Based on the data, Montpellier is predicted to win or draw, with a slight edge for an away win. The market probabilities are nearly equal, but the API-Football model strongly favors Montpellier or a draw, supported by form and statistical comparisons.
Form Analysis: Amiens has poor form with DLLLL, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game, and no clean sheets in the last 5 matches. Montpellier has strong form with DDWWD, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game, with 4 clean sheets in the last 5 matches and a 5-game unbeaten streak.
Key Factors: Montpellier's excellent defense (4 clean sheets in last 5 games) and overall statistical advantage (74.0% vs. 26.2% in API comparison) are decisive. The head-to-head history shows Montpellier with 4 wins and 5 draws in the last 9 meetings, indicating dominance. The standings context shows Montpellier in 7th place with 43 points and +8 GD, while Amiens is 16th with 24 points and -17 GD.
Conclusion: The data supports Montpellier as the favorite, with a high likelihood of a draw or away win, aligning with the API model's advice and market probabilities adjusted for form and statistical evidence.
