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  1. Home
  2. Super League 1
  3. AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus

AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus

Result • Super League 1·AEK Athens FC·Olympiakos Piraeus

Super League 1
Super League 1
May 17, 2026
16:30
high Confidence
DRAW
AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
13.10
X3.10
22.40
Stadium
Allwyn Arena
high Confidence
DRAW
Olympiakos Piraeus

Olympiakos Piraeus

Away
Odds
13.10
X3.10
22.40
Stadium
Allwyn Arena
Win Probabilities
35%
AEK Athens FC
34%
Draw
31%
Olympiakos Piraeus
Home3.1035%
Draw3.1034%
Away2.4031%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees AEK Athens FC's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Olympiakos Piraeus, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Super League 1 fixture between AEK Athens FC and Olympiakos Piraeus using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns AEK Athens FC a 35% win probability, a 34% chance of a draw, and Olympiakos Piraeus a 31% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: L. Jovic
    27'
    Yellow Card: L. JovicAEK Athens FC
  2. 41'
    Goal: RodineiOlympiakos Piraeus · Assist: D. Podence
    Goal: RodineiAssist: D. Podence
  3. Yellow Card: H. Moukoudi
    43'
    Yellow Card: H. MoukoudiAEK Athens FC
  4. 45'
    Yellow Card: D. PodenceOlympiakos Piraeus
    Yellow Card: D. Podence
  5. Substitution: B. VargaOut: R. Pereyra
    51'
    Substitution: B. VargaAEK Athens FC · Out: R. Pereyra
  6. 56'
    Substitution: G. MartinsOlympiakos Piraeus · Out: D. Podence
    Substitution: G. MartinsOut: D. Podence
  7. 56'
    Substitution: S. HezzeOlympiakos Piraeus · Out: D. Garcia
    Substitution: S. HezzeOut: D. Garcia
  8. Substitution: Joao MarioOut: O. Pineda
    65'
    Substitution: Joao MarioAEK Athens FC · Out: O. Pineda
  9. Substitution: D. KutesaOut: Zini
    65'
    Substitution: D. KutesaAEK Athens FC · Out: Zini
  10. 68'
    Yellow Card: RodineiOlympiakos Piraeus
    Yellow Card: Rodinei
  11. Goal: A. KoitaAssist: L. Rota
    72'
    Goal: A. KoitaAEK Athens FC · Assist: L. Rota
  12. 72'
    Substitution: M. TaremiOlympiakos Piraeus · Out: A. El Kaabi
    Substitution: M. TaremiOut: A. El Kaabi
  13. 74'
    Yellow Card: L. PirolaOlympiakos Piraeus
    Yellow Card: L. Pirola
  14. 79'
    Substitution: G. BianconeOlympiakos Piraeus · Out: Costinha
    Substitution: G. BianconeOut: Costinha
  15. 80'
    Substitution: Andre LuizOlympiakos Piraeus · Out: L. Scipioni
    Substitution: Andre LuizOut: L. Scipioni
  16. Yellow Card: L. Rota
    90'
    Yellow Card: L. RotaAEK Athens FC
  17. Substitution: R. LjubicicOut: L. Jovic
    90+3'
    Substitution: R. LjubicicAEK Athens FC · Out: L. Jovic
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1L. Jović vs Olympiakos defense: Jović's 16 goals face a defense that has conceded only 16 goals all season.
2A. El Kaabi vs AEK defense: El Kaabi's 18 goals test AEK's solid backline (0.6 conceded per game).
3Midfield battle: AEK's Koita vs Olympiakos's midfield duo in a 4-2-3-1 shape.
Strengths · Weaknesses

AEK Athens FC

  • Excellent recent form (5 unbeaten)
  • Strong home record (1st place)
  • Poor head-to-head record vs Olympiakos
  • Slightly lower attacking stats than opponent

Olympiakos Piraeus

  • Dominant head-to-head record
  • Strong attack (50 goals scored)
  • Inconsistent recent form (WDLWL)
  • Away form not specified but overall form mixed

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
35%
API-Football
45%
40%
Draw404021

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (40%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

The match between AEK Athens FC and Olympiakos Piraeus is a top-of-the-table clash with both teams separated by just 2 points. Based on the data, Olympiakos has a slight edge due to superior head-to-head record and higher market probability.

Form Analysis: AEK Athens is in excellent form with a 5-match unbeaten streak (DWDWW), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Olympiakos has mixed form (WDLWL) with 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. AEK's momentum is stronger, but Olympiakos has the psychological advantage from H2H.

Key Factors: 1) Head-to-head dominance: Olympiakos has won 7 of the last 10 meetings, including 2 of the last 5. 2) Market probabilities favor Olympiakos (39% vs 30% for AEK). 3) AEK's home advantage is strong (1st place, +32 GD), but Olympiakos has a better goal difference (+34) overall. 4) No significant injuries reported for either side.

Conclusion: The data suggests a tight contest with Olympiakos slightly favored. AEK's form and home advantage are countered by Olympiakos's H2H record and market odds. A draw is also a strong possibility given the balanced probabilities.

