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  1. Home
  2. Liga MX
  3. Necaxa vs Atlante FC

Necaxa vs Atlante FC

Result • Liga MX·Necaxa·Atlante FC

Liga MX
Liga MX
Jul 17, 2026
01:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Necaxa

Necaxa

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.89
X3.65
23.75
Stadium
Estadio Victoria
medium Confidence
Atlante FC

Atlante FC

Away
Odds
11.89
X3.65
23.75
Stadium
Estadio Victoria
Win Probabilities
46%
Necaxa
27%
Draw
27%
Atlante FC
Home1.8946%
Draw3.6527%
Away3.7527%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Necaxa are favoured to win with a 50% probability, backed by 3 clean sheets in their last 5 games. The main risk is Atlante's ability to score, as they have found the net in 3 of their last 5 matches.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga MX fixture between Necaxa and Atlante FC using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Necaxa a 46% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Atlante FC a 27% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Necaxa's central defenders vs Atlante's forwards: Necaxa's clean sheet record suggests their defence can handle Atlante's attack.
2Midfield battle: Both teams use 4-3-3, so control of the midfield will be crucial for dictating tempo.
3Necaxa's wingers vs Atlante's full-backs: Necaxa's wide players could exploit space behind Atlante's full-backs.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Necaxa

  • Solid defence with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Unbeaten in last 3 matches
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Mixed recent form (WDLLL)

Atlante FC

  • Able to score in 3 of last 5 games
  • Recent 2-match draw streak shows resilience
  • Only 1 clean sheet in last 5
  • Higher goals conceded average (1.6)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
46%
API-Football
33%
40%
Necaxa403030

Moderate agreement on home win (40%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the data, Necaxa are the clear favourites to win this Liga MX encounter against Atlante FC. The bookmaker-implied probabilities give Necaxa a 50% chance, while the API-Football model sees a balanced contest but does not contradict the odds. Necaxa's recent form shows a 3-match unbeaten streak with 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, indicating a solid defensive foundation. Atlante FC, on the other hand, have struggled with only 1 clean sheet in their last 5 and have failed to score in 2 of those matches.

Form Analysis: Necaxa's form (WDLLL) is mixed, but they have shown resilience with 3 clean sheets. Atlante FC's form is not provided, but their average goals conceded (1.6) is higher than Necaxa's (1.4), suggesting defensive vulnerabilities. Necaxa also average 1.6 goals scored per game, compared to Atlante's 1.2, giving them an edge in attack.

Key Factors: 1) Necaxa's strong defensive record with 3 clean sheets in 5 games. 2) Atlante FC's tendency to concede goals, averaging 1.6 per game. 3) No significant injuries reported for either side, so both teams are at full strength.

Conclusion: The data points to a Necaxa victory, with their defence likely to keep Atlante at bay while their attack finds the net. The odds and form align, making a home win the most probable outcome.

Statistical Context

No predictions available

Team Comparison

AI Powered
NecaxaAtlante FC
50%Strength50%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
50%Wins the Game50%

Statistical Context

Necaxa

LDLLW
  • LAug 29, 26H · Cruz Azul1-3
  • DAug 24, 26A · U.N.A.M. - Pumas1-1
  • LAug 18, 26H · Leon1-2
  • LAug 3, 26A · Toluca3-1
  • WJul 26, 26H · Monterrey2-1

Atlante FC

DLDWD
  • DAug 29, 26H · Leon1-1
  • LAug 22, 26A · Tigres UANL2-0
  • DAug 15, 26H · Toluca0-0
  • WAug 2, 26A · Cruz Azul2-3
  • DJul 25, 26H · Club America1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas608LDDWW
12Necaxa6-37LDLLW
13Atlante FC6-26DLDWD
14CF Pachuca605DDLLL

Season Statistics — 2026

NecaxaAtlante FC
Played56
Goals Scored76
Goals Conceded88
Avg Scored1.41.0
Avg Conceded1.61.3
Clean Sheets01

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Necaxa

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 12GL. Jiménez
  2. 16DC. Calderón
  3. 26DE. Lara
  4. 2DE. Martínez
  5. 33DR. Martínez
  6. 10ME. Almendra
  7. 232MR. Alonso
  8. 8ML. Faravelli
  9. 187AK. Armenta
  10. 9AT. Badaloni
  11. 21AJ. Carranza

