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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union

New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union

Prediction • MLS·New York Red Bulls·Philadelphia Union

MLS
MLS
Aug 29, 2026
23:30
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Early projection · Odds pending
Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union

Away
Stadium
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Win Probabilities
51%
New York Red Bulls
23%
Draw
26%
Philadelphia Union
Home1.9651%
Draw4.3523%
Away3.8526%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

New York Red Bulls are favored at 51% to win at home against Philadelphia Union. The draw is rated 23% and the away win 26%, so the numbers point to a home result.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0New York Red Bulls
/10
8.0Philadelphia Union
New York Red Bulls
FormLatest first
LLWLL
Win Rate20%
Philadelphia Union
FormLatest first
DWWWW
Win Rate80%
Momentum AdvantagePhiladelphia Union+6.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

25°
Thundery outbreaks in nearby
Wind
10 km/h
Humidity
93%
Rain
0.0 mm
Tactical Impact

High humidity - may cause player fatigue

New York Red Bulls
Home

New York Red Bulls

Form
LLWLL
Latest first
10
Pos
43
Pts
-11
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 19 matches)

Clean Sheets15%
Goal Diff-11
  • Strong home record (4W-2D-3L)
  • Top scorer J. Hall with 9 goals
  • Higher league position (8th vs 14th)

Key Players

J. Hall
J. Hall
6.9
Goals
9
Assists
3
G. Berggren
G. Berggren
5.9
Goals
0
Assists
0
A. Mehmeti
Red Card
Suspended
J. Ruvalcaba
Yellow Cards
Suspended
O. Valencia
Yellow Cards
Suspended
G. Berggren
Red Card
Suspended
R. Mosquera
Thigh Injury
Injured
A. Marcucci
Knee Injury
Injured
E. M. Choupo-Moting
Knee Injury
Injured
M. Dos Santos
Calf Injury
Injured
E. Forsberg
Hip Injury
Injured
C. Harper
Muscle Injury
Injured
M. Sofo
Ankle Injury
Injured
E. Lomdono
Injury
Injured
R. Donkor
Knee Injury
Injured
D. Nealis
Ankle Injury
Injured
J. Che
Hamstring Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls
1Wins
2
Draws
Philadelphia Union
7Wins
Philadelphia Union
10%20%70%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jul222026
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
3-1
Loss
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
Aug162025
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
1-0
Win
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
Aug132025
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
3-2
Loss
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
Jul122025
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
2-0
Loss
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
Aug312024
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
0-2
Loss
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
Jul62024
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
0-0
Draw
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
Sep32023
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
4-1
Loss
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
Aug92023
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
1-1
Draw
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
May62023
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
0-1
Loss
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
Sep32022
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
0-2
Loss
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Philadelphia Union 3 - 1 New York Red Bulls

Jul 22, 2026

43% / 28% / 29%

New York Red Bulls4-3-3vs4-4-2Philadelphia UnionPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Wide wingers can exploit narrow midfield. Expect home team to dominate flanks.

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union4-4-2
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls4-3-3
Philadelphia UnionBenchPhiladelphia Union7
New York Red BullsBenchNew York Red Bulls4

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

New York Red Bulls

15Out

11 key players

Philadelphia Union

18Out

15 key players

New York Red Bulls

Team

New York Red Bulls

Players Out

15(11 key)
A. Mehmeti

A. Mehmeti

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
J. Ruvalcaba

J. Ruvalcaba

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
O. Valencia

O. Valencia

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
G. Berggren

G. Berggren

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
R. Mosquera

R. Mosquera

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Marcucci

A. Marcucci

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

E. M. Choupo-Moting

E. M. Choupo-Moting

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

M. Dos Santos

M. Dos Santos

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Forsberg

E. Forsberg

MODERATE
Injury:Hip Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Harper

C. Harper

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

M. Sofo

M. Sofo

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

E. Lomdono

E. Lomdono

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Donkor

R. Donkor

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

D. Nealis

D. Nealis

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

J. Che

J. Che

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Philadelphia Union

Team

Philadelphia Union

Players Out

18(15 key)
J. Lukic

J. Lukic

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
O. Makhanya

O. Makhanya

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
C. Sullivan

C. Sullivan

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
J. Bueno

J. Bueno

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

P. Ndinga

P. Ndinga

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Blake

A. Blake

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

F. Westfield

F. Westfield

MODERATE
Injury:Hip Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Davis III

E. Davis III

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Q. Sullivan

Q. Sullivan

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

S. Korzeniowski

S. Korzeniowski

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

I. Vassilev

I. Vassilev

MODERATE
Injury:Concussion

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-3 weeks

B. Bender

B. Bender

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Alladoh

E. Alladoh

MODERATE
Injury:Personal Reasons

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

G. Martinez

G. Martinez

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Anello

A. Anello

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

D. Jean Jacques

D. Jean Jacques

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

S. Olivas

S. Olivas

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

J. Sery Larsen

J. Sery Larsen

MODERATE
Injury:Shoulder Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

MLS

League Statistics

MLS • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
2012262924+538
1
Nashville SC
Nashville SC
2014424015+2546
2
Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps
1911444018+2237
2
Inter Miami
Inter Miami
2011634838+1039
3
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC
2110473521+1434
3
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
1911263625+1135
4
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
2010373828+1033
4
New England Revolution
New England Revolution
2010373225+733
5
FC Dallas
FC Dallas
209653829+933
5
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
208664846+230
6
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
208662826+230
6
Charlotte
Charlotte
208573531+429
7
Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids
2091103025+528
7
New York City FC
New York City FC
207583429+526
8
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
198473330+328
8
New York Red Bulls
New York Red BullsHome
207493042-1225
9
Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers
208393736+127
9
DC United
DC United
205962733-624
10
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy
216782530-525
10
Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
2063113250-1821
11
Minnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC
206772228-625
11
Toronto FC
Toronto FC
204972936-721
12
Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders
197392126-524
12
Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew
2055102833-520
13
San Diego
San Diego
206683432+224
13
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia UnionAway
2055103037-720
14
Austin
Austin
2055102539-1420
14
CF Montreal
CF Montreal
2055102737-1020
15
Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
2043131949-3015
15
Atlanta United FC
Atlanta United FC
2053122335-1218
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

