom using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Sandefjord a 40% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Lillestrom a 29% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 61%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 61%

Match Events

  1. 13'
    Goal: Thomas Lehne OlsenLillestrom · Assist: Frederik Elkaer
    Goal: Thomas Lehne OlsenAssist: Frederik Elkaer
  2. 24'
    Goal: Eric KitolanoLillestrom · Assist: Sturla Ottesen
    Goal: Eric KitolanoAssist: Sturla Ottesen
  3. Substitution: Alf Lukas Noel GronnebergOut: Elia Hadaya
    31'
    Substitution: Alf Lukas Noel GronnebergSandefjord · Out: Elia Hadaya
  4. 45'
    Yellow Card: Felix VáLillestrom
    Yellow Card: Felix Vá
  5. 59'
    Substitution: Gustav Kjolstad NyheimLillestrom · Out: Eric Kitolano
    Substitution: Gustav Kjolstad NyheimOut: Eric Kitolano
  6. 59'
    Substitution: Winston Robin Yaw PaintsilLillestrom · Out: Henrik Molvaer Melland
    Substitution: Winston Robin Yaw PaintsilOut: Henrik Molvaer Melland
  7. Substitution: Oscar Forsmo KapskarmoOut: Sebastian Holm Mathisen
    62'
    Substitution: Oscar Forsmo KapskarmoSandefjord · Out: Sebastian Holm Mathisen
  8. Substitution: Bendik Slotfeldt BerntsenOut: Evangelos Patoulidis
    62'
    Substitution: Bendik Slotfeldt BerntsenSandefjord · Out: Evangelos Patoulidis
  9. Substitution: Vetle Walle EgeliOut: Gustav Højbjerg
    72'
    Substitution: Vetle Walle EgeliSandefjord · Out: Gustav Højbjerg
  10. Substitution: Fredrik Carson PedersenOut: Martin Hellan
    72'
    Substitution: Fredrik Carson PedersenSandefjord · Out: Martin Hellan
  11. 75'
    Substitution: Daniel BassiLillestrom · Out: Frederik Elkaer
    Substitution: Daniel BassiOut: Frederik Elkaer
  12. 75'
    Substitution: Fredrik GulbrandsenLillestrom · Out: Thomas Lehne Olsen
    Substitution: Fredrik GulbrandsenOut: Thomas Lehne Olsen
  13. 90+1'
    Yellow Card: Gustav Kjolstad NyheimLillestrom
    Yellow Card: Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1J. Vester vs T. Lehne Olsen: Vester, Sandefjord's top scorer, will look to capitalize on limited chances, while Lehne Olsen's goal-scoring ability could decide the match for Lillestrom.
2J. Vester vs G. Nyheim: Nyheim's creativity and goal threat from midfield will test Sandefjord's defense, and Vester's ability to hold up play could relieve pressure.
3J. Vester vs M. Karlsbakk: Karlsbakk's pace and finishing will challenge Sandefjord's backline, and Vester's movement could exploit Lillestrom's defensive vulnerabilities.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Sandefjord

  • Defensively solid with two clean sheets in last five
  • Unbeaten in last three matches
  • Struggling for goals with only 1.6 average scored
  • Missing several key players due to suspensions

Lillestrom

  • Attacking threat with 1.8 goals per game
  • Multiple goal scorers in Lehne Olsen, Nyheim, and Karlsbakk
  • Inconsistent form with two losses in last five
  • No clean sheets in last five matches

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
40%
API-Football
45%
43%
Sandefjord433820

Moderate agreement on home win (43%).

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

This Eliteserien encounter between Sandefjord and Lillestrom is a tight, evenly-matched contest according to the market, with both sides given an equal chance of victory. The API-Football model, however, leans towards Sandefjord, suggesting a double chance of home win or draw. The data presents a conflicting picture, so confidence is low.

Form Analysis: Sandefjord are on a three-match unbeaten streak (DWLDD) and have kept two clean sheets in their last five, showing defensive resilience. Lillestrom, despite a mixed run (DLWWL), have also shown attacking promise with an average of 1.8 goals scored per game. Both teams have had similar recent results, making this a hard-fought battle.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is balanced, with Lillestrom winning six of the last nine meetings, but Sandefjord have won three. Home advantage could be crucial, as Sandefjord have drawn five of their 11 home games, indicating they are hard to beat at Sandefjord Arena. Injuries and suspensions are a major concern for both sides, with Sandefjord missing 14 players and Lillestrom 17, which could significantly impact team cohesion and tactics.

Conclusion: Given the balanced odds and the statistical model's slight preference for Sandefjord, a draw or a narrow win for either side is plausible. The most likely outcome is a low-scoring draw or a single-goal margin. The data suggests a cagey affair with both teams cautious due to missing key personnel.