Coach: G. Vázquez

Atlante FC

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 1GR. Barragan
  2. 33DL. Basulto
  3. 6DJ. N. Carrera
  4. 3DD. Cruz
  5. 30DE. Espinoza
  6. 18MC. Bermúdez
  7. 22ML. Calzadilla
  8. 27MA. Escobar
  9. 10AJ. Alonzo
  10. 15AJairón Andrés Charcopa Cabezas
  11. 25AR. Coubert

Coach: M. Herrera

Necaxa vs Atlante FC — Match Analysis

Necaxa are favoured to win with a 50% probability, backed by 3 clean sheets in their last 5 games. The main risk is Atlante's ability to score, as they have found the net in 3 of their last 5 matches.

Based on the data, Necaxa are the clear favourites to win this Liga MX encounter against Atlante FC. The bookmaker-implied probabilities give Necaxa a 50% chance, while the API-Football model sees a balanced contest but does not contradict the odds. Necaxa's recent form shows a 3-match unbeaten streak with 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, indicating a solid defensive foundation. Atlante FC, on the other hand, have struggled with only 1 clean sheet in their last 5 and have failed to score in 2 of those matches.

Form Analysis: Necaxa's form (WDLLL) is mixed, but they have shown resilience with 3 clean sheets. Atlante FC's form is not provided, but their average goals conceded (1.6) is higher than Necaxa's (1.4), suggesting defensive vulnerabilities. Necaxa also average 1.6 goals scored per game, compared to Atlante's 1.2, giving them an edge in attack.

Key Factors: 1) Necaxa's strong defensive record with 3 clean sheets in 5 games. 2) Atlante FC's tendency to concede goals, averaging 1.6 per game. 3) No significant injuries reported for either side, so both teams are at full strength.

Conclusion: The data points to a Necaxa victory, with their defence likely to keep Atlante at bay while their attack finds the net. The odds and form align, making a home win the most probable outcome.

Win Probabilities: Necaxa: 46% · Draw: 27% · Atlante FC: 27%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

Form (latest first): Necaxa: LDLLW · Atlante FC: DLDWD

  • Necaxa's central defenders vs Atlante's forwards: Necaxa's clean sheet record suggests their defence can handle Atlante's attack.
  • Midfield battle: Both teams use 4-3-3, so control of the midfield will be crucial for dictating tempo.
  • Necaxa's wingers vs Atlante's full-backs: Necaxa's wide players could exploit space behind Atlante's full-backs.

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Mexico15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga MXMexico
Toluca
Aug 3100:00
FC Juarez
11.3972%
X5.0020%
212.508%
Liga MXMexico
Monterrey
Aug 3102:10
Atletico San Luis
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Liga MXMexico
Puebla
Sep 501:00
Toluca
15.8817%
X3.7027%
21.7956%
Liga MXMexico
FC Juarez
Sep 503:00
CF Pachuca
15.0020%
X3.4529%
21.9651%
Liga MXMexico
Club Queretaro
Sep 523:00
Monterrey
14.0025%
X3.3330%
22.2245%
Liga MXMexico
Atletico San Luis
Sep 523:00
Guadalajara Chivas
15.2619%
X3.4529%
21.9252%
Liga MXMexico
Tigres UANL
Sep 601:00
Necaxa
11.9651%
X3.5728%
24.7621%
Liga MXMexico
Club America
Sep 601:00
Club Tijuana
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Liga MXMexico
Atlas
Sep 603:00
Atlante FC
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
Liga MXMexico
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Sep 618:00
Leon
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
Liga MXMexico
Cruz Azul
Sep 702:00
Santos Laguna
Early projection
11.2878%
X7.6913%
211.119%
Liga MXMexico
Necaxa
Sep 1201:00
Puebla
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
Liga MXMexico
Club Tijuana
Sep 1203:00
Club Queretaro
Early projection
11.7557%
X4.7621%
24.5522%
Liga MXMexico
Atlante FC
Sep 1203:00
CF Pachuca
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Liga MXMexico
Leon
Sep 1223:00
Atletico San Luis
Early projection
11.3574%
X6.6715%
29.0911%