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  1. Home
  2. Virsliga
  3. FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils

FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils

Prediction • Virsliga·FS Jelgava·BFC Daugavpils

Virsliga
Virsliga
Oct 25, 2026
12:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
FS Jelgava

FS Jelgava

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs
Early projection · Odds pending
BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils

Away
Stadium
Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs
Win Probabilities
40%
FS Jelgava
26%
Draw
34%
BFC Daugavpils
Home2.5040%
Draw3.8526%
Away2.9434%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

FS Jelgava are favored at 40% to win at home against BFC Daugavpils. The draw is rated 26% and the away win 34%, so the numbers point to a home result.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0FS Jelgava
/10
0.0BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
FormLatest first
LDLWW
Win Rate40%
BFC Daugavpils
FormLatest first
DLDLD
Win Rate0%
Momentum AdvantageFS Jelgava+4.0

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
4/10
Over 2.5 Goals
3/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0.8
Avg Scored
0.9
Defense
3/10
Clean Sheets
1/10
1.7
Avg Conceded
1.2
Match Flow
5/10
Scored First
5/10
0.0
Avg Cards
0.0
0.0
Avg Corners
0.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

FS Jelgava
Home

FS Jelgava

Form
WWLDL
Latest first
6
Pos
38
Pts
-17
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 31 matches)

Clean Sheets516%
Goal Diff-17
  • Home advantage at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs
  • Attack rated at 78% in API comparison
  • Average 1.4 goals scored per game in last 5
BFC Daugavpils
Away

BFC Daugavpils

Form
DLDLD
Latest first
4
Pos
48
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 31 matches)

Clean Sheets929%
Goal Diff0
  • Superior head-to-head record: 6 wins in last 9
  • Higher league position (5th vs 7th)
  • Defense rated at 56% in API comparison

Head to Head

Last 10
FS Jelgava
FS Jelgava
1Wins
3
Draws
BFC Daugavpils
6Wins
BFC Daugavpils
10%30%60%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Aug12026
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
2-1
Loss
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
May312026
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
1-1
Draw
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
Apr162026
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
1-0
Loss
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
Oct182025
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
0-0
Draw
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
Jul272025
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
2-0
Loss
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
May252025
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
1-0
Loss
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
Apr102025
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
4-1
Win
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
Sep12024
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
0-0
Draw
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
Jun212024
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
3-0
Loss
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
May32024
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
1-0
Loss
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava

Past Predictions

67%2/3 correct

BFC Daugavpils 2 - 1 FS Jelgava

Aug 1, 2026

46% / 31% / 23%

FS Jelgava 1 - 1 BFC Daugavpils

May 31, 2026

31% / 32% / 37%

BFC Daugavpils 1 - 0 FS Jelgava

Apr 16, 2026

46% / 31% / 23%

FS Jelgava4-3-3vs4-2-3-1BFC DaugavpilsPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Balanced matchup. Control in wide areas vs central creativity.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Virsliga

League Statistics

Virsliga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Rīgas FS
3023527122+4974
2
Riga
3122728630+5673
3
Auda
3118764930+1961
4
FK Liepaja
31127124143-243
5
BFC DaugavpilsAway
31109123535039
6
Super Nova
30105152940-1135
7
FS JelgavaHome
3188153249-1732
8
Grobiņa
31511152152-3126
9
Tukums
3159174461-1724
10
Ogre United
3146213076-4618
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

FS Jelgava

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

40%FS Jelgava
26%Draw
34%BFC Daugavpils

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Oct 25 · 12:00
StadiumZemgales Olimpiskais centrs
League StatsVirsliga
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · FS JelgavaInjuries · BFC DaugavpilsLive scores →

Statistical Context

FS Jelgava

LDLWW
  • LSep 19, 26H · Riga0-1
  • DSep 12, 26A · Grobiņa0-0
  • LSep 5, 26H · Super Nova0-1
  • WAug 29, 26A · Tukums1-4
  • WAug 22, 26A · Ogre United2-3

BFC Daugavpils

DLDLD
  • DSep 19, 26A · FK Liepaja0-0
  • LSep 13, 26H · Rīgas FS1-2
  • DSep 7, 26A · Riga1-1
  • LAug 29, 26A · Grobiņa1-0
  • DAug 22, 26A · Super Nova0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4FK Liepaja31-243DDDWL
5BFC Daugavpils31039DLDLD
6Super Nova30-1135LLWWD
7FS Jelgava31-1732LDLWW
8Grobiņa31-3126DDLWL

