FBC Melgar is predicted to win based on superior form, higher league position, and strong odds support.
Form Analysis: Juan Pablo II College has lost 3 consecutive matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game, with no clean sheets in the last 5. FBC Melgar is unbeaten in 3, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, with 1 clean sheet. The API form comparison heavily favors Melgar (83% vs 17%).
Key Factors: (1) League standings: Melgar sits 5th with 24 points and +7 GD, while Juan Pablo II is 17th with 15 points and -15 GD. (2) Attack/defense comparison: Melgar dominates both attack (64% vs 36%) and defense (73% vs 27%). (3) Momentum: Juan Pablo II is on a 3-loss streak, while Melgar is on a 3-match unbeaten run.
Conclusion: All data points to an away win. The odds (50% away win) align with the API model (45% away win, predicted winner Melgar). Home advantage is minimal (rating 0.55) and cannot offset the form and quality gap.
