Aston Villa vs Newcastle

Sonuç • FA Cup

FA Cup
FA Cup
14 Feb 2026
17:45
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

🏠Ev
Nihai Skor
1-3
Tahmini: 2-1
KAZANAN
Newcastle

Newcastle

✈️Deplasman
Oranlar
12.15
X3.60
23.20
🏟️Stadyum
Villa Park
Galibiyet Olasılıkları
Ev44%
Beraberlik26%
⭐Deplasman30%
🔮

Oracle'ın Vizyonu

“The Oracle sees Villa's fortress standing strong, with winds of victory blowing from the east. Ancient wisdom reveals a clash where form and home soil tilt the scales in favor of the hosts.”

Yapay Zeka modelimiz, bu FA Cup karşılaşmasını Aston Villa ve Newcastle arasında geçmiş performans verilerini, mevcut formu, kafa kafaya kayıtları ve taktiksel göstergeleri kullanarak analiz ediyor. Model, Aston Villa için %44'luk bir galibiyet olasılığı, beraberlik için %26'luk bir şans ve Newcastle için %30'luk bir galibiyet olasılığı atıyor. En olası skor 2-1. Her iki takımın da gol atma olasılığı: %50. Bu tahmin, mevcut veri noktalarının kalitesi ve tutarlılığı temelinde low güven derecesiyle derecelendirilmiştir.

Aston Villa 44%Beraberlik 26%Newcastle 30%Tahmini Skor: 2-1BTTS: 50%
Tahmini Paylaş

Yapay Zeka Analizi ve Tahmin İncelemesi

⚡

Analiz ve Kilit Mücadeleler

Aston Villa

EV
✓
Güçlü Yönler
  • Strong recent form with 5 consecutive wins
  • Defensive solidity with 2 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
⚠
Zayıf Yönler
  • Average goals scored per match is only 1.4
  • No specific data on win rate or league standings
  • Key players data shows limited top scorers with D. Malen listed twice

Newcastle

DEPLASMAN
✓
Güçlü Yönler
  • Multiple key players with goal contributions, such as N. Woltemade and Bruno Guimarães
  • Recent win in last match indicates some momentum
  • Formation of 4-3-3 suggests an attacking approach
⚠
Zayıf Yönler
  • Poor defensive record with 2.4 goals conceded per match on average
  • No clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • One player, J. Ramsey, is doubtful due to injury

Kilit Oyuncu Mücadeleleri

⚔️D. Malen vs Newcastle Defense: Malen's goal-scoring ability against Newcastle's weak defense could be decisive.
⚔️Bruno Guimarães vs Aston Villa Midfield: Guimarães' creativity and assists will test Villa's defensive midfield.
⚔️H. Barnes vs Aston Villa Full-backs: Barnes' attacking runs and rating of 7.66 pose a threat on the wings.

Aston Villa vs Newcastle — Maç Analizi

The Oracle sees Villa's fortress standing strong, with winds of victory blowing from the east. Ancient wisdom reveals a clash where form and home soil tilt the scales in favor of the hosts.

Based on the data, Aston Villa is predicted to win this FA Cup match at Villa Park, with a 44% probability from bookmaker odds and API-Football's model indicating Aston Villa as the predicted winner, though with a lower home win probability of 35%.

Form Analysis: Aston Villa shows strong recent form with a 5-match winning streak (WWWWW), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, including 2 clean sheets in the last 5 games. Newcastle has a mixed form of DWDLW, averaging 1.4 goals scored but 2.4 conceded per match, with no clean sheets in the last 5 matches.

Key Factors: 1. Aston Villa's superior recent form and defensive solidity compared to Newcastle's higher goals conceded. 2. Home advantage with a rating of 0.55, which may provide a slight edge. 3. Newcastle has one player, J. Ramsey, listed as doubtful due to an ankle injury, potentially affecting their lineup.

Conclusion: The data supports Aston Villa as the favorite due to better form and home advantage, aligning with bookmaker odds and API-Football's prediction, though the confidence is medium due to some disagreement in probabilities.

Win Probabilities: Aston Villa: 44% · Draw: 26% · Newcastle: 30%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Aston Villa wins: 5 · Draws: 2 · Newcastle wins: 3

Form: Aston Villa: WWLDW · Newcastle: DLLLW

  • D. Malen vs Newcastle Defense: Malen's goal-scoring ability against Newcastle's weak defense could be decisive.
  • Bruno Guimarães vs Aston Villa Midfield: Guimarães' creativity and assists will test Villa's defensive midfield.
  • H. Barnes vs Aston Villa Full-backs: Barnes' attacking runs and rating of 7.66 pose a threat on the wings.

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