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Today's Tips
Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Ekstraklasa
  3. Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice

Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice

Result • Ekstraklasa·Motor Lublin·GKS Katowice

Ekstraklasa
Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026
12:45
low Confidence
WINNER
Motor Lublin

Motor Lublin

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
12.58
X3.75
22.42
Stadium
Motor Lublin Arena
low Confidence
GKS Katowice

GKS Katowice

Away
Odds
12.58
X3.75
22.42
Stadium
Motor Lublin Arena
Win Probabilities
33%
Motor Lublin
27%
Draw
40%
GKS Katowice
Home2.5833%
Draw3.7527%
Away2.4240%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

GKS Katowice are the clear favourites, backed by a strong head-to-head record and superior recent form. However, Motor Lublin's home advantage and ability to score could make this a closer contest than expected.

Our AI model analyzes this Ekstraklasa fixture between Motor Lublin and GKS Katowice using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Motor Lublin a 33% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and GKS Katowice a 40% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 65%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 65%

Match Events

  1. 45+3'
    Yellow Card: M. WedrychowskiGKS Katowice
    Yellow Card: M. Wedrychowski
  2. 46'
    Substitution: S. BartlewiczGKS Katowice · Out: M. Wedrychowski
    Substitution: S. BartlewiczOut: M. Wedrychowski
  3. 46'
    Substitution: P. RestaGKS Katowice · Out: A. Czerwinski
    Substitution: P. RestaOut: A. Czerwinski
  4. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideK. Czubak
    49'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideMotor Lublin · K. Czubak
  5. 60'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideGKS Katowice · I. Shkurin
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideI. Shkurin
  6. Yellow Card: Kikis
    64'
    Yellow Card: KikisMotor Lublin
  7. Substitution: M. AikoOut: Fabio Ronaldo
    66'
    Substitution: M. AikoMotor Lublin · Out: Fabio Ronaldo
  8. Yellow Card: B. Bereszynski
    67'
    Yellow Card: B. BereszynskiMotor Lublin
  9. 71'
    Substitution: B. GalanGKS Katowice · Out: M. Wdowiak
    Substitution: B. GalanOut: M. Wdowiak
  10. 71'
    Substitution: M. WasielewskiGKS Katowice · Out: E. Jirka
    Substitution: M. WasielewskiOut: E. Jirka
  11. Substitution: K. LukoszekOut: T. Santos
    78'
    Substitution: K. LukoszekMotor Lublin · Out: T. Santos
  12. Goal: K. CzubakAssist: M. Ndiaye
    86'
    Goal: K. CzubakMotor Lublin · Assist: M. Ndiaye
  13. 89'
    Substitution: E. MarkovicGKS Katowice · Out: B. Nowak
    Substitution: E. MarkovicOut: B. Nowak
  14. Substitution: F. HaxhaOut: M. Ndiaye
    90+3'
    Substitution: F. HaxhaMotor Lublin · Out: M. Ndiaye
  15. Substitution: P. MeyerOut: M. Legowski
    90+3'
    Substitution: P. MeyerMotor Lublin · Out: M. Legowski
  16. Substitution: D. GregorskiOut: K. Czubak
    90+3'
    Substitution: D. GregorskiMotor Lublin · Out: K. Czubak
  17. Yellow Card: M. Bartos
    90+6'
    Yellow Card: M. BartosMotor Lublin
  18. 90+6'
    Yellow Card: L. KlemenzGKS Katowice
    Yellow Card: L. Klemenz
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

1 / 1stats picks landed in this match
Motor Lublin 1-0 GKS Katowice
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team—Predicted 4.9 – 4.5Real 2 – 1——
Total corners—Predicted 9.4Real 3chances only—
Yellow cards✓ hitPredicted 4.3Real 5Over 3.5✓ hit
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 0-0chances only—
Shots on target—Predicted 4.2 – 5.0Real 5 – 2——
Total shots—Predicted 13.1 – 13.7Real 15 – 10chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1K. Czubak vs A. Jędrych: Motor Lublin's main striker will need to outmuscle the experienced centre-back to create chances.
2M. Aïko vs S. Bartlewicz: The winger's pace and dribbling will test the full-back's defensive capabilities.
3F. Lewandowski vs Borja Galán: A battle in midfield for control and creativity, with both players looking to dictate the game.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Motor Lublin

  • Able to score goals, averaging 1.6 per game
  • Home advantage at Motor Lublin Arena
  • On a two-game losing streak
  • Defensive fragility, conceding 1.6 goals per game

GKS Katowice

  • Won 50% of their recent matches
  • Scored 4 goals in their last two games
  • Inconsistent form with a loss in their last match
  • Conceded 3 goals in their last two games

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
40%
API-Football
45%
43%
GKS Katowice223643

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (43%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

Based on the data, GKS Katowice enter this match as the clear favourites. The bookmaker-implied probabilities give them a slight edge over Motor Lublin, and the API-Football model also predicts an away win, with a strong statistical comparison favouring GKS Katowice in form, defense, and head-to-head strength.

Form Analysis: GKS Katowice have won 50% of their recent matches, while Motor Lublin are on a two-game losing streak. The away side have scored 4 goals in their last two games, showing attacking intent, whereas Motor Lublin have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours GKS Katowice, with 4 wins in the last 5 meetings. Additionally, the API comparison shows GKS Katowice with a significant advantage in defense (70% vs 30%) and overall strength (64.2% vs 35.8%). Motor Lublin's poor form and low league position (16th) further compound their struggles.

Conclusion: The data strongly suggests that GKS Katowice will secure a victory, but the margin is not overwhelming. Motor Lublin have shown they can score, but their defensive issues and poor recent form make an away win the most probable outcome.

