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  1. Home
  2. Primera A
  3. Alianza Valledupar vs Fortaleza FC

Alianza Valledupar vs Fortaleza FC

Result • Primera A·Alianza Valledupar·Fortaleza FC

Primera A
Primera A
Jul 26, 2026
23:10
medium Confidence
DRAW
Alianza Valledupar

Alianza Valledupar

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.00
X3.10
24.00
Stadium
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
medium Confidence
DRAW
Fortaleza FC

Fortaleza FC

Away
Odds
12.00
X3.10
24.00
Stadium
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Win Probabilities
44%
Alianza Valledupar
31%
Draw
25%
Fortaleza FC
Home2.0044%
Draw3.1031%
Away4.0025%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Alianza Valledupar are favored at 45% to win at home against Fortaleza FC. The draw is rated 31% and the away win 24%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Primera A fixture between Alianza Valledupar and Fortaleza FC using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Alianza Valledupar a 44% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Fortaleza FC a 25% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1A. Arroyo vs Alianza defense: The away team's top scorer will be the main threat, and Alianza's backline must contain him to keep a clean sheet.
2Midfield control: Both teams will battle for possession in midfield, with the 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-1-1 matchup likely to see a congested central area.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Alianza Valledupar

  • Home advantage with decent record
  • Recent win boosting morale
  • Low win rate overall
  • Inconsistent form

Fortaleza FC

  • Top scorer A. Arroyo with 9 goals
  • Slightly better recent form
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Inconsistent results

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
44%
API-Football
33%
39%
Alianza Valledupar393229

Moderate agreement on home win (39%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Alianza Valledupar are slight favourites to win this Primera A clash against Fortaleza FC, according to the market. The home side holds a narrow edge, but the match is expected to be competitive.

Form Analysis: Alianza Valledupar come into this match with a recent win, breaking a run of two draws and two losses. Their form has been inconsistent, with a low win rate of 16% over the last five games. Fortaleza FC have drawn their last two matches and have a slightly better win rate of 26%, but they have also failed to score in two of their last five outings.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced, with two wins each and three draws in the last five meetings, suggesting little separates these sides. Fortaleza FC's top scorer A. Arroyo has netted 9 goals, providing a significant attacking threat. However, Alianza Valledupar have a decent home record with 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses in 9 home games, giving them a slight advantage.

Conclusion: With the odds favouring a home win but the form and head-to-head data showing parity, this match is finely poised. Alianza Valledupar's home advantage and recent win give them a slight edge, but a draw is a very realistic outcome given the history.

Statistical Context

No predictions available

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Alianza ValleduparFortaleza FC
47%Strength52%
50%Attacking Potential50%
42%Defensive Potential58%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
47%Wins the Game52%

Statistical Context

Alianza Valledupar

LDLLD
  • LAug 26, 26A · Cucuta1-0
  • DAug 22, 26H · Deportivo Pereira0-0
  • LAug 9, 26H · Bucaramanga2-3
  • LAug 1, 26H · Deportes Tolima1-2
  • DMay 3, 26H · Millonarios2-2

Fortaleza FC

LWLDW
  • LAug 23, 26H · Atletico Nacional1-2
  • WAug 8, 26H · Cucuta2-0
  • LAug 4, 26A · Llaneros3-1
  • DAug 1, 26H · Deportivo Pereira0-0
  • WMay 3, 26H · Bucaramanga2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
12Santa Fe4+15DWDLL
13Fortaleza FC5-15LWLDD
14Internacional de Bogota5-25DDLWL
15Jaguares5-54WDLLL
16Deportivo Pereira3-12DDLLW
17Alianza Valledupar5-32LDLLD
18Junior3-21DLLLW

