Based on the data, Frosinone is predicted to win, supported by their superior form, league position, and H2H record, though the market odds are close.
Form Analysis: Frosinone is on a 5-game unbeaten streak (WWWDW) with 64 goals for and 32 against, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Carrarese is on a 4-game unbeaten streak (WWWDL) with 44 goals for and 43 against, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Frosinone has better attacking metrics and a stronger defensive record over the season.
Key Factors: 1. Frosinone's higher league standing (2nd vs 9th) and 26-point advantage indicate superior season performance. 2. H2H history shows Frosinone with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings, giving them a psychological edge. 3. API-Football model strongly favors Frosinone with 45% home win probability and predicted winner as Frosinone, though market odds are balanced.
Conclusion: Frosinone's consistent form, league position, and H2H dominance suggest they are more likely to secure a win, despite the close market odds indicating a competitive match.
