Cesena vs Padova

ResultSerie B

Serie B
Serie B
8 May 2026
18:30
Cesena

Cesena

🏠Home
Final Score
3-4
Predicted: 1-0
WINNER
Padova

Padova

✈️Away
Odds
11.50
X4.75
25.00
🏟️Stadium
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
Win Probabilities
Home47%
Draw27%
Away26%
🔮

Oracle's Vision

The Oracle sees Cesena's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Padova, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Serie B fixture between Cesena and Padova using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Cesena a 47% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Padova a 26% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

Cesena 47%Draw 27%Padova 26%Predicted Score: 1-0BTTS: 40%
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

Cesena

HOME
Strengths
  • Home advantage
  • Key player C. Shpendi (10 goals)
  • Defensive resilience (2 clean sheets in last 5)
Weaknesses
  • Poor recent form (DDLLD)
  • Low scoring (0.2 goals per game last 5)
  • Failed to score in 4 of last 5 games

Padova

AWAY
Strengths
  • Better recent form (WLWWL)
  • Strong defense (3 clean sheets in last 5)
  • Key player M. Bortolussi (10 goals)
Weaknesses
  • Lower league position (13th)
  • Away form not specified
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games

Key Player Battles

⚔️C. Shpendi vs Padova defense: Cesena's top scorer vs a defense that kept 3 clean sheets in last 5.
⚔️M. Bortolussi vs Cesena defense: Padova's main threat vs a Cesena defense that conceded 1 goal per game recently.
⚔️R. Ciervo vs Padova midfield: Cesena's creative midfielder vs Padova's 3-man midfield.

Combined Analysis

Multi-source prediction consensus

Low Agreement

Models disagree significantly. Suggests draw (36%) but proceed with caution.

Cesena Win29%
Draw36%
Padova Win36%

Key Insights

Reasoning behind the prediction

AI Analysis
Medium Confidence

The predicted outcome is a Cesena win, as bookmaker odds imply a 60% home win probability, and despite the API model favoring Padova, the odds are the primary signal.

Form Analysis: Cesena's recent form is poor (DDLLD) with only 0.2 goals scored per game, while Padova has a better form (WLWWL) with 0.6 goals scored and 3 clean sheets. However, Cesena's home advantage and the odds suggest they can turn it around.

Key Factors: 1) Bookmaker odds heavily favor Cesena (60% home win). 2) Padova's away form is not specified, but their overall form is better. 3) Head-to-head is balanced (1 Cesena win, 3 draws, 2 Padova wins). 4) No significant injuries reported.

Conclusion: Despite Cesena's poor form, the odds are the most reliable predictor. Cesena is expected to win a low-scoring match, likely 1-0 or 2-1.

Statistical Context
Padova

Combo Double chance : draw or Padova and -3.5 goals

Team Comparison

CesenaPadova
Strength
40%
59%
Attacking Potential
25%
75%
Defensive Potential
38%
63%
Poisson Distribution
50%
50%
H2H Strength
50%
50%
Goals H2H
50%
50%
Wins the Game
40%
59%

Cesena vs PadovaMatch Analysis

The Oracle sees Cesena's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Padova, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

The predicted outcome is a Cesena win, as bookmaker odds imply a 60% home win probability, and despite the API model favoring Padova, the odds are the primary signal.

Form Analysis: Cesena's recent form is poor (DDLLD) with only 0.2 goals scored per game, while Padova has a better form (WLWWL) with 0.6 goals scored and 3 clean sheets. However, Cesena's home advantage and the odds suggest they can turn it around.

Key Factors: 1) Bookmaker odds heavily favor Cesena (60% home win). 2) Padova's away form is not specified, but their overall form is better. 3) Head-to-head is balanced (1 Cesena win, 3 draws, 2 Padova wins). 4) No significant injuries reported.

Conclusion: Despite Cesena's poor form, the odds are the most reliable predictor. Cesena is expected to win a low-scoring match, likely 1-0 or 2-1.

Win Probabilities: Cesena: 47% · Draw: 27% · Padova: 26%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 35% · Under 2.5: 65% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Cesena wins: 1 · Draws: 3 · Padova wins: 2

Form: Cesena: DLLDD · Padova: LWWLW

  • C. Shpendi vs Padova defense: Cesena's top scorer vs a defense that kept 3 clean sheets in last 5.
  • M. Bortolussi vs Cesena defense: Padova's main threat vs a Cesena defense that conceded 1 goal per game recently.
  • R. Ciervo vs Padova midfield: Cesena's creative midfielder vs Padova's 3-man midfield.