Based on the data, Rīgas FS is predicted to win or draw, with a slight edge for an away win. The market probabilities are nearly equal, but the API-Football model strongly favors Rīgas FS or a draw, and statistical comparisons support Rīgas FS's superiority.
Form Analysis: Grobiņa's form is DWLW with 3 goals for and 3 against in the last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, and they are on a 1-draw streak. Rīgas FS's form is LWWW with 7 goals for and 2 against, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, and they are on a 1-loss streak. Rīgas FS has 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, indicating strong defense.
Key Factors: 1. API-Football model predicts Rīgas FS as the winner with 45% probability for away win and 45% for draw, and advises a double chance for draw or Rīgas FS. 2. API-Football team comparison shows Rīgas FS with higher form (56% vs 44%), attack (70% vs 30%), defense (60% vs 40%), and overall strength (66.8% vs 33.3%). 3. Standings show Rīgas FS in 3rd place with 9 points and +5 GD, compared to Grobiņa in 5th with 7 points and +0 GD.
Conclusion: The data indicates Rīgas FS has better form, statistical strength, and league position, making them the likely winner or a draw, with a slight adjustment from market probabilities to reflect the model's stronger support for Rīgas FS.
