Almeria vs Malaga

SonuçSegunda División

Segunda División
Segunda División
19 Apr 2026
19:00
KAZANAN
Almeria

Almeria

🏠Ev
Nihai Skor
3-2
Tahmini: 1-1
Malaga

Malaga

✈️Deplasman
Oranlar
11.85
X3.75
23.80
🏟️Stadyum
UD Almeria Stadium
Galibiyet Olasılıkları
Ev39%
Beraberlik31%
Deplasman30%
🔮

Oracle'ın Vizyonu

The Oracle sees Almeria's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Malaga, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Yapay Zeka modelimiz, bu Segunda División karşılaşmasını Almeria ve Malaga arasında geçmiş performans verilerini, mevcut formu, kafa kafaya kayıtları ve taktiksel göstergeleri kullanarak analiz ediyor. Model, Almeria için %39'luk bir galibiyet olasılığı, beraberlik için %31'luk bir şans ve Malaga için %30'luk bir galibiyet olasılığı atıyor. En olası skor 1-1. Her iki takımın da gol atma olasılığı: %50. Bu tahmin, mevcut veri noktalarının kalitesi ve tutarlılığı temelinde medium güven derecesiyle derecelendirilmiştir.

Almeria 39%Beraberlik 31%Malaga 30%Tahmini Skor: 1-1BTTS: 50%
Tahmini Paylaş

Yapay Zeka Analizi ve Tahmin İncelemesi

Analiz ve Kilit Mücadeleler

Almeria

EV
Güçlü Yönler
  • Strong attack with 55% rating in API comparison
  • Home advantage with 0.55 rating
  • Key players like Adri Embarba and Sergio Arribas contributing goals and assists
Zayıf Yönler
  • Weak defense with 29% rating in API comparison
  • 0 clean sheets in last 5 games
  • Higher goals conceded average of 2.0

Malaga

DEPLASMAN
Güçlü Yönler
  • Excellent defense with 71% rating in API comparison and 3 clean sheets in last 5 games
  • 5-unbeaten streak showing strong momentum
  • Lower goals conceded average of 0.8
Zayıf Yönler
  • Weaker attack with 45% rating in API comparison
  • Fewer key scorers with only Rafa Rodríguez listed as top scorer

Kilit Oyuncu Mücadeleleri

⚔️Adri Embarba vs Malaga defense: Embarba's goal-scoring ability against Malaga's strong defensive unit will be crucial.
⚔️Sergio Arribas vs Malaga midfield: Arribas's creativity and assists could test Malaga's defensive midfield organization.
⚔️Rafa Rodríguez vs Almeria defense: Rodríguez's attacking threat against Almeria's weaker defense may decide the match outcome.

Birleşik Analiz

Çok kaynaklı tahmin konsensüsü

Düşük Anlaşma

Models disagree significantly. Suggests draw (38%) but proceed with caution.

Almeria Galibiyeti25%
Beraberlik38%
Malaga Galibiyeti38%

Anahtar İçgörüler

Tahminin arkasındaki gerekçe

Yapay Zeka Analizi
Orta Güven

Based on the structured data, the predicted outcome is a draw or Malaga win, with a slight edge to Almeria due to market probabilities, but significant factors favor Malaga.

Form Analysis: Almeria has a form of LWLWW with 67 goals for and 52 against, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, and is on a 1-loss streak with 0 clean sheets in the last 5 games. Malaga has a form of WDDDW with 58 goals for and 41 against, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, and is on a 5-unbeaten streak with 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games. Malaga shows stronger defensive form and momentum.

Key Factors: 1. Market probabilities indicate Almeria as favorite (50% home win), but API-Football model strongly favors Malaga or draw (45% away win, 45% draw, predicted winner Malaga). 2. Malaga's excellent defense with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games and lower goals conceded average. 3. No significant injuries reported for either team, so no major adjustments needed.

Conclusion: The data suggests a tight match with Malaga's defensive strength and unbeaten streak countering Almeria's home advantage and market favoritism. A draw or narrow Malaga win is most likely, aligning with API model advice.

İstatistiksel Bağlam
Malaga

Double chance : draw or Malaga

Takım Karşılaştırması

AlmeriaMalaga
Güç
46%
53%
Hücum Potansiyeli
55%
45%
Savunma Potansiyeli
29%
71%
Poisson Dağılımı
50%
50%
Kafa Kafaya Güç
38%
62%
Kafa Kafaya Gol
46%
54%
Maçı Kazanır
46%
53%

Almeria vs MalagaMaç Analizi

The Oracle sees Almeria's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Malaga, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the structured data, the predicted outcome is a draw or Malaga win, with a slight edge to Almeria due to market probabilities, but significant factors favor Malaga.

Form Analysis: Almeria has a form of LWLWW with 67 goals for and 52 against, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, and is on a 1-loss streak with 0 clean sheets in the last 5 games. Malaga has a form of WDDDW with 58 goals for and 41 against, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, and is on a 5-unbeaten streak with 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games. Malaga shows stronger defensive form and momentum.

Key Factors: 1. Market probabilities indicate Almeria as favorite (50% home win), but API-Football model strongly favors Malaga or draw (45% away win, 45% draw, predicted winner Malaga). 2. Malaga's excellent defense with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games and lower goals conceded average. 3. No significant injuries reported for either team, so no major adjustments needed.

Conclusion: The data suggests a tight match with Malaga's defensive strength and unbeaten streak countering Almeria's home advantage and market favoritism. A draw or narrow Malaga win is most likely, aligning with API model advice.

Win Probabilities: Almeria: 39% · Draw: 31% · Malaga: 30%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (20.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Almeria wins: 4 · Draws: 3 · Malaga wins: 3

Form: Almeria: WWLWL · Malaga: WDDDW

  • Adri Embarba vs Malaga defense: Embarba's goal-scoring ability against Malaga's strong defensive unit will be crucial.
  • Sergio Arribas vs Malaga midfield: Arribas's creativity and assists could test Malaga's defensive midfield organization.
  • Rafa Rodríguez vs Almeria defense: Rodríguez's attacking threat against Almeria's weaker defense may decide the match outcome.