Nacional vs Casa Pia

Résultat • Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
8 Feb 2026
15:30
MATCH NUL
Nacional

Nacional

🏠Victoire
Score final
0-0
Prédit: 1-0
MATCH NUL
Casa Pia

Casa Pia

✈️Extérieur
Cotes
12.10
X3.25
23.50
🏟️Stade
Estádio da Madeira
Probabilités de victoire
Domicile45%
⭐Match nul29%
Extérieur26%
🔮

Vision de l'Oracle

“The Oracle sees Nacional's historical dominance and home soil as decisive. Ancient wisdom reveals that goals will flow, but defense may falter under pressure.”

Notre modèle IA analyse cette rencontre Primeira Liga entre Nacional et Casa Pia en utilisant les données de performance historiques, la forme actuelle, les confrontations directes et les indicateurs tactiques. Le modèle attribue à Nacional une probabilité de victoire de 45%, une probabilité de match nul de 29% et à Casa Pia une probabilité de victoire de 26%. Le score le plus probable est 1-0. Probabilité que les deux équipes marquent : 50%. Ce pronostic est évalué avec une confiance low basée sur la qualité et la cohérence des points de données disponibles.

Nacional 45%Match nul 29%Casa Pia 26%Score prédit: 1-0BTTS: 50%
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Analyse IA et Revue de Prediction

⚡

Analyse et duels clés

Nacional

DOMICILE
✓
Points forts
  • Higher average goals scored (2.0 per game)
  • Strong head-to-head record against Casa Pia
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
⚠
Points faibles
  • Inconsistent recent form (LWLDL)
  • Defensive issues with 1.8 goals conceded per game
  • Only 1 clean sheet in last 5 matches

Casa Pia

EXTÉRIEUR
✓
Points forts
  • Recent win streak in form
  • Higher clean sheets in last 5 matches (1)
  • Aggressive 3-4-3 formation for attacking play
⚠
Points faibles
  • Poor average goals conceded (2.0 per game)
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Inferior head-to-head record with 4 losses in last 5 meetings

Duels de joueurs clés

⚔️C. Ramírez vs Casa Pia Defense: Ramírez's goal-scoring ability (7 goals) will test Casa Pia's defensive line, which has conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game.
⚔️David Sousa vs Nacional Defense: Sousa, with 1 goal, faces a Nacional defense that allows 1.8 goals per game, but Nacional's 5-4-1 setup could limit his opportunities.
⚔️Midfield Control: Nacional's 5-4-1 midfield vs Casa Pia's 3-4-3 midfield; this battle will be crucial in dictating tempo and creating chances for both sides.

Nacional vs Casa Pia — Analyse du match

The Oracle sees Nacional's historical dominance and home soil as decisive. Ancient wisdom reveals that goals will flow, but defense may falter under pressure.

Based on the data, Nacional is predicted to win this match, with a 45% probability, closely following the market probabilities and aligning with the API-Football model's predicted winner.

Form Analysis: Nacional has a mixed recent form (LWLDL) but shows a higher average goals scored (2.0) compared to Casa Pia's 1.2, and a slightly better defensive record with 1.8 goals conceded per game versus Casa Pia's 2.0. Casa Pia's form (WDLLD) includes a win streak but also failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games, indicating offensive inconsistency.

Key Factors: 1. Head-to-head history strongly favors Nacional with 4 wins in the last 5 meetings. 2. Nacional holds a home advantage with a rating of 0.55, playing at Estádio da Madeira. 3. Nacional's key player, C. Ramírez, has 7 goals, providing a significant attacking threat compared to Casa Pia's top scorer David Sousa with 1 goal.

Conclusion: The data supports Nacional as the favorite due to historical dominance, home advantage, and superior attacking output, despite both teams having similar recent form and standings.

Win Probabilities: Nacional: 45% · Draw: 29% · Casa Pia: 26%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (10.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Nacional wins: 4 · Draws: 1 · Casa Pia wins: 4

Form: Nacional: LDLWL · Casa Pia: DLLDW

  • C. Ramírez vs Casa Pia Defense: Ramírez's goal-scoring ability (7 goals) will test Casa Pia's defensive line, which has conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game.
  • David Sousa vs Nacional Defense: Sousa, with 1 goal, faces a Nacional defense that allows 1.8 goals per game, but Nacional's 5-4-1 setup could limit his opportunities.
  • Midfield Control: Nacional's 5-4-1 midfield vs Casa Pia's 3-4-3 midfield; this battle will be crucial in dictating tempo and creating chances for both sides.

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