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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima

FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima

Result • Liga 1·FC Cajamarca·Alianza Lima

Liga 1
Liga 1
May 31, 2026
18:15
high Confidence
DRAW
FC Cajamarca

FC Cajamarca

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
14.10
X3.30
21.95
Stadium
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
high Confidence
DRAW
Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima

Away
Odds
14.10
X3.30
21.95
Stadium
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
Win Probabilities
20%
FC Cajamarca
33%
Draw
47%
Alianza Lima
Home4.1020%
Draw3.3033%
Away1.9547%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Alianza Lima's defensive fortress overwhelming Cajamarca's hopes. Ancient wisdom reveals a narrow victory for the league leaders.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga 1 fixture between FC Cajamarca and Alianza Lima using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns FC Cajamarca a 20% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Alianza Lima a 47% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1H. Barcos vs Alianza Lima defense: Cajamarca's top scorer faces a defense that has kept 3 clean sheets in 5 games.
2E. Castillo vs Cajamarca defense: The league's top scorer (8 goals) will test a vulnerable backline.
3Midfield control: Cajamarca's 4-2-3-1 vs Alianza's 5-3-2; Alianza's numerical advantage in midfield could dominate possession.
Strengths · Weaknesses

FC Cajamarca

  • Recent unbeaten streak (4 matches)
  • Home advantage
  • Poor league position (15th)
  • No clean sheets in last 5

Alianza Lima

  • League leaders with 39 points
  • Excellent defense (3 clean sheets in last 5)
  • No significant weaknesses identified

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
47%
API-Football
45%
46%
Alianza Lima153946

Moderate agreement on away win (46%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Alianza Lima is predicted to win based on strong odds, superior form, and league position.

Form Analysis: Alianza Lima is on a 5-match unbeaten streak (WWDWW) with 3 clean sheets, while FC Cajamarca has a 4-match unbeaten streak but with no clean sheets and a recent loss. Alianza Lima's defense is excellent, conceding only 0.4 goals per game on average.

Key Factors: Alianza Lima leads the league with 39 points and a +22 goal difference, while Cajamarca is 15th with 16 points. The API model and odds both favor Alianza Lima. No significant injuries reported.

Conclusion: Alianza Lima's strong form, defensive solidity, and league dominance make them clear favorites. Cajamarca's home advantage is insufficient to overcome the gap.

Statistical ContextAlianza Lima

Double chance : draw or Alianza Lima

Team Comparison

AI Powered
FC CajamarcaAlianza Lima
36%Strength63%
56%Attacking Potential44%
22%Defensive Potential78%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
36%Wins the Game63%

Statistical Context

FC Cajamarca

WLLWL
  • WAug 28, 26A · Comerciantes Unidos2-3
  • LAug 21, 26H · Atletico Grau1-3
  • LAug 16, 26H · Universitario2-3
  • WAug 9, 26A · FBC Melgar2-4
  • LAug 1, 26H · Sport Huancayo0-2

Alianza Lima

LDWDW
  • LAug 30, 26H · Deportivo Garcilaso0-1
  • DAug 23, 26A · FBC Melgar1-1
  • WAug 16, 26H · UTC Cajamarca1-0
  • DAug 9, 26A · Sport Boys1-1
  • WAug 2, 26H · Alianza Atletico3-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5Cusco7+312WLWLW
6Alianza Lima7+312LDWDW
7FBC Melgar6+411DWLDW
8Juan Pablo II College7+311WWLDL
9Sporting Cristal7+210LLWDW
10Atletico Grau6+210WWDLL
11Sport Huancayo7010WLLDW
12Comerciantes Unidos7+18LWLWL
13FC Cajamarca7-37WLLWL
14UCV Moquegua7-37LWDLD

Season Statistics — 2026

FC CajamarcaAlianza Lima
Played2323
Goals Scored3340
Goals Conceded4214
Avg Scored1.41.7
Avg Conceded1.80.6
Clean Sheets010

FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Alianza Lima's defensive fortress overwhelming Cajamarca's hopes. Ancient wisdom reveals a narrow victory for the league leaders.

Alianza Lima is predicted to win based on strong odds, superior form, and league position.

Form Analysis: Alianza Lima is on a 5-match unbeaten streak (WWDWW) with 3 clean sheets, while FC Cajamarca has a 4-match unbeaten streak but with no clean sheets and a recent loss. Alianza Lima's defense is excellent, conceding only 0.4 goals per game on average.

Key Factors: Alianza Lima leads the league with 39 points and a +22 goal difference, while Cajamarca is 15th with 16 points. The API model and odds both favor Alianza Lima. No significant injuries reported.

Conclusion: Alianza Lima's strong form, defensive solidity, and league dominance make them clear favorites. Cajamarca's home advantage is insufficient to overcome the gap.

Win Probabilities: FC Cajamarca: 20% · Draw: 33% · Alianza Lima: 47%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

Form (latest first): FC Cajamarca: WLLWL · Alianza Lima: LDWDW

  • H. Barcos vs Alianza Lima defense: Cajamarca's top scorer faces a defense that has kept 3 clean sheets in 5 games.
  • E. Castillo vs Cajamarca defense: The league's top scorer (8 goals) will test a vulnerable backline.
  • Midfield control: Cajamarca's 4-2-3-1 vs Alianza's 5-3-2; Alianza's numerical advantage in midfield could dominate possession.

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
Atletico Grau
Sep 120:00
FBC Melgar
12.9434%
X3.3330%
22.7836%
Liga 1Peru
FC Cajamarca
Sep 418:00
Cienciano
14.1724%
X3.1332%
22.2744%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Atletico
Sep 420:15
UTC Cajamarca
11.9252%
X3.4529%
25.2619%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Sep 520:00
Sport Boys
12.2744%
X3.3330%
23.8526%
Liga 1Peru
Cusco
Sep 523:00
UCV Moquegua
11.3375%
X5.5618%
214.297%
Liga 1Peru
Universitario
Sep 601:30
Comerciantes Unidos
11.3972%
X5.0020%
212.508%
Liga 1Peru
Sporting Cristal
Sep 616:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
11.3773%
X5.2619%
212.508%
Liga 1Peru
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sep 618:30
Atletico Grau
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.2619%
25.5618%
Liga 1Peru
Juan Pablo II College
Sep 620:00
Alianza Lima
15.5618%
X3.3330%
21.9252%
Liga 1Peru
FBC Melgar
Sep 623:30
ADT
11.4768%
X4.5522%
210.0010%
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Sep 1120:00
Juan Pablo II College
Early projection
15.8817%
X5.8817%
21.5266%
Liga 1Peru
Cusco
Sep 1200:00
FBC Melgar
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Liga 1Peru
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sep 1215:30
FC Cajamarca
Early projection
12.3842%
X4.0025%
23.0333%
Liga 1Peru
Comerciantes Unidos
Sep 1218:00
Sport Huancayo
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.1724%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
UCV Moquegua
Sep 1220:15
Sporting Cristal
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%