Statistical ContextSandefjord

Double chance : Sandefjord or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
SandefjordLillestrom
52%Strength47%
50%Attacking Potential50%
67%Defensive Potential33%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
53%Goals H2H47%
52%Wins the Game47%

More information

Eliteserien predicted line-ups: Gameweek 258/8Head-to-headSandefjord – LillestromInjuriesSandefjordInjuriesLillestromLive scores

Statistical Context

Sandefjord

LDWLD
  • LOct 25, 26A · Start1-0
  • DOct 10, 26A · Rosenborg1-1
  • WSep 20, 26H · Start3-0
  • LSep 14, 26A · Bodo/Glimt3-2
  • DSep 4, 26H · Viking1-1

Lillestrom

WLDDL
  • WOct 25, 26H · Brann3-2
  • LOct 22, 26H · Real Sociedad0-6
  • DOct 15, 26A · Sparta Praha1-1
  • DOct 11, 26H · Molde2-2
  • LSep 20, 26A · Viking3-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5Tromso24+940LDDWL
6Lillestrom24+239WWDLW
7Sarpsborg 08 FF24-531WLWLD
8KFUM Oslo24-930DDWWW
9Brann24+229LLLWL
10Valerenga24-729WWLDL
11Fredrikstad24-1229LLDDD
12Ham-Kam24-1826LLWLL
13Sandefjord24-924LLDWL
14Aalesund24-1324LWLWL

Head to Head

3
Sandefjord
1
Draws
6
Lillestrom
  • May 16, 26Lillestrom – Sandefjord3-1
  • Jan 23, 26Lillestrom – Sandefjord1-2
  • Nov 23, 24Lillestrom – Sandefjord0-3
  • Apr 21, 24Sandefjord – Lillestrom0-1
  • Feb 16, 24Lillestrom – Sandefjord2-2

Season Statistics — 2026

SandefjordLillestrom
Played2323
Goals Scored2232
Goals Conceded3031
Avg Scored1.01.4
Avg Conceded1.31.4
Clean Sheets67

Sandefjord vs Lillestrom — Match Analysis

Sandefjord are favored at 40% to win at home against Lillestrom. The draw is rated 31% and the away win 29%, so the numbers point to a home result.

This Eliteserien encounter between Sandefjord and Lillestrom is a tight, evenly-matched contest according to the market, with both sides given an equal chance of victory. The API-Football model, however, leans towards Sandefjord, suggesting a double chance of home win or draw. The data presents a conflicting picture, so confidence is low.

Form Analysis: Sandefjord are on a three-match unbeaten streak (DWLDD) and have kept two clean sheets in their last five, showing defensive resilience. Lillestrom, despite a mixed run (DLWWL), have also shown attacking promise with an average of 1.8 goals scored per game. Both teams have had similar recent results, making this a hard-fought battle.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is balanced, with Lillestrom winning six of the last nine meetings, but Sandefjord have won three. Home advantage could be crucial, as Sandefjord have drawn five of their 11 home games, indicating they are hard to beat at Sandefjord Arena. Injuries and suspensions are a major concern for both sides, with Sandefjord missing 14 players and Lillestrom 17, which could significantly impact team cohesion and tactics.

Conclusion: Given the balanced odds and the statistical model's slight preference for Sandefjord, a draw or a narrow win for either side is plausible. The most likely outcome is a low-scoring draw or a single-goal margin. The data suggests a cagey affair with both teams cautious due to missing key personnel.

Win Probabilities: Sandefjord: 40% · Draw: 31% · Lillestrom: 29%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (10.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 56% · Under 2.5: 44% · BTTS: 61%

H2H: Sandefjord wins: 3 · Draws: 1 · Lillestrom wins: 6

Form (latest first): Sandefjord: LDWLD · Lillestrom: WLDDL

  • J. Vester vs T. Lehne Olsen: Vester, Sandefjord's top scorer, will look to capitalize on limited chances, while Lehne Olsen's goal-scoring ability could decide the match for Lillestrom.
  • J. Vester vs G. Nyheim: Nyheim's creativity and goal threat from midfield will test Sandefjord's defense, and Vester's ability to hold up play could relieve pressure.
  • J. Vester vs M. Karlsbakk: Karlsbakk's pace and finishing will challenge Sandefjord's backline, and Vester's movement could exploit Lillestrom's defensive vulnerabilities.

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Eliteserien

Eliteserien

Norway15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EliteserienNorway
Bodo/Glimt
Oct 3018:00
Viking
12.3343%
X3.5728%
23.4529%
EliteserienNorway
Fredrikstad
Oct 3115:00
Rosenborg
14.1724%
X3.3330%
22.1746%
EliteserienNorway
Aalesund
Oct 3117:00
Sandefjord
12.6338%
X3.4529%
23.0333%
EliteserienNorway
Brann
Nov 113:30
Molde
13.8526%
X3.3330%
22.2744%
EliteserienNorway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Nov 116:00
Kristiansund BK
11.8554%
X4.0025%
24.7621%
EliteserienNorway
Start
Nov 116:00
Lillestrom
14.0025%
X3.2331%
22.2744%
EliteserienNorway
KFUM Oslo
Nov 116:00
Ham-Kam
12.0848%
X3.3330%
24.5522%
EliteserienNorway
Valerenga
Nov 118:15
Tromso
13.5728%
X3.2331%
22.4441%
EliteserienNorway
Kristiansund BK
Nov 715:00
Valerenga
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
EliteserienNorway
Rosenborg
Nov 717:00
Start
Early projection
11.4569%
X6.2516%
26.6715%
EliteserienNorway
Tromso
Nov 813:30
Bodo/Glimt
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
EliteserienNorway
Lillestrom
Nov 816:00
Aalesund
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
EliteserienNorway
Sandefjord
Nov 816:00
Molde
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.1724%
22.0848%
EliteserienNorway
Viking
Nov 816:00
KFUM Oslo
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
EliteserienNorway
Ham-Kam
Nov 816:00
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%

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