Statistical ContextGKS Katowice

Double chance : draw or GKS Katowice

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Motor LublinGKS Katowice
35%Strength64%
50%Attacking Potential50%
30%Defensive Potential70%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
29%H2H Strength71%
37%Goals H2H63%
35%Wins the Game64%

More information

Ekstraklasa predicted line-ups: Gameweek 149/9Head-to-headMotor Lublin – GKS KatowiceInjuriesMotor LublinInjuriesGKS KatowiceLive scores

Statistical Context

Motor Lublin

WDWWD
  • WOct 30, 26A · Cracovia Krakow1-2
  • DOct 23, 26H · Zaglebie Lubin2-2
  • WOct 17, 26H · Slask Wroclaw3-2
  • WOct 12, 26A · Radomiak Radom2-3
  • DSep 19, 26H · Gornik Zabrze0-0

GKS Katowice

WLLWW
  • WOct 31, 26H · Widzew Łódź3-2
  • LOct 24, 26A · Korona Kielce1-0
  • LOct 17, 26H · Pogon Szczecin0-1
  • WOct 12, 26H · Wieczysta Kraków2-1
  • WOct 9, 26A · Raków Częstochowa1-4

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5Zaglebie Lubin13+122WDWLL
6GKS Katowice13+621WLLWW
7Piast Gliwice13+421DWDWL
8Wisla Krakow13+221LWDLW
9Jagiellonia12-118WWLLL
10Korona Kielce13-518LWLLW
11Motor Lublin13-316WDWWD
12Wisla Plock12-615DLWLW

Head to Head

2
Motor Lublin
2
Draws
4
GKS Katowice
  • Apr 17, 26GKS Katowice – Motor Lublin3-2
  • Oct 17, 25Motor Lublin – GKS Katowice2-5
  • Feb 24, 25Motor Lublin – GKS Katowice3-2
  • Aug 16, 24GKS Katowice – Motor Lublin0-0
  • Feb 19, 24GKS Katowice – Motor Lublin2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Motor LublinGKS Katowice
Played1212
Goals Scored1722
Goals Conceded2117
Avg Scored1.41.8
Avg Conceded1.81.4
Clean Sheets21

Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice — Match Analysis

GKS Katowice are the clear favourites, backed by a strong head-to-head record and superior recent form. However, Motor Lublin's home advantage and ability to score could make this a closer contest than expected.

Based on the data, GKS Katowice enter this match as the clear favourites. The bookmaker-implied probabilities give them a slight edge over Motor Lublin, and the API-Football model also predicts an away win, with a strong statistical comparison favouring GKS Katowice in form, defense, and head-to-head strength.

Form Analysis: GKS Katowice have won 50% of their recent matches, while Motor Lublin are on a two-game losing streak. The away side have scored 4 goals in their last two games, showing attacking intent, whereas Motor Lublin have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours GKS Katowice, with 4 wins in the last 5 meetings. Additionally, the API comparison shows GKS Katowice with a significant advantage in defense (70% vs 30%) and overall strength (64.2% vs 35.8%). Motor Lublin's poor form and low league position (16th) further compound their struggles.

Conclusion: The data strongly suggests that GKS Katowice will secure a victory, but the margin is not overwhelming. Motor Lublin have shown they can score, but their defensive issues and poor recent form make an away win the most probable outcome.

Win Probabilities: Motor Lublin: 33% · Draw: 27% · GKS Katowice: 40%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 63% · Under 2.5: 37% · BTTS: 65%

H2H: Motor Lublin wins: 2 · Draws: 2 · GKS Katowice wins: 4

Form (latest first): Motor Lublin: WDWWD · GKS Katowice: WLLWW

  • K. Czubak vs A. Jędrych: Motor Lublin's main striker will need to outmuscle the experienced centre-back to create chances.
  • M. Aïko vs S. Bartlewicz: The winger's pace and dribbling will test the full-back's defensive capabilities.
  • F. Lewandowski vs Borja Galán: A battle in midfield for control and creativity, with both players looking to dictate the game.

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Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa

Poland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EkstraklasaPoland
Motor Lublin
Nov 617:00
Wisla Plock
12.3343%
X3.4529%
23.5728%
EkstraklasaPoland
Wisla Krakow
Nov 619:30
Cracovia Krakow
11.9651%
X3.7027%
24.5522%
EkstraklasaPoland
Korona Kielce
Nov 711:15
Radomiak Radom
11.7956%
X4.0025%
25.2619%
EkstraklasaPoland
Slask Wroclaw
Nov 713:45
Piast Gliwice
12.5040%
X4.0025%
22.8635%
EkstraklasaPoland
Gornik Zabrze
Nov 716:30
Wieczysta Kraków
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
EkstraklasaPoland
Widzew Łódź
Nov 719:15
Pogon Szczecin
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Jagiellonia
Nov 813:45
GKS Katowice
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
EkstraklasaPoland
Legia Warszawa
Nov 816:30
Raków Częstochowa
11.8554%
X3.7027%
25.2619%
EkstraklasaPoland
Lech Poznan
Nov 819:15
Zaglebie Lubin
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
EkstraklasaPoland
Piast Gliwice
Nov 2017:00
Korona Kielce
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
EkstraklasaPoland
Pogon Szczecin
Nov 2019:30
Slask Wroclaw
Early projection
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%
EkstraklasaPoland
Cracovia Krakow
Nov 2113:45
Jagiellonia
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
EkstraklasaPoland
Zaglebie Lubin
Nov 2116:30
Gornik Zabrze
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
EkstraklasaPoland
Radomiak Radom
Nov 2119:15
Wisla Krakow
Early projection
14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%
EkstraklasaPoland
Raków Częstochowa
Nov 2211:15
Widzew Łódź
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.7027%
22.7037%

Betting Tips

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