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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. Chelsea vs Tottenham

Chelsea vs Tottenham

Prediction • Premier League·Chelsea·Tottenham

Premier League
Premier League
Oct 24, 2026
16:30
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Chelsea

Chelsea

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Stamford Bridge
Early projection · Odds pending
Tottenham

Tottenham

Away
Stadium
Stamford Bridge
Win Probabilities
70%
Chelsea
16%
Draw
14%
Tottenham
Home1.4370%
Draw6.2516%
Away7.1414%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Chelsea are clear favourites to win this London derby, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and Tottenham's woeful form that has yielded just two points and two goals in five games. The main risk is Chelsea's leaky defence, which has conceded 12 goals in their last five and could allow Tottenham a foothold.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Chelsea vs Tottenham.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Chelsea
/10
0.0Tottenham
Chelsea
FormLatest first
LDWLW
Win Rate40%
Tottenham
FormLatest first
LLDDL
Win Rate0%
Momentum AdvantageChelsea+4.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

D
Wesley Fofana
7.5

Wesley Fofana

Chelsea

VS
Xavi Simons
9.3

Xavi Simons

Tottenham

5ATT47
100TEC100
62TAC41
33DEF23
0CRE40

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
6/10
Over 2.5 Goals
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1.8
Avg Scored
1.8
Defense
5/10
Clean Sheets
3/10
1.1
Avg Conceded
1.8
Match Flow
7/10
Scored First
5/10
2.3
Avg Cards
2.7
5.1
Avg Corners
5.3

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Chelsea
Home

Chelsea

Form
WWLDL
Latest first
4
Pos
69
Pts
+5
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 2 matches)

Clean Sheets150%
Goal Diff+5
  • Strong head-to-head record against Tottenham (7 wins in last 10)
  • Higher league position and points tally (10th, 7 points vs 20th, 2 points)
  • Potent attack averaging 2.6 goals per game in last 5
W. Fofana
Red Card
Suspended
M. Caicedo
Calf Injury
Injured
E. Emegha
Muscle Injury
Injured
M. Sarr
Transfer negotiations
Injured
J. Henderson
Wrist Injury
Injured
M. Palestra
Thigh Injury
Injured
E. Fernandez
Coach's decision
Injured
M. Gusto
Injury
Injured
Joao Pedro
Knee Injury
Injured
A. Anselmino
Inactive
Injured
Tottenham
Away

Tottenham

Form
LLDDL
Latest first
17
Pos
38
Pts
-6
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 5 matches)

Clean Sheets240%
Goal Diff-6
  • Two clean sheets in last 5 matches, showing occasional defensive solidity
  • Nothing to lose as underdogs, may play with freedom
  • Midfield energy from Bentancur and Bergvall
P. Porro
Inactive
Injured
P. M. Sarr
Muscle Injury
Injured
M. van de Ven
Injury
Injured
M. Mudryk
Ankle Injury
Injured
W. Odobert
Knee Injury
Injured
X. Simons
Knee Injury
Injured
M. Kudus
Muscle Injury
Injured
D. Kulusevski
Knee Injury
Injured
Richarlison
Inactive
Injured
J. Maddison
Knock
Injured
S. Tonali
Knock
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Chelsea
Chelsea
7Wins
1
Draws
Tottenham
2Wins
Tottenham
70%10%20%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Aug12026
ChelseaChelsea
1-2
Loss
TottenhamTottenham
May192026
ChelseaChelsea
2-1
Win
TottenhamTottenham
Nov12025
TottenhamTottenham
0-1
Win
ChelseaChelsea
Apr32025
ChelseaChelsea
1-0
Win
TottenhamTottenham
Dec82024
TottenhamTottenham
3-4
Win
ChelseaChelsea
May22024
ChelseaChelsea
2-0
Win
TottenhamTottenham
Nov62023
TottenhamTottenham
1-4
Win
ChelseaChelsea
Feb262023
TottenhamTottenham
2-0
Loss
ChelseaChelsea
Aug142022
ChelseaChelsea
2-2
Draw
TottenhamTottenham
Jan232022
ChelseaChelsea
2-0
Win
TottenhamTottenham

