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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. Brighton vs Leeds

Brighton vs Leeds

Prediction • Premier League·Brighton·Leeds

Premier League
Premier League
Sep 5, 2026
14:00
PREDICTED WINNER
Brighton

Brighton

Home
VS
VS
Odds
11.83
X3.50
24.33
Stadium
Amex Stadium
Leeds

Leeds

Away
Odds
11.83
X3.50
24.33
Stadium
Amex Stadium
Win Probabilities
51%
Brighton
28%
Draw
21%
Leeds
Home1.8351%
Draw3.5028%
Away4.3321%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Brighton are favored at 53% to win at home against Leeds. The draw is rated 26% and the away win 21%, so the numbers point to a home result.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Brighton
/10
6.0Leeds
Brighton
FormLatest first
LWWDL
Win Rate40%
Leeds
FormLatest first
DWWLW
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageLeeds+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

19°
Cloudy
Wind
28 km/h
Humidity
91%
Rain
0.1 mm
Tactical Impact

Moderate wind - may affect crosses and set pieces

Brighton
Home

Brighton

Form
WL
Latest first
8
Pos
61
Pts
+4
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 1 matches)

Clean Sheets1100%
Goal Diff+4
  • Strong home record at Amex Stadium
  • Solid defensive start, conceding zero goals in their opening match
  • Higher league position and superior goal difference
J. Hinshelwood
Injury
Injured
E. Ferguson
Ankle Injury
Injured
Y. Minteh
Injury
Injured
C. Baleba
Ankle Injury
Injured
K. Mitoma
Hamstring Injury
Injured
S. Tzimas
Knee Injury
Injured
M. O'Riley
Illness
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Brighton
Brighton
5Wins
3
Draws
Leeds
2Wins
Leeds
50%30%20%

Recent Matches

Last 10
May172026
LeedsLeeds
1-0
Loss
BrightonBrighton
Nov12025
BrightonBrighton
3-0
Win
LeedsLeeds
Mar112023
LeedsLeeds
2-2
Draw
BrightonBrighton
Aug272022
BrightonBrighton
1-0
Win
LeedsLeeds
May152022
LeedsLeeds
1-1
Draw
BrightonBrighton
Nov272021
BrightonBrighton
0-0
Draw
LeedsLeeds
May12021
BrightonBrighton
2-0
Win
LeedsLeeds
Jan162021
LeedsLeeds
0-1
Win
BrightonBrighton
Mar182017
LeedsLeeds
2-0
Loss
BrightonBrighton
Dec92016
BrightonBrighton
2-0
Win
LeedsLeeds

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

Leeds 1 - 0 Brighton

May 17, 2026

24% / 31% / 45%

Brighton4-2-3-1vs3-4-2-1LeedsPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

LeedsLeeds3-4-2-1
BrightonBrighton4-2-3-1
LeedsBenchLeeds7
BrightonBenchBrighton7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Brighton

7Out

6 key players

Leeds

5Out

4 key players

Brighton

Team

Brighton

Players Out

7(6 key)
J. Hinshelwood

J. Hinshelwood

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Ferguson

E. Ferguson

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Y. Minteh

Y. Minteh

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Baleba

C. Baleba

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

K. Mitoma

K. Mitoma

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

S. Tzimas

S. Tzimas

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

M. O'Riley

M. O'Riley

MINOR
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-7 days

Leeds

Team

Leeds

Players Out

5(4 key)
G. Gudmundsson

G. Gudmundsson

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

M. Joseph

M. Joseph

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

W. Gnonto

W. Gnonto

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

I. Gruev

I. Gruev

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Lucas Perri

Lucas Perri

MINOR
Injury:Knock

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-2 weeks

Premier League

League Statistics

Premier League • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Manchester City
Manchester City
220062+46
2
Hull City
Hull City
220030+36
3
Chelsea
Chelsea
220075+26
4
Brentford
Brentford
211041+34
5
Newcastle
Newcastle
211042+24
6
Everton
Everton
211031+24
7
Leeds
LeedsAway
211021+14
8
Brighton
BrightonHome
210174+33
9
Arsenal
Arsenal
110030+33
10
Manchester United
Manchester United
210154+13
11
Sunderland
Sunderland
21012203
12
Ipswich
Ipswich
210146-23
13
Liverpool
Liverpool
20204402
14
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
201123-11
15
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
201123-11
16
Fulham
Fulham
200224-20
17
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
100104-40
18
Coventry
Coventry
200204-40
19
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
200216-50
20
Tottenham
Tottenham
200205-50
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Brighton

