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Matches
PlayNEW
News
Accuracy Stats
Pricing
  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Millwall vs Oxford United

Millwall vs Oxford United

Result • Championship·Millwall·Oxford United

Championship
Championship
May 2, 2026
11:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Millwall

Millwall

Home
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.40
X4.75
27.00
Stadium
The Den
high Confidence
Oxford United

Oxford United

Away
Odds
11.40
X4.75
27.00
Stadium
The Den
Win Probabilities
53%
Millwall
26%
Draw
21%
Oxford United
Home1.4053%
Draw4.7526%
Away7.0021%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Millwall's fortress standing firm against a wounded Oxford. Ancient wisdom reveals a home victory, likely by a narrow margin.

Our AI model analyzes this Championship fixture between Millwall and Oxford United using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Millwall a 53% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Oxford United a 21% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 35%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 35%

Match Events

  1. 16'
    Substitution: C. BrannaganOxford United · Out: Y. E. Konak
    Substitution: C. BrannaganOut: Y. E. Konak
  2. Goal: F. AzeezAssist: M. Ivanovic
    34'
    Goal: F. AzeezMillwall · Assist: M. Ivanovic
  3. Yellow Card: T. Ballo
    39'
    Yellow Card: T. BalloMillwall
  4. Goal: F. Azeez
    48'
    Goal: F. AzeezMillwall
  5. 59'
    Substitution: Jeon Jin-WooOxford United · Out: S. Mills
    Substitution: Jeon Jin-WooOut: S. Mills
  6. 59'
    Substitution: M. HarrisOxford United · Out: W. Lankshear
    Substitution: M. HarrisOut: W. Lankshear
  7. 59'
    Substitution: J. McDonnellOxford United · Out: J. Donley
    Substitution: J. McDonnellOut: J. Donley
  8. Substitution: B. MitchellOut: C. De Norre
    61'
    Substitution: B. MitchellMillwall · Out: C. De Norre
  9. Substitution: A. DoughtyOut: Z. Sturge
    61'
    Substitution: A. DoughtyMillwall · Out: Z. Sturge
  10. Substitution: L. CundleOut: T. Ballo
    62'
    Substitution: L. CundleMillwall · Out: T. Ballo
  11. Substitution: W. SmallboneOut: F. Azeez
    73'
    Substitution: W. SmallboneMillwall · Out: F. Azeez
  12. Substitution: M. LangstaffOut: B. Bannan
    81'
    Substitution: M. LangstaffMillwall · Out: B. Bannan
  13. 88'
    Substitution: S. LongOxford United · Out: H. ter Avest
    Substitution: S. LongOut: H. ter Avest
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1O. Azeez vs Oxford defense: Azeez's creativity vs Oxford's defensive organization
2R. Leonard vs Oxford midfield: Leonard's passing range vs Oxford's midfield press
3Millwall defense vs Oxford attack: Millwall's clean sheet record vs Oxford's scoring struggles
Strengths · Weaknesses

Millwall

  • Strong defense (conceded 0.8 avg last 5)
  • Good home form
  • Inconsistent scoring (1.4 avg goals last 5)
  • Key player Lovelace doubtful

Oxford United

  • Decent defensive record (1.0 conceded avg last 5)
  • H2H confidence (3 wins in last 5)
  • Poor attacking form (failed to score in 3 of last 5)
  • Five players doubtful

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
53%
API-Football
45%
36%
Draw323633

Models disagree significantly. Suggests draw (36%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Millwall are strong favorites to win against Oxford United at The Den, based on bookmaker odds and league standings.

Form Analysis: Millwall are 3rd with 80 points and a +13 GD, while Oxford are 22nd with 47 points and -12 GD. Millwall are unbeaten in 4 matches (DWWDL), while Oxford have lost 1 of their last 5 (WLLWD). Oxford failed to score in 3 of their last 5 games, indicating poor attacking form.

Key Factors: 1) Massive league position gap (19 places, 33 points). 2) Oxford have 5 players out (doubtful), disrupting squad depth. 3) H2H is balanced (2 Millwall wins, 3 draws, 3 Oxford wins), but Millwall's home advantage is strong.

Conclusion: Millwall's superior form, home advantage, and Oxford's injury issues make a home win the most likely outcome.

