Guimaraes vs Estrela

Résultat • Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
14 Feb 2026
18:00
VAINQUEUR
Guimaraes

Guimaraes

🏠Victoire
Score final
2-1
Prédit: 2-1
Estrela

Estrela

✈️Extérieur
Cotes
11.67
X3.50
25.50
🏟️Stade
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Probabilités de victoire
⭐Domicile56%
Match nul27%
Extérieur17%
🔮

Vision de l'Oracle

“The Oracle sees Guimaraes harnessing home energy to overcome Estrela's sporadic threats, with historical winds favoring the hosts in this clash.”

Notre modèle IA analyse cette rencontre Primeira Liga entre Guimaraes et Estrela en utilisant les données de performance historiques, la forme actuelle, les confrontations directes et les indicateurs tactiques. Le modèle attribue à Guimaraes une probabilité de victoire de 56%, une probabilité de match nul de 27% et à Estrela une probabilité de victoire de 17%. Le score le plus probable est 2-1. Probabilité que les deux équipes marquent : 40%. Ce pronostic est évalué avec une confiance medium basée sur la qualité et la cohérence des points de données disponibles.

Guimaraes 56%Match nul 27%Estrela 17%Score prédit: 2-1BTTS: 40%
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Analyse IA et Revue de Prediction

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Analyse et duels clés

Guimaraes

DOMICILE
✓
Points forts
  • Home advantage with rating 0.55
  • Better offensive output averaging 1.4 goals per match
  • Strong head-to-head record with 4 wins in last 5 meetings
⚠
Points faibles
  • Defensive vulnerability averaging 1.8 goals conceded per match
  • Inconsistent form with LWLLW in recent matches
  • Only 1 clean sheet in last 5 games

Estrela

EXTÉRIEUR
✓
Points forts
  • Recent win streak of 1 game
  • Key player S. Lopes Cabral with 5 goals and 2 assists
  • 3-4-3 formation offering attacking width
⚠
Points faibles
  • Poor defensive record averaging 2.2 goals conceded per match
  • Low offensive output averaging 0.6 goals scored per match
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games

Duels de joueurs clés

⚔️N/A vs S. Lopes Cabral: Guimaraes defenders must contain Estrela's top scorer to limit away team's attacking threat.
⚔️N/A vs N/A: Midfield battle between Guimaraes' 4-2-3-1 and Estrela's 3-4-3 could determine control of the game.
⚔️N/A vs N/A: Guimaraes' attackers vs Estrela's defense, focusing on exploiting Estrela's high goals conceded average.

Guimaraes vs Estrela — Analyse du match

The Oracle sees Guimaraes harnessing home energy to overcome Estrela's sporadic threats, with historical winds favoring the hosts in this clash.

Based on the structured data, Guimaraes is predicted to win this match, with a 56% probability from market odds and support from the API-Football model's predicted winner and advice for a double chance favoring Guimaraes or draw.

Form Analysis: Guimaraes shows a mixed form with LWLLW, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Estrela has WDLLD, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Guimaraes has a slight edge in offensive output, and Estrela's failure to score in 2 of their last 5 games indicates attacking struggles.

Key Factors: 1. Home advantage with a rating of 0.55 favors Guimaraes. 2. Head-to-head history shows Guimaraes with 4 wins in the last 5 meetings, providing a psychological edge. 3. League standings show Guimaraes in 9th place with 28 points and -7 GD, compared to Estrela in 11th with 23 points and -12 GD, indicating a quality difference.

Conclusion: The data supports Guimaraes as the favorite due to home advantage, historical dominance, and better league position, aligning with market and model probabilities.

Win Probabilities: Guimaraes: 56% · Draw: 27% · Estrela: 17%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Guimaraes wins: 4 · Draws: 1 · Estrela wins: 1

Form: Guimaraes: WLLWL · Estrela: DLLDW

  • N/A vs S. Lopes Cabral: Guimaraes defenders must contain Estrela's top scorer to limit away team's attacking threat.
  • N/A vs N/A: Midfield battle between Guimaraes' 4-2-3-1 and Estrela's 3-4-3 could determine control of the game.
  • N/A vs N/A: Guimaraes' attackers vs Estrela's defense, focusing on exploiting Estrela's high goals conceded average.

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