Based on the data, Watford is predicted to win with a slight edge, supported by market probabilities and API-Football model alignment, though Middlesbrough's home advantage and H2H history provide counterbalance.
Form Analysis: Middlesbrough has a form of 38% with recent results DLDDL, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, and failed to score in 2 of last 5 games. Watford has a form of 63% with recent results DLDWL, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Both teams have 1 clean sheet in last 5 matches and are on a 1-draw streak.
Key Factors: 1. Market probabilities slightly favor Watford (34% away win vs. 33% home win and draw). 2. API-Football model predicts Watford as winner with 45% away win probability and advises double chance draw or Watford. 3. Middlesbrough has 5 doubtful injuries, potentially weakening their lineup despite home advantage.
Conclusion: The data indicates Watford as the most likely winner, with a close match expected due to similar odds and form factors, leading to a medium confidence prediction.