Confidence

Win Probabilities

51%Brighton
28%Draw
21%Leeds

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
Odds 1·X·21.83 · 3.50 · 4.33
KickoffSat, Sep 5 · 14:00
StadiumAmex Stadium
League StatsPremier League

Statistical Context

Brighton

LWWDL
  • LAug 30, 26A · Chelsea4-3
  • WAug 27, 26H · Tromso4-0
  • WAug 23, 26H · Aston Villa4-0
  • DAug 20, 26A · Tromso0-0
  • LMay 24, 26H · Manchester United0-3

Leeds

DWWLW
  • DAug 30, 26H · Brentford1-1
  • WAug 25, 26A · Nottingham Forest0-2
  • WAug 22, 26A · Nottingham Forest0-1
  • LMay 24, 26A · West Ham3-0
  • WMay 17, 26H · Brighton1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6Everton2+24DW
7Leeds2+14DW
8Brighton2+33LW
9Arsenal1+33W

Head to Head

5
Brighton
3
Draws
2
Leeds
  • May 17, 26Leeds – Brighton1-0
  • Nov 1, 25Brighton – Leeds3-0
  • Mar 11, 23Leeds – Brighton2-2
  • Aug 27, 22Brighton – Leeds1-0
  • May 15, 22Leeds – Brighton1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

BrightonLeeds
Played11
Goals Scored42
Goals Conceded00
Avg Scored4.02.0
Avg Conceded0.00.0
Clean Sheets11

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Brighton

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 38GT. McGill
  2. 21DO. Boscagli
  3. 20DCostinha
  4. 29DM. De Cuyper
  5. 24DF. Kadıoğlu
  6. 26MY. Ayari
  7. 22MA. Cozier-Duberry
  8. 25MD. Gómez
  9. 13MP. Groß
  10. 8MJ. Hinshelwood
  11. 19AC. Kostoulas

Coach: F. Hürzeler

Leeds

Formation 3-4-2-1
  1. 1GJ. Trafford
  2. 4DE. Ampadu
  3. 15DJ. Bijol
  4. 2DJ. Bogle
  5. 11MB. Aaronson
  6. 7MD. James
  7. 8MS. Longstaff
  8. 18MA. Stach
  9. 22MA. Tanaka
  10. 17MH. Wilson
  11. 9AD. Calvert-Lewin

Coach: D. Farke

Brighton vs Leeds — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Brighton are favored at 53% to win at home against Leeds. The draw is rated 26% and the away win 21%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Brighton enter this Premier League clash as the clear favourites, with the bookmaker-implied probabilities and the independent statistical model both pointing decisively towards a home victory. The Se…

Win Probabilities: Brighton: 51% · Draw: 28% · Leeds: 21%

H2H: Brighton wins: 5 · Draws: 3 · Leeds wins: 2

Form (latest first): Brighton: LWWDL · Leeds: DWWLW

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Premier League

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier LeagueEngland
Aston Villa
Aug 3119:00
Arsenal
17.6913%
X4.3523%
21.5664%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Ipswich
Sep 419:00
Liverpool
15.5618%
X4.7621%
21.6461%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Newcastle
Sep 511:30
Bournemouth
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Fulham
Sep 514:00
Crystal Palace
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Manchester City
Sep 514:00
Coventry
11.2381%
X7.6913%
216.676%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Brentford
Sep 514:00
Sunderland
11.7557%
X3.8526%
25.8817%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Nottingham Forest
Sep 514:00
Tottenham
13.0333%
X3.4529%
22.6338%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Hull City
Sep 516:30
Aston Villa
13.7027%
X3.4529%
22.2744%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Everton
Sep 613:00
Manchester United
12.9434%
X3.4529%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Arsenal
Sep 615:30
Chelsea
11.6760%
X4.0025%
26.6715%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Bournemouth
Sep 1214:00
Brentford
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Liverpool
Sep 1214:00
Fulham
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Chelsea
Sep 1214:00
Hull City
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
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Premier LeagueEngland
Crystal Palace
Sep 1214:00
Ipswich
Early projection
11.7557%
X4.7621%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Aston Villa
Sep 1214:00
Nottingham Forest
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access