Statistical ContextAEK Athens FC

Combo Double chance : AEK Athens FC or draw and -3.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
AEK Athens FCOlympiakos Piraeus
50%Strength49%
58%Attacking Potential42%
71%Defensive Potential29%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
29%H2H Strength71%
25%Goals H2H75%
50%Wins the Game49%
Head-to-head →Injuries · AEK Athens FCInjuries · Olympiakos PiraeusLive scores →

Statistical Context

AEK Athens FC

WDWWD
  • WSep 20, 26A · Volos NFC1-2
  • DSep 13, 26A · Asteras Tripolis1-1
  • WSep 8, 26H · Lask Linz1-0
  • WSep 5, 26H · Aris Thessalonikis5-0
  • DAug 30, 26A · Kifisia1-1

Olympiakos Piraeus

WWLDW
  • WSep 20, 26A · Levadiakos0-1
  • WSep 16, 26H · Jagiellonia2-1
  • LSep 12, 26H · OFI0-1
  • DSep 5, 26A · Volos NFC1-1
  • WAug 30, 26A · Asteras Tripolis0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2PAOK5+712WWLWW
3AEK Athens FC5+1011WDWDW
4OFI5+410DWWLW
5Olympiakos Piraeus5+210WLDWW
6Panetolikos5+19LLWWW

Head to Head

2
AEK Athens FC
1
Draws
7
Olympiakos Piraeus
  • Apr 5, 26Olympiakos Piraeus – AEK Athens FC0-1
  • Feb 1, 26AEK Athens FC – Olympiakos Piraeus1-1
  • Oct 26, 25Olympiakos Piraeus – AEK Athens FC2-0
  • Apr 27, 25AEK Athens FC – Olympiakos Piraeus0-2
  • Apr 13, 25Olympiakos Piraeus – AEK Athens FC1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

AEK Athens FCOlympiakos Piraeus
Played34
Goals Scored103
Goals Conceded12
Avg Scored3.30.8
Avg Conceded0.30.5
Clean Sheets22

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AEK Athens FCOlympiakos Piraeus
Over 2.5 Goals2/107/10
Both Teams Scored3/105/10
Clean Sheets6/105/10

AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees AEK Athens FC's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Olympiakos Piraeus, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

The match between AEK Athens FC and Olympiakos Piraeus is a top-of-the-table clash with both teams separated by just 2 points. Based on the data, Olympiakos has a slight edge due to superior head-to-head record and higher market probability.

Form Analysis: AEK Athens is in excellent form with a 5-match unbeaten streak (DWDWW), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Olympiakos has mixed form (WDLWL) with 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. AEK's momentum is stronger, but Olympiakos has the psychological advantage from H2H.

Key Factors: 1) Head-to-head dominance: Olympiakos has won 7 of the last 10 meetings, including 2 of the last 5. 2) Market probabilities favor Olympiakos (39% vs 30% for AEK). 3) AEK's home advantage is strong (1st place, +32 GD), but Olympiakos has a better goal difference (+34) overall. 4) No significant injuries reported for either side.

Conclusion: The data suggests a tight contest with Olympiakos slightly favored. AEK's form and home advantage are countered by Olympiakos's H2H record and market odds. A draw is also a strong possibility given the balanced probabilities.

Win Probabilities: AEK Athens FC: 35% · Draw: 34% · Olympiakos Piraeus: 31%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: AEK Athens FC wins: 2 · Draws: 1 · Olympiakos Piraeus wins: 7

Form (latest first): AEK Athens FC: WDWWD · Olympiakos Piraeus: WWLDW

  • L. Jović vs Olympiakos defense: Jović's 16 goals face a defense that has conceded only 16 goals all season.
  • A. El Kaabi vs AEK defense: El Kaabi's 18 goals test AEK's solid backline (0.6 conceded per game).
  • Midfield battle: AEK's Koita vs Olympiakos's midfield duo in a 4-2-3-1 shape.

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Super League 1

Super League 1

Greece14 · Upcoming Fixtures
Super League 1Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
Oct 1015:00
Panathinaikos
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Super League 1Greece
AEK Athens FC
Oct 1015:00
OFI
Early projection
11.2878%
X7.6913%
211.119%
Super League 1Greece
PAOK
Oct 1015:00
Kalamata
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
Super League 1Greece
Asteras Tripolis
Oct 1015:00
Atromitos
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Super League 1Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
Oct 1015:00
Volos NFC
Early projection
11.6162%
X5.2619%
25.2619%
Super League 1Greece
Kifisia
Oct 1015:00
Panetolikos
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%
Super League 1Greece
Iraklis 1908
Oct 1015:00
Levadiakos
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Super League 1Greece
Panathinaikos
Oct 1715:00
Asteras Tripolis
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
Super League 1Greece
PAOK
Oct 1715:00
Iraklis 1908
Early projection
11.4768%
X5.8817%
26.6715%
Super League 1Greece
Panetolikos
Oct 1715:00
Olympiakos Piraeus
Early projection
14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%
Super League 1Greece
Levadiakos
Oct 1715:00
Volos NFC
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
Super League 1Greece
Kalamata
Oct 1715:00
OFI
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Super League 1Greece
Kifisia
Oct 1715:00
Aris Thessalonikis
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Super League 1Greece
Atromitos
Oct 1715:00
AEK Athens FC
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%

Betting Tips

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