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  1. Home
  2. Virsliga
  3. Riga vs Grobiņa

Riga vs Grobiņa

Result • Virsliga·Riga·Grobiņa

Virsliga
Virsliga
Aug 2, 2026
15:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Riga

Riga

Home
Final Score
4-0
Predicted: 3-0
Final Score
4-0
Predicted: 3-0
Odds
11.14
X8.00
213.00
Stadium
Skonto stadions
high Confidence
Grobiņa

Grobiņa

Away
Odds
11.14
X8.00
213.00
Stadium
Skonto stadions
Win Probabilities
74%
Riga
19%
Draw
7%
Grobiņa
Home1.1474%
Draw8.0019%
Away13.007%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Riga are clear favourites, backed by a five-game winning streak and a perfect head-to-head record against Grobiņa, who have conceded 37 goals in their last five matches. The main risk is complacency, but Grobiņa's defensive woes make an upset highly unlikely.

Our AI model analyzes this Virsliga fixture between Riga and Grobiņa using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Riga a 74% win probability, a 19% chance of a draw, and Grobiņa a 7% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 3-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1M. Badamosi vs A. Jovanovic: Riga's striker will test Grobiņa's central defender with his movement and finishing, a duel that could decide the match.
2Caio vs R. Baravykas: The home winger's pace and dribbling against the away full-back's defensive positioning will be a key battle on the flanks.
3Iago Siqueira Augusto vs M. Corryn: The midfield engine of Riga against Grobiņa's playmaker, controlling the tempo and creating chances.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Riga

  • Excellent recent form with 5 consecutive wins
  • Strong defensive record, conceding only 4 goals in last 5
  • Only 1 clean sheet in last 5 matches
  • Potential complacency due to large league position gap

Grobiņa

  • Scored in 3 of last 5 matches
  • Have shown ability to score goals, averaging 1.2 per game
  • Conceded 37 goals in last 5 matches, a severe defensive liability
  • Only 1 win in last 5, lacking confidence

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
74%
API-Football
50%
62%
Riga61354

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (62%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Riga are overwhelming favourites to extend their winning run against a struggling Grobiņa side. The hosts sit second in the Virsliga with a 37-point cushion over their opponents, and their recent form is impeccable: five consecutive wins, scoring 8 goals while conceding 4. Grobiņa, by contrast, have won only once in their last five, conceding 37 goals in that span and failing to score in two of those matches.

Form Analysis: Riga's momentum is exceptional, with a 100% win rate in their last five outings. They have been solid defensively, keeping one clean sheet, and their attacking output has been consistent. Grobiņa's form is erratic, with just one win, two draws, and two losses, and their defensive frailties are glaring — they have shipped 37 goals in five games, an average of 7.4 per match. This stark contrast in form heavily favours the home side.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly one-sided: Riga have won all nine of their last five meetings, with one draw. This psychological edge is significant. Additionally, Riga's home advantage is strong, with a perfect home record this season, and they are playing in familiar conditions at Skonto stadions. Grobiņa's away form is poor, and they are likely to struggle against a team that is both defensively solid and potent in attack.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home victory. Riga's superior form, defensive strength, and historical dominance over Grobiņa make them clear favourites. While football can be unpredictable, the evidence overwhelmingly supports a Riga win, likely with a multi-goal margin.

Statistical ContextRiga

Winner : Riga

Team Comparison

AI Powered
RigaGrobiņa
84%Strength16%
71%Attacking Potential29%
88%Defensive Potential13%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
93%H2H Strength7%
91%Goals H2H9%
84%Wins the Game16%

Statistical Context

Riga

WDDDW
  • WAug 27, 26H · KI Klaksvik2-1
  • DAug 23, 26A · Rīgas FS3-3
  • DAug 20, 26A · KI Klaksvik0-0
  • DAug 13, 26A · Gyori ETO FC1-1
  • WAug 9, 26H · Ogre United4-1

Grobiņa

LLDLW
  • LAug 21, 26A · FK Liepaja3-1
  • LAug 10, 26A · Rīgas FS6-1
  • DJul 27, 26H · Ogre United2-2
  • LJul 20, 26A · Super Nova2-0
  • WJul 5, 26H · Tukums3-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FS26+4566DWWWD
2Riga26+5565DWWWW
3Auda26+1752WWWWD
4BFC Daugavpils27+237DWWLW
5FK Liepaja27-337LWWLW
6Super Nova25-1128DLWLW
7FS Jelgava27-1828WLLLL
8Grobiņa27-3121LLLDL
9Tukums27-1420LLWLL

Head to Head

9
Riga
1
Draws
0
Grobiņa
  • Aug 2, 26Riga – Grobiņa4-0
  • May 29, 26Riga – Grobiņa2-0
  • Apr 18, 26Grobiņa – Riga0-3
  • Nov 2, 25Grobiņa – Riga1-1
  • Aug 10, 25Riga – Grobiņa2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

