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  1. Home
  2. Virsliga
  3. FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava

FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava

Prediction • Virsliga·FK Liepaja·FS Jelgava

Virsliga
Virsliga
Oct 18, 2026
13:00
PREDICTED WINNER
FK Liepaja

FK Liepaja

Home
VS
VS
Odds
12.20
X3.30
22.88
Stadium
Daugavas stadions
FS Jelgava

FS Jelgava

Away
Odds
12.20
X3.30
22.88
Stadium
Daugavas stadions
Win Probabilities
45%
FK Liepaja
31%
Draw
24%
FS Jelgava
Home2.2045%
Draw3.3031%
Away2.8824%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

FK Liepaja are clear favourites for this Virsliga encounter, buoyed by an unbeaten head-to-head record and a strong home advantage. The main risk is Jelgava's defensive resilience, which could frustrate the home side and lead to a tight contest.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0FK Liepaja
/10
2.0FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FormLatest first
LDDDW
Win Rate20%
FS Jelgava
FormLatest first
LLDLW
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
7/10
Over 2.5 Goals
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1.6
Avg Scored
0.8
Defense
1/10
Clean Sheets
3/10
1.6
Avg Conceded
1.7
Match Flow
7/10
Scored First
5/10
0.0
Avg Cards
0.0
0.0
Avg Corners
0.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

FK Liepaja
Home

FK Liepaja

Form
WDDDL
Latest first
3
Pos
61
Pts
-2
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 31 matches)

Clean Sheets619%
Goal Diff-2
  • Strong head-to-head record (unbeaten in last 10 vs Jelgava)
  • Solid home form (8 wins in 13 home games)
  • Current unbeaten streak of 3 matches
FS Jelgava
Away

FS Jelgava

Form
WLDLL
Latest first
6
Pos
38
Pts
-17
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 31 matches)

Clean Sheets516%
Goal Diff-17
  • Decent defensive record in recent games (1.0 goals conceded per game)
  • Ability to grind out draws (1 draw in last 5)
  • Potential to counter-attack

Head to Head

Last 10
FK Liepaja
FK Liepaja
6Wins
4
Draws
FS Jelgava
0Wins
FS Jelgava
60%40%0%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jul262026
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
0-2
Win
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
May262026
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
1-1
Draw
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
Apr122026
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
1-1
Draw
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
Feb272026
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
2-1
Win
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
Oct252025
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
2-2
Draw
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
Aug22025
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
1-2
Win
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
May302025
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
0-1
Win
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
Apr142025
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
1-0
Win
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
Nov32024
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
2-2
Draw
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
Aug102024
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
3-0
Win
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava

Past Predictions

33%1/3 correct

FS Jelgava 0 - 2 FK Liepaja

Jul 26, 2026

30% / 30% / 40%

FS Jelgava 1 - 1 FK Liepaja

May 26, 2026

21% / 32% / 47%

FK Liepaja 1 - 1 FS Jelgava

Apr 12, 2026

53% / 30% / 17%

FK Liepaja4-3-3vs4-3-3FS JelgavaPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Virsliga

League Statistics

Virsliga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Rīgas FS
3225527924+5580
2
Riga
3223728830+5876
3
Auda
3219765232+2064
4
FK LiepajaHome
32127134346-343
5
BFC Daugavpils
32119123736+142
6
Super Nova
32115163145-1438
7
FS JelgavaAway
3288163453-1932
8
Grobiņa
32511162254-3226
9
Tukums
3259184463-1924
10
Ogre United
3246223178-4718
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

FK Liepaja

Confidence

Win Probabilities

45%FK Liepaja
31%Draw
24%FS Jelgava

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
Odds 1·X·22.20 · 3.30 · 2.88
KickoffSun, Oct 18 · 13:00
StadiumDaugavas stadions
League StatsVirsliga
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · FK LiepajaInjuries · FS JelgavaLive scores →

Statistical Context

FK Liepaja

LDDDW
  • LOct 12, 26H · Auda2-3
  • DSep 19, 26H · BFC Daugavpils0-0
  • DSep 11, 26A · Ogre United2-2
  • DSep 7, 26A · Rīgas FS0-0
  • WAug 31, 26H · Riga3-2

FS Jelgava

LLDLW
  • LOct 11, 26A · Rīgas FS4-2
  • LSep 19, 26H · Riga0-1
  • DSep 12, 26A · Grobiņa0-0
  • LSep 5, 26H · Super Nova0-1
  • WAug 29, 26A · Tukums1-4

