Based on the data, Rosario Central is predicted to win with a slight edge, as indicated by the market probabilities (34% away win vs. 33% home win and draw) and the API-Football model's predicted winner of Rosario Central. The probabilities closely follow the market baseline, with minor adjustments from form and statistical analysis.
Form Analysis: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto has struggled offensively, failing to score in 5 of their last 5 games, with 3 goals for and 17 against in that period, indicating poor form. Rosario Central has a better attack rating (100% vs. 0% for home) and overall strength (76.7% vs. 23.3%), though they also failed to score in 3 of their last 5 games. Both teams are on a 1-draw streak, but Rosario Central shows stronger statistical metrics.
Key Factors: 1. Rosario Central's superior attack and overall strength per API-Football comparison. 2. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto's offensive struggles, failing to score in recent games. 3. The market and model alignment on Rosario Central as the favorite, despite close odds.
Conclusion: The data supports a narrow away win for Rosario Central, given their statistical advantages and the home team's poor scoring form, though the probabilities remain close to the market due to the tight odds.
