Based on the data, America de Cali is predicted to win or draw, with a home win as the most likely outcome. The market probabilities show a close match (33% home, 33% draw, 34% away), but the API-Football model strongly favors America de Cali (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away), and the API team comparison gives America de Cali a 65.8% overall advantage. America de Cali's superior form (LWLDW vs. LLLDD), higher league standing (6th vs. 20th), and home advantage support this prediction, with adjustments made within 10% of market probabilities.
Form Analysis: America de Cali has a form of 78% vs. Deportivo Pereira's 22%, based on API comparison. In their last 5 matches, America de Cali has 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss (LWLDW), with 19 goals for and 12 against, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, and 2 clean sheets. Deportivo Pereira has 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses (LLLDD), with 14 goals for and 29 against, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, and 0 clean sheets. Deportivo Pereira is on a 3-game losing streak, while America de Cali has a 1-game draw streak.
Key Factors: 1. America de Cali has a significant form advantage (78% vs. 22%) and better recent results. 2. Deportivo Pereira's 3-game losing streak and poor defense (1.8 avg goals conceded) are major weaknesses. 3. The API-Football model predicts America de Cali as the winner with a double chance (win or draw), reinforcing the odds-based analysis.
Conclusion: The data indicates America de Cali is more likely to win or draw, with a home win the most probable outcome. Market probabilities are close, but API model and form strongly favor America de Cali, leading to adjusted probabilities within 10% of market values.