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Chelsea 2 - 1 Tottenham

May 19, 2026

36% / 32% / 32%

Chelsea3-4-2-1vs4-2-3-1TottenhamPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Chelsea

10Out

9 key players

Tottenham

11Out

9 key players

Chelsea

Team

Chelsea

Players Out

10(9 key)
W. Fofana

W. Fofana

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
M. Caicedo

M. Caicedo

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Emegha

E. Emegha

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

M. Sarr

M. Sarr

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Henderson

J. Henderson

MODERATE
Injury:Wrist Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Palestra

M. Palestra

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

E. Fernandez

E. Fernandez

MODERATE
Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Gusto

M. Gusto

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Joao Pedro

Joao Pedro

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

A. Anselmino

A. Anselmino

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Tottenham

Team

Tottenham

Players Out

11(9 key)
P. Porro

P. Porro

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

P. M. Sarr

P. M. Sarr

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

M. van de Ven

M. van de Ven

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Mudryk

M. Mudryk

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

W. Odobert

W. Odobert

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

X. Simons

X. Simons

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

M. Kudus

M. Kudus

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

D. Kulusevski

D. Kulusevski

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Richarlison

Richarlison

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

J. Maddison

J. Maddison

MINOR
Injury:Knock

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-2 weeks

S. Tonali

S. Tonali

MINOR
Injury:Knock

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-2 weeks

Premier League

League Statistics

Premier League • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Manchester City
5500135+815
2
Arsenal
540184+412
3
Brighton
5311165+1110
4
Brentford
5230104+69
5
Leeds
523073+49
6
Liverpool
523074+39
7
Everton
523063+39
8
Hull City
522164+28
9
Newcastle
52219908
10
ChelseaHome
52121012-27
11
Ipswich
5203711-46
12
Manchester United
51228805
13
Nottingham Forest
512245-15
14
Sunderland
5113610-44
15
Crystal Palace
5113611-54
16
Aston Villa
511349-54
17
Bournemouth
503268-23
18
Coventry
5104110-93
19
Fulham
502358-32
20
TottenhamAway
502328-62
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Chelsea

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

70%Chelsea
16%Draw
14%Tottenham

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 24 · 16:30
StadiumStamford Bridge
League StatsPremier League
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · ChelseaInjuries · TottenhamLive scores →

Statistical Context

Chelsea

LDWLW
  • LSep 18, 26A · Brentford3-0
  • DSep 12, 26H · Hull City2-2
  • WSep 9, 26H · Leeds6-3
  • LSep 6, 26A · Arsenal2-1
  • WAug 30, 26H · Brighton4-3

Tottenham

LLDDL
  • LSep 19, 26H · Aston Villa2-3
  • LSep 15, 26A · Liverpool3-1
  • DSep 12, 26H · Everton0-0
  • DSep 5, 26A · Nottingham Forest0-0
  • LAug 29, 26H · Newcastle0-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
9Newcastle508WLDWD
10Chelsea5-27LDLWW
11Ipswich5-46LWLLW
19Fulham5-32DDLLL
20Tottenham5-62LDDLL

Head to Head

7
Chelsea
1
Draws
2
Tottenham
  • Aug 1, 26Chelsea – Tottenham1-2
  • May 19, 26Chelsea – Tottenham2-1
  • Nov 1, 25Tottenham – Chelsea0-1
  • Apr 3, 25Chelsea – Tottenham1-0
  • Dec 8, 24Tottenham – Chelsea3-4

Season Statistics — 2026

ChelseaTottenham
Played25
Goals Scored82
Goals Conceded38
Avg Scored4.00.4
Avg Conceded1.51.6
Clean Sheets12

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

ChelseaTottenham
Over 2.5 Goals6/107/10
Both Teams Scored5/105/10
Clean Sheets5/103/10

