NAC Breda vs Excelsior

Résultat • Eredivisie

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
6 Feb 2026
19:00
NAC Breda

NAC Breda

🏠Victoire
Score final
0-2
Prédit: 2-1
VAINQUEUR
Excelsior

Excelsior

✈️Extérieur
Cotes
11.91
X3.50
23.60
🏟️Stade
Rat Verlegh Stadion
Probabilités de victoire
Domicile48%
Match nul26%
⭐Extérieur26%
🔮

Vision de l'Oracle

“The Oracle sees NAC Breda's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Excelsior, but the hosts' quality should shine through.”

Notre modèle IA analyse cette rencontre Eredivisie entre NAC Breda et Excelsior en utilisant les données de performance historiques, la forme actuelle, les confrontations directes et les indicateurs tactiques. Le modèle attribue à NAC Breda une probabilité de victoire de 48%, une probabilité de match nul de 26% et à Excelsior une probabilité de victoire de 26%. Le score le plus probable est 2-1. Probabilité que les deux équipes marquent : 60%. Ce pronostic est évalué avec une confiance low basée sur la qualité et la cohérence des points de données disponibles.

NAC Breda 48%Match nul 26%Excelsior 26%Score prédit: 2-1BTTS: 60%
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Analyse IA et Revue de Prediction

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Analyse et duels clés

NAC Breda

DOMICILE
✓
Points forts
  • Home advantage with rating 0.55
  • Head-to-head dominance with 4 wins in last 5 meetings
  • Higher average goals scored (1.4 vs 1.2)
⚠
Points faibles
  • Poor recent form with DDLDL and 17th place standing
  • 6 players out with injuries, potentially weakening squad depth
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games

Excelsior

EXTÉRIEUR
✓
Points forts
  • Better league position (13th vs 17th) with 7 more points
  • Recent form includes a 4-game draw streak, showing resilience
  • Fewer injuries with 3 players out compared to 6 for NAC Breda
⚠
Points faibles
  • Poor defensive record with 2.0 goals conceded on average
  • Lower average goals scored (1.2) and -15 goal difference
  • Away disadvantage and historical struggles against NAC Breda

Duels de joueurs clés

⚔️S. van Hooijdonk vs Excelsior defense: As NAC Breda's top scorer with 5 goals, his ability to break through Excelsior's backline will be crucial.
⚔️L. Holtby vs Excelsior midfield: With 3 assists, Holtby's playmaking in midfield could dictate NAC Breda's attacking tempo against Excelsior's 4-1-4-1 setup.
⚔️N/A vs N/A: Insufficient data on Excelsior key players for specific matchups.

NAC Breda vs Excelsior — Analyse du match

The Oracle sees NAC Breda's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Excelsior, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, NAC Breda is predicted to win this match, supported by market probabilities and API-Football's prediction, with a slight edge in form and home advantage.

Form Analysis: NAC Breda has a form of DDLDL with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, while Excelsior has DDDDL with 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Both teams have recent draw streaks, but NAC Breda shows marginally better offensive metrics.

Key Factors: 1. Market and model consensus favor NAC Breda as the winner. 2. NAC Breda has a home advantage rating of 0.55. 3. Head-to-head history shows NAC Breda with 4 wins in the last 5 meetings, indicating a psychological edge.

Conclusion: The data points to a narrow victory for NAC Breda, driven by home advantage and historical dominance, despite both teams' poor form and injury concerns.

Win Probabilities: NAC Breda: 48% · Draw: 26% · Excelsior: 26%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: NAC Breda wins: 3 · Draws: 2 · Excelsior wins: 4

Form: NAC Breda: LDLDD · Excelsior: LDDDD

  • S. van Hooijdonk vs Excelsior defense: As NAC Breda's top scorer with 5 goals, his ability to break through Excelsior's backline will be crucial.
  • L. Holtby vs Excelsior midfield: With 3 assists, Holtby's playmaking in midfield could dictate NAC Breda's attacking tempo against Excelsior's 4-1-4-1 setup.
  • N/A vs N/A: Insufficient data on Excelsior key players for specific matchups.

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