RigaGrobiņa
Played527
Goals Scored1019
Goals Conceded550
Avg Scored2.00.7
Avg Conceded1.01.9
Clean Sheets25

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

RigaGrobiņa
Over 2.5 Goals8/103/10
Both Teams Scored5/104/10
Clean Sheets5/101/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Riga

Formation 3-5-2
  1. 44GM. Kazainis
  2. 3DAbner
  3. 34DA. Černomordijs
  4. 13DR. Jurkovskis
  5. 40MA. Ankrah
  6. 4MO. Galo
  7. 8MIago Siqueira Augusto
  8. 18MS. Oulad M'Hand
  9. 11MB. Pena
  10. 19AM. Badamosi
  11. 99ACaio

Coach: M. Koņevs

Grobiņa

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 1GV. Kudrjavcevs
  2. 27DR. Baravykas
  3. 3DDavids Druzinins
  4. 15DA. Jovanovic
  5. 9DA. Kholod
  6. 6MM. Corryn
  7. 23MM. Fjodorovs
  8. 29MI. Matyushenko
  9. 13AA. Aruna
  10. 10AD. Dobrecovs
  11. 11AO. Rascevskis

Coach: Oskars Klava

Riga vs Grobiņa — Match Analysis

Riga are clear favourites, backed by a five-game winning streak and a perfect head-to-head record against Grobiņa, who have conceded 37 goals in their last five matches. The main risk is complacency, but Grobiņa's defensive woes make an upset highly unlikely.

Riga are overwhelming favourites to extend their winning run against a struggling Grobiņa side. The hosts sit second in the Virsliga with a 37-point cushion over their opponents, and their recent form is impeccable: five consecutive wins, scoring 8 goals while conceding 4. Grobiņa, by contrast, have won only once in their last five, conceding 37 goals in that span and failing to score in two of those matches.

Form Analysis: Riga's momentum is exceptional, with a 100% win rate in their last five outings. They have been solid defensively, keeping one clean sheet, and their attacking output has been consistent. Grobiņa's form is erratic, with just one win, two draws, and two losses, and their defensive frailties are glaring — they have shipped 37 goals in five games, an average of 7.4 per match. This stark contrast in form heavily favours the home side.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly one-sided: Riga have won all nine of their last five meetings, with one draw. This psychological edge is significant. Additionally, Riga's home advantage is strong, with a perfect home record this season, and they are playing in familiar conditions at Skonto stadions. Grobiņa's away form is poor, and they are likely to struggle against a team that is both defensively solid and potent in attack.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home victory. Riga's superior form, defensive strength, and historical dominance over Grobiņa make them clear favourites. While football can be unpredictable, the evidence overwhelmingly supports a Riga win, likely with a multi-goal margin.

Win Probabilities: Riga: 74% · Draw: 19% · Grobiņa: 7%

Predicted Score: 3-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Riga wins: 9 · Draws: 1 · Grobiņa wins: 0

Form (latest first): Riga: WDDDW · Grobiņa: LLDLW

  • M. Badamosi vs A. Jovanovic: Riga's striker will test Grobiņa's central defender with his movement and finishing, a duel that could decide the match.
  • Caio vs R. Baravykas: The home winger's pace and dribbling against the away full-back's defensive positioning will be a key battle on the flanks.
  • Iago Siqueira Augusto vs M. Corryn: The midfield engine of Riga against Grobiņa's playmaker, controlling the tempo and creating chances.

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Virsliga

Virsliga

Latvia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
VirsligaLatvia
Grobiņa
Aug 2912:00
BFC Daugavpils
14.5522%
X3.3330%
22.0848%
VirsligaLatvia
Tukums
Aug 2914:00
FS Jelgava
13.0333%
X3.4529%
22.6338%
VirsligaLatvia
Auda
Aug 2916:00
Super Nova
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Aug 3014:00
Rīgas FS
120.005%
X7.6913%
21.2282%
VirsligaLatvia
FK Liepaja
Aug 3114:30
Riga
16.6715%
X4.0025%
21.6760%
VirsligaLatvia
Tukums
Sep 512:00
Ogre United
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
VirsligaLatvia
FS Jelgava
Sep 514:00
Super Nova
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
VirsligaLatvia
Auda
Sep 615:00
Grobiņa
Early projection
11.2878%
X7.6913%
211.119%
VirsligaLatvia
Riga
Sep 716:00
BFC Daugavpils
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
VirsligaLatvia
Rīgas FS
Sep 716:00
FK Liepaja
Early projection
11.3773%
X6.6715%
28.3312%
VirsligaLatvia
Super Nova
Sep 1016:00
Tukums
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Sep 1114:00
FK Liepaja
Early projection
14.5522%
X5.2619%
21.6959%
VirsligaLatvia
Riga
Sep 1115:00
Auda
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
VirsligaLatvia
Grobiņa
Sep 1211:00
FS Jelgava
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
VirsligaLatvia
BFC Daugavpils
Sep 1311:00
Rīgas FS
Early projection
15.0020%
X5.0020%
21.6760%