Based on the data, Rodez is predicted to have a slight edge, with a draw also highly likely. The market probabilities are nearly equal, but Rodez's superior form, defensive strength, and H2H dominance provide concrete evidence for a minor adjustment favoring them.
Form Analysis: Annecy has a mixed form of WLLLW, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, with 2 clean sheets in the last 5. Rodez is on a 5-game unbeaten streak (DDWWD), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, with 2 clean sheets. Rodez shows better defensive stability and momentum.
Key Factors: 1) Rodez's unbeaten streak and stronger defense (75% vs 25% in API comparison) give them an edge. 2) H2H history favors Rodez with 4 wins in the last 5 meetings. 3) No significant injuries reported for either team, keeping adjustments minimal.
Conclusion: The data supports Rodez as the slight favorite, with a draw as a strong alternative due to close odds and Rodez's recent draws. Probabilities are calibrated to stay within 10% of market values while reflecting Rodez's advantages.