New York Red Bulls

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

51%New York Red Bulls
23%Draw
26%Philadelphia Union

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Aug 29 · 23:30
StadiumSports Illustrated Stadium
League StatsMLS

Statistical Context

New York Red Bulls

LLWLL
  • LAug 19, 26H · Nashville SC0-1
  • LAug 15, 26A · Atlanta United FC2-1
  • WAug 1, 26H · Orlando City SC3-2
  • LJul 25, 26H · Charlotte0-2
  • LJul 22, 26A · Philadelphia Union3-1

Philadelphia Union

DWWWW
  • DAug 19, 26H · Inter Miami2-2
  • WAug 16, 26A · New York City FC2-3
  • WAug 1, 26H · Atlanta United FC3-2
  • WJul 25, 26H · Seattle Sounders1-0
  • WJul 22, 26H · New York Red Bulls3-1

Head to Head

1
New York Red Bulls
2
Draws
7
Philadelphia Union
  • Jul 22, 26Philadelphia Union – New York Red Bulls3-1
  • Aug 16, 25New York Red Bulls – Philadelphia Union1-0
  • Aug 13, 25Philadelphia Union – New York Red Bulls3-2
  • Jul 12, 25Philadelphia Union – New York Red Bulls2-0
  • Aug 31, 24New York Red Bulls – Philadelphia Union0-2

Season Statistics — 2026

New York Red BullsPhiladelphia Union
Played1919
Goals Scored3028
Goals Conceded4135
Avg Scored1.61.5
Avg Conceded2.21.8
Clean Sheets13

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

New York Red Bulls

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 34GE. Horvath
  2. 14DJ. Bazán
  3. 3DJ. Marshall-Rutty
  4. 26DT. Parker
  5. 6DR. Voloder
  6. 39MN. Benedetti
  7. 80MN. Worth
  8. 16AJ. Hall
  9. 91AM. Jimenez
  10. 33ARoald Mitchell
  11. 13AE. Choupo-Moting

Coach: S. Schwarz

Philadelphia Union

Formation 4-4-2
  1. 31GG. Marks
  2. 26DN. Harriel
  3. 2DG. Martínez
  4. 66DF. Sundstrom
  5. 27DK. Wagner
  6. 11MA. Bedoya
  7. 21MD. Jean-Jacques
  8. 47MK. LeBlanc
  9. 4MJ. Lukić
  10. 51AM. Jakupovic
  11. 37AStas Kornzeniowski

Coach: J. Curtin

New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union — Expert Prediction & Analysis

New York Red Bulls are favored at 51% to win at home against Philadelphia Union. The draw is rated 23% and the away win 26%, so the numbers point to a home result.

This is a tightly contested MLS Eastern Conference clash between New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union. The away side holds a slight edge based on superior recent form and a dominant head-to-head record, but the Red Bulls have home advantage and a higher league position.…

Win Probabilities: New York Red Bulls: 51% · Draw: 23% · Philadelphia Union: 26%

H2H: New York Red Bulls wins: 1 · Draws: 2 · Philadelphia Union wins: 7

Form (latest first): New York Red Bulls: LLWLL · Philadelphia Union: DWWWW

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MLS

MLS

USA15 · Upcoming Fixtures
MLSUSA
Orlando City SC
Aug 2223:30
Real Salt Lake
12.4441%
X3.3330%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
MLSUSA
New York Red Bulls
Aug 2223:30
Chicago Fire
14.3523%
X3.5728%
22.0449%
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MLSUSA
CF Montreal
Aug 2223:30
Los Angeles Galaxy
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
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MLSUSA
FC Cincinnati
Aug 2223:30
Seattle Sounders
11.9252%
X3.5728%
25.0020%
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MLSUSA
Inter Miami
Aug 2223:30
Toronto FC
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
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MLSUSA
Charlotte
Aug 2223:30
DC United
11.9252%
X3.4529%
25.2619%
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MLSUSA
Nashville SC
Aug 2300:30
Columbus Crew
11.8953%
X3.4529%
25.5618%
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MLSUSA
St. Louis City
Aug 2300:30
Houston Dynamo
12.7037%
X3.3330%
23.0333%
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MLSUSA
Austin
Aug 2301:00
Philadelphia Union
13.3330%
X3.3330%
22.5040%
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MLSUSA
Vancouver Whitecaps
Aug 2301:30
FC Dallas
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
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San Jose Earthquakes
Aug 2302:30
Minnesota United FC
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
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Los Angeles FC
Aug 2302:30
Portland Timbers
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
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San Diego
Aug 2302:30
Colorado Rapids
12.3343%
X3.5728%
23.4529%
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MLSUSA
New England Revolution
Aug 2320:30
New York City FC
13.4529%
X3.2331%
22.5040%
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MLSUSA
Atlanta United FC
Aug 2323:00
Sporting Kansas City
12.0449%
X3.8526%
24.0025%
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