Based on the data, Fiorentina is predicted to win, supported by the API-Football model and overall statistical comparison, despite market odds showing a near-even split.
Form Analysis: Fiorentina has a form rating of 53% vs. Sassuolo's 47%, with Fiorentina averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in their last 5 matches (LWLLW), while Sassuolo averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (WDLLW). Fiorentina's defense is rated 55% vs. 45%, and they have a slight home advantage (0.55 rating).
Key Factors: 1) API-Football model strongly favors Fiorentina (45% win probability vs. 10% for Sassuolo) with a predicted winner of Fiorentina and advice for double chance. 2) Head-to-head history shows Fiorentina with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 meetings, giving them a psychological edge. 3) Sassuolo has 3 players out due to injuries (all doubtful), which may weaken their squad compared to Fiorentina's 1 doubtful player.
Conclusion: The data indicates Fiorentina has a statistical and tactical advantage, making them the most likely winner, though market odds suggest a closer contest, leading to adjusted probabilities that stay within 10% of market values.
