Barcelona vs Real Madrid

ResultSupercopa de España

Supercopa de España
Supercopa de España
11 Jan 2026
20:00
WINNER
Barcelona

Barcelona

🏠Home
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 2-1
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

✈️Away
Odds
11.95
X3.90
23.50
🏟️Stadium
King Abdullah Sports City
Win Probabilities
Home
Draw
Away
🔮

Oracle's Vision

"The Oracle sees Barcelona's winning streak as a beacon of victory, with historical clashes favoring their resolve. Ancient wisdom reveals that full squads and form shall decide this duel under clear skies."

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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Detailed Analysis

Based on the structured data, Barcelona is predicted to win this match. The market probabilities show Barcelona with a 49% chance of winning, Real Madrid with 27%, and a draw at 24%, while the API-Football model also predicts Barcelona as the winner with 45% probability for a home win, though it suggests a higher draw probability of 45%.

Form Analysis: Barcelona's form is superior with five consecutive wins (WWWWW), indicating strong momentum. Real Madrid's form is also good with four wins in their last five matches (WWWLW), but they have a recent loss, which may affect confidence. Barcelona's goals for in recent matches are listed as 2, while Real Madrid's are 3, but specific goals against data is not fully provided for Barcelona.

Key Factors: 1. Barcelona's excellent recent form with five straight wins gives them a psychological edge. 2. The head-to-head record shows Barcelona has won 6 of the last 10 meetings, with Real Madrid winning 4 and no draws, suggesting Barcelona has historically performed well in this rivalry. 3. No significant injuries or suspensions for either team, meaning both sides are at full strength, which favors the team with better form.

Conclusion: The data indicates Barcelona is the favorite to win, supported by their strong form and historical head-to-head advantage, with market and model probabilities aligning on this outcome despite some differences in draw probability.

Analysis & Key Battles

Barcelona

HOME
Strengths
  • Strong recent form with five consecutive wins
  • Historical head-to-head advantage over Real Madrid
  • No significant injuries, allowing full squad availability
Weaknesses
  • Goals against data not fully available in recent form
  • Home advantage rating of 0.55 is moderate, not high
  • League standings context is not available for additional context

Real Madrid

AWAY
Strengths
  • Good recent form with four wins in last five matches
  • Key players like Kylian Mbappé and Vinícius Júnior provide high attacking threat
  • No significant injuries, ensuring a strong lineup
Weaknesses
  • Recent loss in form may impact confidence
  • Head-to-head record shows fewer wins compared to Barcelona
  • Away from home, with neutral weather impact reducing any advantage

Key Player Battles

⚔️R. Lewandowski vs Real Madrid Defense: Lewandowski's goal-scoring ability will test Real Madrid's defensive organization.
⚔️Kylian Mbappé vs Barcelona Defense: Mbappé's speed and finishing pose a significant threat to Barcelona's backline.
⚔️Lamine Yamal vs Real Madrid Midfield: Yamal's creativity and assists could be key in breaking down Real Madrid's midfield setup.
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