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  1. Home
  2. Serie A
  3. Parma vs Sassuolo

Parma vs Sassuolo

Result • Serie A·Parma·Sassuolo

Serie A
Serie A
May 24, 2026
13:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Parma

Parma

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
12.70
X3.30
22.70
Stadium
Stadio Ennio Tardini
high Confidence
Sassuolo

Sassuolo

Away
Odds
12.70
X3.30
22.70
Stadium
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Win Probabilities
29%
Parma
33%
Draw
38%
Sassuolo
Home2.7029%
Draw3.3033%
Away2.7038%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Sassuolo's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Serie A fixture between Parma and Sassuolo using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Parma a 29% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Sassuolo a 38% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: S. Britschgi
    7'
    Yellow Card: S. BritschgiParma
  2. 18'
    Yellow Card: K. ThorstvedtSassuolo
    Yellow Card: K. Thorstvedt
  3. 21'
    Yellow Card: T. MacchioniSassuolo
    Yellow Card: T. Macchioni
  4. Yellow Card: L. Valenti
    30'
    Yellow Card: L. ValentiParma
  5. Substitution: A. CardinaliOut: D. Mikolajewski
    46'
    Substitution: A. CardinaliParma · Out: D. Mikolajewski
  6. 54'
    Substitution: Pedro FelipeSassuolo · Out: J. Idzes
    Substitution: Pedro FelipeOut: J. Idzes
  7. Substitution: A. NdiayeOut: L. Valenti
    61'
    Substitution: A. NdiayeParma · Out: L. Valenti
  8. 65'
    Substitution: N. MaticSassuolo · Out: I. Kone
    Substitution: N. MaticOut: I. Kone
  9. 66'
    Substitution: M. NzolaSassuolo · Out: A. Lauriente
    Substitution: M. NzolaOut: A. Lauriente
  10. Substitution: O. SorensenOut: M. Keita
    72'
    Substitution: O. SorensenParma · Out: M. Keita
  11. Substitution: P. AlmqvistOut: S. Britschgi
    72'
    Substitution: P. AlmqvistParma · Out: S. Britschgi
  12. Substitution: F. CarboniOut: E. Valeri
    76'
    Substitution: F. CarboniParma · Out: E. Valeri
  13. Goal: M. PellegrinoAssist: P. Almqvist
    80'
    Goal: M. PellegrinoParma · Assist: P. Almqvist
  14. 83'
    Substitution: C. VolpatoSassuolo · Out: L. Lipani
    Substitution: C. VolpatoOut: L. Lipani
  15. 83'
    Substitution: G. ZacchiSassuolo · Out: S. Turati
    Substitution: G. ZacchiOut: S. Turati
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Mateo Pellegrino vs Sassuolo defense: Parma's top scorer faces a depleted Sassuolo backline, could be decisive.
2D. Berardi vs Parma left-back: Berardi's dribbling and crossing will test Parma's defensive organization.
3A. Pinamonti vs Parma center-backs: Pinamonti's physical presence and finishing ability could be key in breaking the deadlock.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Parma

  • Home advantage at Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Recent clean sheets in 2 of last 5
  • 3-match losing streak
  • Low scoring average (0.8 goals per game)

Sassuolo

  • Superior attack (64% per API)
  • Better overall form (54%)
  • 2-match losing streak
  • Defensive vulnerabilities (conceded 1.2 per game)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
38%
API-Football
45%
42%
Sassuolo203942

Moderate agreement on away win (42%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

The match between Parma and Sassuolo is finely balanced, with bookmaker odds implying a near-even split between home win, draw, and away win. The API-Football model slightly favors Sassuolo, suggesting a draw or away win is more likely. Given the data, a low-scoring draw or narrow away victory appears most probable.

Form Analysis: Parma enters on a 3-match losing streak, while Sassuolo has lost 2 of their last 5. Both teams have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game. Parma's attack has been weak (0.8 goals per game), while Sassuolo scores 1.4 per game. The API comparison gives Sassuolo a 54% form advantage.

Key Factors: 1) Sassuolo's superior attack (64% advantage per API) and overall strength (60%) give them an edge. 2) Both teams have multiple injury doubts, but Sassuolo's key players like Berardi and Pinamonti are available. 3) Head-to-head is balanced (4 Parma wins, 3 draws, 3 Sassuolo wins), but recent meetings may favor Sassuolo.

Conclusion: The data points to a tight contest with Sassuolo holding a slight advantage. A draw or narrow away win is the most likely outcome, aligning with the API advice of 'double chance: draw or Sassuolo'.