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Auda32+2064WDWDW
4FK Liepaja32-343LDDDW
5BFC Daugavpils32+142WDLDL
6Super Nova32-1438LWLLW
7FS Jelgava32-1932LLDLW
8Grobiņa32-3226LDDLW

Head to Head

6
FK Liepaja
4
Draws
0
FS Jelgava
  • Jul 26, 26FS Jelgava – FK Liepaja0-2
  • May 26, 26FS Jelgava – FK Liepaja1-1
  • Apr 12, 26FK Liepaja – FS Jelgava1-1
  • Feb 27, 26FK Liepaja – FS Jelgava2-1
  • Oct 25, 25FK Liepaja – FS Jelgava2-2

Season Statistics — 2026

FK LiepajaFS Jelgava
Played3131
Goals Scored4132
Goals Conceded4349
Avg Scored1.31.0
Avg Conceded1.41.6
Clean Sheets65

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

FK LiepajaFS Jelgava
Over 2.5 Goals7/104/10
Both Teams Scored7/104/10
Clean Sheets1/103/10

Predicted line-ups: FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava

Predicted XI

FK Liepaja

4-3-3Formation· Coach: A. Alm

FS Jelgava

4-3-3Formation· Coach: A. Basov

  1. 1A. Dvorak
  1. 27K. Aļekseičiks
  2. 4A. Kangars
  3. 13J. Novikovs
  4. 19A. Pētersons
  1. 23Ā. Dreimanis
  2. 24Filip Hašek
  3. 11M. Hašek
  1. 9R. Bečers
  2. 8R. Meļķis
  3. 20G. Patika
  1. 11B. Almazbekov
  2. 9Crysthyan Lucas
  3. 44K. Leidsman
  1. 23A. Haïdara
  2. 28A. Korobenko
  3. 7A. Ogunniyi
  1. 3K. Iļjins
  2. 26V. Isajevs
  3. 4M. Martins
  4. 6E. Rodolphe
  1. 24D. Ošs

Bench

  • 12D. Petković
  • 35V. Sorokins
  • 2B. Straalman
  • 34João Pedro
  • 5L. Strumia
  • 77Afonso Leite
  • 17B. Melnis

Bench

  • 16T. Leitis
  • 3M. Semeško
  • 22M. Pudil
  • 29G. Žaleiko
  • 17T. Rataj
  • 18E. Smaukstelis
  • 30S. Belaník

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava — Expert Prediction & Analysis

FK Liepaja are clear favourites for this Virsliga encounter, buoyed by an unbeaten head-to-head record and a strong home advantage. The main risk is Jelgava's defensive resilience, which could frustrate the home side and lead to a tight contest.

FK Liepaja are the clear favourites to win this Virsliga clash at Daugavas stadions, with the data pointing to a home victory. The baseline model gives them a solid edge, and the API-Football statistical model also favours them, predicting a win or draw.…

Win Probabilities: FK Liepaja: 45% · Draw: 31% · FS Jelgava: 24%

H2H: FK Liepaja wins: 6 · Draws: 4 · FS Jelgava wins: 0

Form (latest first): FK Liepaja: LDDDW · FS Jelgava: LLDLW

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Virsliga

Virsliga

Latvia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
VirsligaLatvia
Grobiņa
Oct 1711:00
Ogre United
11.9651%
X3.3330%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Riga
Oct 1813:00
Super Nova
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
BFC Daugavpils
Oct 1915:00
Auda
14.5522%
X3.3330%
22.0848%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Rīgas FS
Oct 1916:00
Tukums
11.1885%
X8.3312%
233.333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Tukums
Oct 2410:00
FK Liepaja
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Oct 2511:00
Auda
Early projection
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
FS Jelgava
Oct 2512:00
BFC Daugavpils
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Super Nova
Oct 2516:00
Rīgas FS
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.5618%
21.5664%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Grobiņa
Oct 2616:00
Riga
Early projection
18.3312%
X6.6715%
21.3773%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
FK Liepaja
Nov 111:00
Super Nova
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Auda
Nov 111:00
FS Jelgava
Early projection
11.4768%
X5.8817%
26.6715%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
BFC Daugavpils
Nov 111:00
Tukums
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Rīgas FS
Nov 111:00
Grobiņa
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Nov 111:00
Riga
Early projection
111.119%
X7.6913%
21.2878%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Grobiņa
Nov 811:00
FK Liepaja
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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