Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace

ResultUEFA Conference League

UEFA Conference League
UEFA Conference League
16 Apr 2026
19:00
WINNER
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

🏠Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-1
Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

✈️Away
Odds
13.20
X3.50
22.20
🏟️Stadium
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Win Probabilities
Home29%
Draw34%
Away37%
🔮

Oracle's Vision

The Oracle sees Crystal Palace's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this UEFA Conference League fixture between Fiorentina and Crystal Palace using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Fiorentina a 29% win probability, a 34% chance of a draw, and Crystal Palace a 37% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

Fiorentina 29%Draw 34%Crystal Palace 37%Predicted Score: 1-1BTTS: 45%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

Fiorentina

HOME
Strengths
  • Attack rating of 53% from API comparison
  • Home advantage with rating 0.55
  • Recent win streak boosting morale
Weaknesses
  • Defense rating of 18% from API comparison
  • Inconsistent form with LWLLW record
  • No H2H wins against Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

AWAY
Strengths
  • Defense rating of 82% from API comparison
  • 5 unbeaten streak and 3 clean sheets in last 5 games
  • H2H strength of 100% from API comparison
Weaknesses
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Attack rating of 47% from API comparison
  • Recent form includes losses

Key Player Battles

⚔️Fiorentina's attack vs Crystal Palace's defense: Fiorentina's attacking players will face a tough challenge against Crystal Palace's strong defensive unit, which has kept 3 clean sheets in recent games.
⚔️J. Mateta vs Fiorentina's defense: Crystal Palace's top scorer J. Mateta, with 7 goals, will be key in breaking down Fiorentina's weak defense, rated 18% in the API comparison.

Combined Analysis

Multi-source prediction consensus

Medium Agreement

Moderate agreement on away win (41%).

Fiorentina Win20%
Draw40%
Crystal Palace Win41%

Key Insights

Reasoning behind the prediction

AI Analysis
High Confidence

Based on the data, this match is predicted to be a draw, with Crystal Palace having a slight edge if a winner emerges, as indicated by the API-Football model favoring them and the odds showing nearly balanced probabilities.

Form Analysis: Fiorentina's form is LWLLW with 1 win streak, averaging 1.0 goals scored and conceded per game. Crystal Palace's form is DWLWL with 5 unbeaten streak, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game, and 3 clean sheets in last 5 games, showing stronger defense.

Key Factors: Crystal Palace's defense is excellent with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games, and they have a 100% H2H strength advantage from the API comparison. The odds are nearly balanced (home 36%, draw 30%, away 34%), suggesting a tight match with no clear favorite.

Conclusion: The data points to a low-scoring, defensive battle likely ending in a draw, with Crystal Palace slightly favored due to better defensive form and H2H edge, but probabilities remain close to the market odds.

Statistical Context
Crystal Palace

Double chance : draw or Crystal Palace

Team Comparison

FiorentinaCrystal Palace
Strength
35%
64%
Attacking Potential
53%
47%
Defensive Potential
18%
82%
Poisson Distribution
50%
50%
H2H Strength
50%
100%
Goals H2H
50%
100%
Wins the Game
35%
64%

Fiorentina vs Crystal PalaceMatch Analysis

The Oracle sees Crystal Palace's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Based on the data, this match is predicted to be a draw, with Crystal Palace having a slight edge if a winner emerges, as indicated by the API-Football model favoring them and the odds showing nearly balanced probabilities.

Form Analysis: Fiorentina's form is LWLLW with 1 win streak, averaging 1.0 goals scored and conceded per game. Crystal Palace's form is DWLWL with 5 unbeaten streak, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game, and 3 clean sheets in last 5 games, showing stronger defense.

Key Factors: Crystal Palace's defense is excellent with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games, and they have a 100% H2H strength advantage from the API comparison. The odds are nearly balanced (home 36%, draw 30%, away 34%), suggesting a tight match with no clear favorite.

Conclusion: The data points to a low-scoring, defensive battle likely ending in a draw, with Crystal Palace slightly favored due to better defensive form and H2H edge, but probabilities remain close to the market odds.

Win Probabilities: Fiorentina: 29% · Draw: 34% · Crystal Palace: 37%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Fiorentina wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · Crystal Palace wins: 0

Form: Fiorentina: WDWLW · Crystal Palace: WDDWW

  • Fiorentina's attack vs Crystal Palace's defense: Fiorentina's attacking players will face a tough challenge against Crystal Palace's strong defensive unit, which has kept 3 clean sheets in recent games.
  • J. Mateta vs Fiorentina's defense: Crystal Palace's top scorer J. Mateta, with 7 goals, will be key in breaking down Fiorentina's weak defense, rated 18% in the API comparison.