The data suggests a closely contested match with a slight edge for Atalanta or a draw, aligning with the API-Football model's prediction of Atalanta as the favorite or a draw outcome.
Form Analysis: AS Roma's recent form (WLLDW) shows inconsistency with 2 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw in the last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Atalanta's form (WDDLW) is more stable with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Both teams are on a 1-win streak, but Atalanta has a better recent record with fewer losses.
Key Factors: 1) Head-to-head history favors Atalanta with 6 wins in the last 5 meetings compared to AS Roma's 2 wins and 2 draws. 2) The API-Football model strongly predicts Atalanta or a draw (45% each vs. 10% for AS Roma), contradicting the market's even split. 3) No significant injuries are reported, so both teams are at full strength, but Atalanta's H2H dominance and better form provide an edge.
Conclusion: Based on H2H dominance, form stability, and the statistical model's prediction, Atalanta has a slight advantage, but the draw is also highly plausible given the teams' similar standings and recent performances.