Head to Head

2
Alianza Valledupar
3
Draws
2
Fortaleza FC
  • Jan 17, 26Fortaleza FC – Alianza Valledupar1-0
  • Jul 28, 25Fortaleza FC – Alianza Valledupar2-2
  • Mar 26, 25Alianza Valledupar – Fortaleza FC0-0
  • Sep 8, 24Alianza Valledupar – Fortaleza FC1-1
  • Feb 28, 24Fortaleza FC – Alianza Valledupar1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Alianza ValleduparFortaleza FC
Played2323
Goals Scored1726
Goals Conceded3331
Avg Scored0.71.1
Avg Conceded1.41.4
Clean Sheets55

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Alianza ValleduparFortaleza FC
Over 2.5 Goals—4/10
Both Teams Scored—4/10
Clean Sheets—2/10

Alianza Valledupar vs Fortaleza FC — Match Analysis

Alianza Valledupar are favored at 45% to win at home against Fortaleza FC. The draw is rated 31% and the away win 24%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Alianza Valledupar are slight favourites to win this Primera A clash against Fortaleza FC, according to the market. The home side holds a narrow edge, but the match is expected to be competitive.

Form Analysis: Alianza Valledupar come into this match with a recent win, breaking a run of two draws and two losses. Their form has been inconsistent, with a low win rate of 16% over the last five games. Fortaleza FC have drawn their last two matches and have a slightly better win rate of 26%, but they have also failed to score in two of their last five outings.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced, with two wins each and three draws in the last five meetings, suggesting little separates these sides. Fortaleza FC's top scorer A. Arroyo has netted 9 goals, providing a significant attacking threat. However, Alianza Valledupar have a decent home record with 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses in 9 home games, giving them a slight advantage.

Conclusion: With the odds favouring a home win but the form and head-to-head data showing parity, this match is finely poised. Alianza Valledupar's home advantage and recent win give them a slight edge, but a draw is a very realistic outcome given the history.

Win Probabilities: Alianza Valledupar: 44% · Draw: 31% · Fortaleza FC: 25%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Alianza Valledupar wins: 2 · Draws: 3 · Fortaleza FC wins: 2

Form (latest first): Alianza Valledupar: LDLLD · Fortaleza FC: LWLDW

  • A. Arroyo vs Alianza defense: The away team's top scorer will be the main threat, and Alianza's backline must contain him to keep a clean sheet.
  • Midfield control: Both teams will battle for possession in midfield, with the 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-1-1 matchup likely to see a congested central area.

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Primera A

Primera A

Colombia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera AColombia
Chico
Aug 2621:00
Fortaleza FC
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Primera AColombia
America de Cali
Aug 2623:20
Junior
11.9651%
X3.2331%
25.5618%
Primera AColombia
Atletico Nacional
Aug 2701:30
Deportivo Cali
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
Primera AColombia
Llaneros
Aug 2723:10
Millonarios
15.0020%
X3.1332%
22.0848%
Primera AColombia
Internacional de Bogota
Aug 2801:15
Deportivo Pasto
12.0050%
X3.2331%
25.2619%
Primera AColombia
Jaguares
Aug 2921:25
America de Cali
15.5618%
X3.3330%
21.9252%
Primera AColombia
Junior
Aug 2923:30
Santa Fe
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
Primera AColombia
Alianza Valledupar
Aug 3001:30
Atletico Nacional
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Primera AColombia
Águilas Doradas
Aug 3019:00
Chico
11.6461%
X4.0025%
27.1414%
Primera AColombia
Independiente Medellin
Aug 3021:10
Llaneros
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Primera AColombia
Millonarios
Aug 3023:15
Internacional de Bogota
11.5266%
X4.1724%
210.0010%
Primera AColombia
Deportivo Cali
Aug 3101:20
Bucaramanga
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
Primera AColombia
Deportivo Pasto
Aug 3123:00
Deportivo Pereira
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Primera AColombia
Deportes Tolima
Sep 101:05
Cucuta
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%
Primera AColombia
Fortaleza FC
Sep 201:00
Once Caldas
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%