Derby vs Ipswich

Résultat • Championship

Championship
Championship
7 Feb 2026
12:31
Derby

Derby

🏠Victoire
Score final
1-2
Prédit: 1-2
VAINQUEUR
Ipswich

Ipswich

✈️Extérieur
Cotes
13.70
X3.20
22.00
🏟️Stade
Pride Park
Probabilités de victoire
Domicile25%
Match nul29%
⭐Extérieur46%
🔮

Vision de l'Oracle

“The Oracle sees Ipswich's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.”

Notre modèle IA analyse cette rencontre Championship entre Derby et Ipswich en utilisant les données de performance historiques, la forme actuelle, les confrontations directes et les indicateurs tactiques. Le modèle attribue à Derby une probabilité de victoire de 25%, une probabilité de match nul de 29% et à Ipswich une probabilité de victoire de 46%. Le score le plus probable est 1-2. Probabilité que les deux équipes marquent : 50%. Ce pronostic est évalué avec une confiance low basée sur la qualité et la cohérence des points de données disponibles.

Derby 25%Match nul 29%Ipswich 46%Score prédit: 1-2BTTS: 50%
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Analyse IA et Revue de Prediction

⚡

Analyse et duels clés

Derby

DOMICILE
✓
Points forts
  • Recent unbeaten streak of 4 matches
  • Average 2.0 goals scored per match in last 5
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
⚠
Points faibles
  • 6 players out due to injuries or doubts
  • Lower league position (7th) with +7 GD
  • Head-to-head history shows fewer wins against Ipswich

Ipswich

EXTÉRIEUR
✓
Points forts
  • Higher league position (4th) with +21 GD
  • Fewer injuries with only 2 players out
  • Head-to-head advantage with 5 wins in last 5 meetings
⚠
Points faibles
  • Recent form includes a draw streak
  • Away from home, reducing home advantage
  • Average goals scored slightly lower at 1.8 per match

Duels de joueurs clés

⚔️C. Morris vs Ipswich defense: Morris's scoring ability (10 goals) will test Ipswich's defensive organization, which has conceded 1.0 goals per match on average.
⚔️J. Philogene vs Derby midfield: Philogene's attacking contributions (6 goals, 1 assist) could challenge Derby's 4-2-3-1 setup, especially with their injury concerns in defense.
⚔️Midfield control: Both teams use 4-2-3-1, making the battle in central areas crucial for dictating play and creating chances.

Derby vs Ipswich — Analyse du match

The Oracle sees Ipswich's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Based on the data, Ipswich is predicted to win this match, with a 46% probability from bookmaker odds and 45% from the statistical model, indicating a consensus away favorite.

Form Analysis: Derby has a 4 unbeaten streak (WDWWL) with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Ipswich has a 1 draw streak (DLWWW) with 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Both teams have 2 clean sheets in their last 5 matches, showing defensive solidity.

Key Factors: 1. Ipswich holds a higher league position (4th vs 7th) with a 6-point and +21 GD advantage over Derby. 2. Derby has 6 players out due to injuries or doubts, compared to Ipswich's 2, potentially weakening their squad depth. 3. Head-to-head history favors Ipswich with 5 wins in the last 5 meetings, though Derby has 3 wins overall.

Conclusion: The data supports Ipswich as the likely winner due to superior standings, fewer injuries, and historical edge, despite Derby's recent unbeaten form and home advantage.

Win Probabilities: Derby: 25% · Draw: 29% · Ipswich: 46%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Derby wins: 5 · Draws: 2 · Ipswich wins: 3

Form: Derby: LWWDW · Ipswich: WWWLD

  • C. Morris vs Ipswich defense: Morris's scoring ability (10 goals) will test Ipswich's defensive organization, which has conceded 1.0 goals per match on average.
  • J. Philogene vs Derby midfield: Philogene's attacking contributions (6 goals, 1 assist) could challenge Derby's 4-2-3-1 setup, especially with their injury concerns in defense.
  • Midfield control: Both teams use 4-2-3-1, making the battle in central areas crucial for dictating play and creating chances.

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