Statistical ContextSassuolo

Double chance : draw or Sassuolo

Team Comparison

AI Powered
ParmaSassuolo
40%Strength60%
36%Attacking Potential64%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
38%H2H Strength62%
33%Goals H2H67%
40%Wins the Game60%
Head-to-head →Injuries · ParmaInjuries · SassuoloLive scores →

Statistical Context

Parma

WLDWL
  • WSep 20, 26H · Genoa2-1
  • LSep 14, 26A · Como2-1
  • DSep 6, 26H · Monza1-1
  • WSep 1, 26A · Cremonese0-2
  • LAug 29, 26A · Juventus2-0

Sassuolo

LWDDW
  • LSep 18, 26A · Monza2-1
  • WSep 13, 26H · Juventus3-2
  • DSep 6, 26A · Bologna2-2
  • DSep 2, 26H · Frosinone1-1
  • WAug 29, 26H · Torino2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
9Napoli5+17DWLLW
10Sassuolo507LWDWL
11Atalanta5-26LLLWW
12Lecce5-56LWLLW
13Udinese5-34LLLWD
14Torino5-34DLWLL
15Parma5-34WLDLL
16Monza5-44WLDLL

Head to Head

3
Parma
3
Draws
4
Sassuolo
  • Jan 3, 26Sassuolo – Parma1-1
  • Aug 2, 23Parma – Sassuolo1-0
  • Aug 1, 21Parma – Sassuolo0-3
  • May 16, 21Parma – Sassuolo1-3
  • Jan 17, 21Sassuolo – Parma1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

ParmaSassuolo
Played55
Goals Scored49
Goals Conceded79
Avg Scored0.81.8
Avg Conceded1.41.8
Clean Sheets00

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

ParmaSassuolo
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored6/10—
Clean Sheets2/10—

Parma vs Sassuolo — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Sassuolo's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

The match between Parma and Sassuolo is finely balanced, with bookmaker odds implying a near-even split between home win, draw, and away win. The API-Football model slightly favors Sassuolo, suggesting a draw or away win is more likely. Given the data, a low-scoring draw or narrow away victory appears most probable.

Form Analysis: Parma enters on a 3-match losing streak, while Sassuolo has lost 2 of their last 5. Both teams have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game. Parma's attack has been weak (0.8 goals per game), while Sassuolo scores 1.4 per game. The API comparison gives Sassuolo a 54% form advantage.

Key Factors: 1) Sassuolo's superior attack (64% advantage per API) and overall strength (60%) give them an edge. 2) Both teams have multiple injury doubts, but Sassuolo's key players like Berardi and Pinamonti are available. 3) Head-to-head is balanced (4 Parma wins, 3 draws, 3 Sassuolo wins), but recent meetings may favor Sassuolo.

Conclusion: The data points to a tight contest with Sassuolo holding a slight advantage. A draw or narrow away win is the most likely outcome, aligning with the API advice of 'double chance: draw or Sassuolo'.

Win Probabilities: Parma: 29% · Draw: 33% · Sassuolo: 38%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 48% · Under 2.5: 52% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Parma wins: 3 · Draws: 3 · Sassuolo wins: 4

Form (latest first): Parma: WLDWL · Sassuolo: LWDDW

  • Mateo Pellegrino vs Sassuolo defense: Parma's top scorer faces a depleted Sassuolo backline, could be decisive.
  • D. Berardi vs Parma left-back: Berardi's dribbling and crossing will test Parma's defensive organization.
  • A. Pinamonti vs Parma center-backs: Pinamonti's physical presence and finishing ability could be key in breaking the deadlock.

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Serie A

Serie A

Italy15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Serie AItaly
Genoa
Oct 1013:00
Fiorentina
14.0025%
X3.0333%
22.3842%
Serie AItaly
Inter
Oct 1016:00
Parma
11.2083%
X8.3312%
220.005%
Serie AItaly
Napoli
Oct 1018:45
Frosinone
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
Serie AItaly
Como
Oct 1110:30
AS Roma
13.4529%
X3.2331%
22.5040%
Serie AItaly
Lazio
Oct 1113:00
Monza
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Serie AItaly
Lecce
Oct 1113:00
Bologna
13.8526%
X3.3330%
22.2744%
Serie AItaly
Sassuolo
Oct 1116:00
AC Milan
15.0020%
X3.3330%
22.0050%
Serie AItaly
Cagliari
Oct 1118:45
Juventus
18.3312%
X4.0025%
21.5963%
Serie AItaly
Atalanta
Oct 1216:30
Venezia
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
Serie AItaly
Torino
Oct 1218:45
Udinese
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Serie AItaly
Frosinone
Oct 1618:45
Sassuolo
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Serie AItaly
Venezia
Oct 1713:00
Napoli
Early projection
15.2619%
X5.2619%
21.6162%
Serie AItaly
Bologna
Oct 1716:00
Inter
Early projection
14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%
Serie AItaly
AS Roma
Oct 1718:45
Genoa
Early projection
11.4370%
X6.2516%
27.1414%
Serie AItaly
Udinese
Oct 1810:30
Lecce
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%

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