Predicted line-ups: Chelsea vs Tottenham

Predicted XI

Chelsea

3-4-2-1Formation· Coach: Xabi Alonso

Tottenham

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: T. Frank

  1. 39M. Dúbravka
  1. 4T. Adarabioyo
  2. 23Pedro Porro
  3. 3A. Robertson
  4. 5M. Senesi
  1. 14A. Gray
  2. 30R. Bentancur
  1. 15L. Bergvall
  2. 18Mateus Fernandes
  3. 8C. Gallagher
  1. 19D. Solanke
  1. 10C. Palmer
  1. 7Pedro Neto
  2. 23Geovany Tcherno Quenda
  1. 29Pep Chavarría
  2. 4V. Barco
  3. 45R. Lavia
  4. 32M. Nicoll-Jazuli
  1. 34Joshua Kofi Acheampong
  2. 6L. Colwill
  3. 21J. Hato
  1. 1E. Martínez

Bench

  • 39M. Penders
  • 5M. Lacroix
  • 17M. Rogers
  • 41Estêvão
  • 11J. Bynoe-Gittens
  • 18D. Welbeck
  • 28T. Sharman-Lowe

Out

  • W. Fofana · Red Card
  • M. Caicedo · Calf Injury
  • E. Emegha · Muscle Injury
  • M. Sarr · Transfer negotiations
  • J. Henderson · Wrist Injury
  • M. Palestra · Thigh Injury
  • E. Fernandez · Coach's decision
  • M. Gusto · Injury

Bench

  • 31A. Kinský
  • 13D. Udogie
  • 6J. van Hecke
  • 22Omar Marmoush
  • 17Sávio
  • 40B. Austin
  • 33B. Davies

Out

  • P. Porro · Inactive
  • P. M. Sarr · Muscle Injury
  • M. van de Ven · Injury
  • M. Mudryk · Ankle Injury
  • W. Odobert · Knee Injury
  • X. Simons · Knee Injury
  • M. Kudus · Muscle Injury
  • D. Kulusevski · Knee Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Chelsea vs Tottenham — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Chelsea are clear favourites to win this London derby, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and Tottenham's woeful form that has yielded just two points and two goals in five games. The main risk is Chelsea's leaky defence, which has conceded 12 goals in their last five and could allow Tottenham a foothold.

Based on the available data, Chelsea are the clear favourites to win this London derby at Stamford Bridge. The team-strength model gives them a decisive edge, and the API-Football statistical model also points to a Chelsea victory, even though it suggests a tighter contest with a high draw possibility.…

Win Probabilities: Chelsea: 70% · Draw: 16% · Tottenham: 14%

H2H: Chelsea wins: 7 · Draws: 1 · Tottenham wins: 2

Form (latest first): Chelsea: LDWLW · Tottenham: LLDDL

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Oct 1011:30
Leeds
11.4171%
X5.0020%
211.119%
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Premier LeagueEngland
Chelsea
Oct 1014:00
Bournemouth
11.9252%
X3.8526%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Ipswich
Oct 1014:00
Fulham
13.0333%
X3.5728%
22.5639%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Aston Villa
Oct 1014:00
Brentford
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Sunderland
Oct 1014:00
Brighton
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Manchester United
Oct 1016:30
Tottenham
11.6959%
X4.0025%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Crystal Palace
Oct 1113:00
Nottingham Forest
12.9434%
X3.5728%
22.6338%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Hull City
Oct 1113:00
Everton
14.3523%
X3.3330%
22.1347%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Liverpool
Oct 1115:30
Manchester City
13.5728%
X3.4529%
22.3343%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Coventry
Oct 1219:00
Newcastle
14.1724%
X3.5728%
22.0848%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Everton
Oct 1711:30
Chelsea
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
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Fulham
Oct 1714:00
Hull City
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
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Manchester City
Oct 1714:00
Ipswich
Early projection
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%
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Brentford
Oct 1714:00
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Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
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Newcastle
Oct 1716:30
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Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
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