Head to Head

1
FS Jelgava
3
Draws
6
BFC Daugavpils
  • Aug 1, 26BFC Daugavpils – FS Jelgava2-1
  • May 31, 26FS Jelgava – BFC Daugavpils1-1
  • Apr 16, 26BFC Daugavpils – FS Jelgava1-0
  • Oct 18, 25FS Jelgava – BFC Daugavpils0-0
  • Jul 27, 25BFC Daugavpils – FS Jelgava2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

FS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
Played3131
Goals Scored3235
Goals Conceded4935
Avg Scored1.01.1
Avg Conceded1.61.1
Clean Sheets59

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

FS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
Over 2.5 Goals4/103/10
Both Teams Scored4/106/10
Clean Sheets3/101/10

Predicted line-ups: FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils

Predicted XI

FS Jelgava

4-3-3Formation· Coach: A. Basov

BFC Daugavpils

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: S. Pohodin

  1. 12J. Beks
  1. 66K. Bujanovs
  2. 33D. Cucurs
  3. 37Gļebs Mihaļcovs
  4. 34Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand
  1. 10E. Ivanovs
  2. 11J. Yakubu
  1. 27M. Kopilovs
  2. 4W. Mukwelle
  3. 19E. Pinaskins
  1. 3D. Ayebadiepreye
  1. 9R. Bečers
  2. 8R. Meļķis
  3. 20G. Patika
  1. 23Ā. Dreimanis
  2. 24Filip Hašek
  3. 11M. Hašek
  1. 27K. Aļekseičiks
  2. 4A. Kangars
  3. 13J. Novikovs
  4. 19A. Pētersons
  1. 1A. Dvorak

Bench

  • 16T. Leitis
  • 3M. Semeško
  • 22M. Pudil
  • 29G. Žaleiko
  • 17T. Rataj
  • 18E. Smaukstelis
  • 30S. Belaník

Bench

  • 1J. Saveljevs
  • 5Papa
  • 8R. Skrebels
  • 20Ceti Junior Taty Tchibinda
  • 9A. Traore
  • 97D. Kiwinda
  • 99D. Aronisko

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils — Expert Prediction & Analysis

FS Jelgava are favored at 40% to win at home against BFC Daugavpils. The draw is rated 26% and the away win 34%, so the numbers point to a home result.

BFC Daugavpils are the narrow favourites for this Virsliga fixture, though the contest is finely balanced and a draw is a genuine possibility. The visitors sit higher in the table and hold a commanding head-to-head record, but their recent form is patchy, while FS Jelgava have shown flashes of quality at home.…

Win Probabilities: FS Jelgava: 40% · Draw: 26% · BFC Daugavpils: 34%

H2H: FS Jelgava wins: 1 · Draws: 3 · BFC Daugavpils wins: 6

Form (latest first): FS Jelgava: LDLWW · BFC Daugavpils: DLDLD

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Virsliga

Virsliga

Latvia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
VirsligaLatvia
Tukums
Oct 1011:00
Riga
116.676%
X7.1414%
21.2580%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Super Nova
Oct 1013:00
Grobiņa
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Oct 1111:00
BFC Daugavpils
15.0020%
X3.4529%
21.9651%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Rīgas FS
Oct 1113:00
FS Jelgava
11.2282%
X7.1414%
225.004%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
FK Liepaja
Oct 1215:00
Auda
13.7027%
X3.2331%
22.3842%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Rīgas FS
Oct 1514:00
Super Nova
Early projection
11.2779%
X7.6913%
212.508%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Grobiņa
Oct 1711:00
Ogre United
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
FK Liepaja
Oct 1813:00
FS Jelgava
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Riga
Oct 1813:00
Super Nova
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
BFC Daugavpils
Oct 1915:00
Auda
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.5522%
22.0050%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Rīgas FS
Oct 1916:00
Tukums
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Tukums
Oct 2410:00
FK Liepaja
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Oct 2511:00
Auda
Early projection
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Super Nova
Oct 2516:00
Rīgas FS
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.5618%
21.5664%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Grobiņa
Oct 2616:00
Riga
Early projection
18.3312%
X6.6715%
21.3773%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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