Kasımpaşa vs Fatih Karagümrük

Résultat • Süper Lig

Süper Lig
Süper Lig
16 Feb 2026
17:00
VAINQUEUR
Kasımpaşa

Kasımpaşa

🏠Victoire
Score final
3-2
Prédit: 2-1
Fatih Karagümrük

Fatih Karagümrük

✈️Extérieur
Cotes
11.83
X3.50
24.00
🏟️Stade
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Probabilités de victoire
⭐Domicile50%
Match nul26%
Extérieur24%
🔮

Vision de l'Oracle

“The Oracle sees Kasımpaşa favored by the winds of home, yet shadows of doubt linger with injuries and form. Ancient wisdom reveals a narrow victory amidst defensive struggles.”

Notre modèle IA analyse cette rencontre Süper Lig entre Kasımpaşa et Fatih Karagümrük en utilisant les données de performance historiques, la forme actuelle, les confrontations directes et les indicateurs tactiques. Le modèle attribue à Kasımpaşa une probabilité de victoire de 50%, une probabilité de match nul de 26% et à Fatih Karagümrük une probabilité de victoire de 24%. Le score le plus probable est 2-1. Probabilité que les deux équipes marquent : 60%. Ce pronostic est évalué avec une confiance low basée sur la qualité et la cohérence des points de données disponibles.

Kasımpaşa 50%Match nul 26%Fatih Karagümrük 24%Score prédit: 2-1BTTS: 60%
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Analyse IA et Revue de Prediction

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Analyse et duels clés

Kasımpaşa

DOMICILE
✓
Points forts
  • Home advantage with rating 0.55
  • Head-to-head record shows 4 wins in last 5 meetings
  • Clean sheets in 2 of last 5 games
⚠
Points faibles
  • 3 consecutive losses
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • 5 players out with doubtful status

Fatih Karagümrük

EXTÉRIEUR
✓
Points forts
  • Recent win streak of 1
  • Higher average goals scored per game (1.0)
⚠
Points faibles
  • Poor defensive record with 39 goals conceded in last 5 matches
  • 6 players out with doubtful status
  • Lower league standing at 18th place

Duels de joueurs clés

⚔️P. Guèye vs Fatih Karagümrük defense: Guèye's goal-scoring ability against a weak defense could be decisive.
⚔️D. Fofana vs Kasımpaşa defense: Fofana's attacking threat against Kasımpaşa's defense, which has conceded 29 goals in last 5 matches.
⚔️Midfield battle in 4-2-3-1 setups: Both teams use similar formations, making midfield control crucial for possession and transitions.

Kasımpaşa vs Fatih Karagümrük — Analyse du match

The Oracle sees Kasımpaşa favored by the winds of home, yet shadows of doubt linger with injuries and form. Ancient wisdom reveals a narrow victory amidst defensive struggles.

Based on the data, Kasımpaşa is predicted to win this match, supported by market probabilities and home advantage, despite conflicting model predictions.

Form Analysis: Kasımpaşa has a 3-loss streak and scored 16 goals in the last 5 matches, averaging 0.8 goals per game, while Fatih Karagümrük has a 1-win streak and scored 18 goals, averaging 1.0 goals per game. Both teams have defensive issues, with Kasımpaşa conceding 29 goals and Fatih Karagümrük conceding 39 goals in the last 5 matches.

Key Factors: 1. Market probabilities favor Kasımpaşa with 50% home win probability, indicating a slight edge. 2. Kasımpaşa has home advantage with a rating of 0.55, which may boost their performance. 3. Both teams have multiple doubtful players, potentially affecting lineup stability.

Conclusion: The data suggests Kasımpaşa is more likely to win due to market support and home advantage, but the match could be close given the teams' poor form and injuries.

Win Probabilities: Kasımpaşa: 50% · Draw: 26% · Fatih Karagümrük: 24%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: Kasımpaşa wins: 4 · Draws: 2 · Fatih Karagümrük wins: 4

Form: Kasımpaşa: WDLLL · Fatih Karagümrük: LLLLW

  • P. Guèye vs Fatih Karagümrük defense: Guèye's goal-scoring ability against a weak defense could be decisive.
  • D. Fofana vs Kasımpaşa defense: Fofana's attacking threat against Kasımpaşa's defense, which has conceded 29 goals in last 5 matches.
  • Midfield battle in 4-2-3-1 setups: Both teams use similar formations, making midfield control crucial for possession and transitions.

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