Statistical ContextOxford United

Double chance : draw or Oxford United

Team Comparison

AI Powered
MillwallOxford United
46%Strength53%
47%Attacking Potential53%
56%Defensive Potential44%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
25%H2H Strength75%
36%Goals H2H64%
46%Wins the Game53%
Head-to-head →Injuries · MillwallInjuries · Oxford United

Statistical Context

Millwall

DLLWL
  • DSep 15, 26A · Middlesbrough2-2
  • LSep 12, 26A · Blackburn3-1
  • LSep 8, 26H · Newcastle0-1
  • WSep 5, 26H · Bolton4-0
  • LSep 2, 26H · Wrexham0-3

Oxford United

WWLWL
  • WSep 12, 26H · Burton Albion3-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · Leicester0-4
  • LAug 8, 26A · Leyton Orient2-0
  • WApr 25, 26H · Sheffield Wednesday4-1
  • LApr 21, 26H · Wrexham0-1

Head to Head

3
Millwall
3
Draws
2
Oxford United
  • Nov 1, 25Oxford United – Millwall2-2
  • Jan 1, 25Millwall – Oxford United0-1
  • Nov 30, 24Oxford United – Millwall1-1
  • Aug 27, 19Oxford United – Millwall2-2
  • Apr 22, 17Millwall – Oxford United0-3

Season Statistics — 2026

MillwallOxford United
Played5—
Goals Scored10—
Goals Conceded8—
Avg Scored2.0—
Avg Conceded1.6—
Clean Sheets3—

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

MillwallOxford United
Over 2.5 Goals5/105/10
Both Teams Scored5/106/10
Clean Sheets4/101/10

Millwall vs Oxford United — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Millwall's fortress standing firm against a wounded Oxford. Ancient wisdom reveals a home victory, likely by a narrow margin.

Millwall are strong favorites to win against Oxford United at The Den, based on bookmaker odds and league standings.

Form Analysis: Millwall are 3rd with 80 points and a +13 GD, while Oxford are 22nd with 47 points and -12 GD. Millwall are unbeaten in 4 matches (DWWDL), while Oxford have lost 1 of their last 5 (WLLWD). Oxford failed to score in 3 of their last 5 games, indicating poor attacking form.

Key Factors: 1) Massive league position gap (19 places, 33 points). 2) Oxford have 5 players out (doubtful), disrupting squad depth. 3) H2H is balanced (2 Millwall wins, 3 draws, 3 Oxford wins), but Millwall's home advantage is strong.

Conclusion: Millwall's superior form, home advantage, and Oxford's injury issues make a home win the most likely outcome.

Win Probabilities: Millwall: 53% · Draw: 26% · Oxford United: 21%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 35%

H2H: Millwall wins: 3 · Draws: 3 · Oxford United wins: 2

Form (latest first): Millwall: DLLWL · Oxford United: WWLWL

  • O. Azeez vs Oxford defense: Azeez's creativity vs Oxford's defensive organization
  • R. Leonard vs Oxford midfield: Leonard's passing range vs Oxford's midfield press
  • Millwall defense vs Oxford attack: Millwall's clean sheet record vs Oxford's scoring struggles

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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
Bristol City
Sep 1819:00
Watford
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
ChampionshipEngland
Cardiff
Sep 1911:30
Charlton
12.3343%
X3.5728%
23.4529%
ChampionshipEngland
Millwall
Sep 1911:30
West Ham
13.7027%
X3.5728%
22.2245%
ChampionshipEngland
Stoke City
Sep 1911:30
Sheffield Utd
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
ChampionshipEngland
Burnley
Sep 1914:00
Derby
11.9651%
X3.5728%
24.7621%
ChampionshipEngland
Birmingham
Sep 1914:00
Middlesbrough
13.3330%
X3.4529%
22.4441%
ChampionshipEngland
QPR
Sep 1914:00
Preston
11.7956%
X4.0025%
25.2619%
ChampionshipEngland
Portsmouth
Sep 1914:00
Blackburn
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
ChampionshipEngland
Lincoln
Sep 1914:00
Swansea
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
ChampionshipEngland
Wrexham
Sep 1914:00
Southampton
13.4529%
X3.3330%
22.4441%
ChampionshipEngland
Wolves
Sep 2011:00
West Brom
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
ChampionshipEngland
Norwich
Sep 2012:30
Bolton
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
ChampionshipEngland
West Ham
Oct 919:00
QPR
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
ChampionshipEngland
West Brom
Oct 1011:30
Birmingham
Early projection
11.4768%
X5.8817%
26.6715%
ChampionshipEngland
Swansea
Oct 1011:30
Norwich
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%

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