Based on the data, Deportivo Pasto is predicted to win or draw, with a slight edge for a home win. The market probabilities are nearly even, but the API-Football model strongly favors Deportivo Pasto, and the team comparison data supports this with a higher overall rating and H2H strength.
Form Analysis: Deportivo Pasto has form DLWWL with 21 goals for and 17 against, averaging 1.4 goals scored and conceded per match, and 2 clean sheets in the last 5. Santa Fe has form DLWWD with 18 goals for and 19 against, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, and 0 clean sheets. Both teams are on a 1-draw streak, but Deportivo Pasto has better defensive metrics and a higher league position (2nd vs 13th).
Key Factors: 1. API-Football model predicts Deportivo Pasto as winner with 45% home win probability and 45% draw probability, advising a double chance. 2. Deportivo Pasto leads in H2H with 4 wins vs 4 for Santa Fe, but has a 62% H2H strength rating. 3. Home advantage rating of 0.55 and no significant injuries for either team.
Conclusion: The data suggests Deportivo Pasto is more likely to win or draw, with a home win slightly favored due to model support and home advantage, aligning closely with market probabilities.
