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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven

Prediction • Eredivisie·Ajax·PSV Eindhoven

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
Sep 5, 2026
18:00
PREDICTED WINNER
Ajax

Ajax

Home
VS
VS
Odds
12.45
X3.98
22.61
Stadium
Johan Cruijff Arena
PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven

Away
Odds
12.45
X3.98
22.61
Stadium
Johan Cruijff Arena
Win Probabilities
40%
Ajax
26%
Draw
34%
PSV Eindhoven
Home2.4540%
Draw3.9826%
Away2.6134%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

This is a tight, evenly-matched contest with a slight edge to Ajax, who are unbeaten in five and have home advantage, but PSV's superior form and head-to-head record make them dangerous. The main risk is that Ajax's extensive injury list could destabilize their defense, allowing PSV to capitalize.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Ajax
/10
8.0PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
FormLatest first
WWWDD
Win Rate60%
PSV Eindhoven
FormLatest first
WWWDW
Win Rate80%
Momentum AdvantagePSV Eindhoven+2.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

M
Ko Itakura
7.9

Ko Itakura

Ajax

VS
Joey Veerman
8.3

Joey Veerman

PSV Eindhoven

13ATT24
100TEC100
44TAC43
13DEF23
0CRE34

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
6/10
Over 2.5 Goals
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1.2
Avg Scored
3.2
Defense
1/10
Clean Sheets
3/10
2.0
Avg Conceded
1.0
Match Flow
4/10
Scored First
10/10
2.1
Avg Cards
0.9
4.4
Avg Corners
5.1

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

15°
Overcast
Wind
5 km/h
Humidity
89%
Rain
1.1 mm
Tactical Impact

High humidity - may cause player fatigue

Ajax
Home

Ajax

Form
WD
Latest first
2
Pos
78
Pts
+2
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 2 matches)

Clean Sheets150%
Goal Diff+2
  • Unbeaten in last 5 matches
  • Solid defensive record (1.8 goals conceded per game)
  • Home advantage at Johan Cruijff Arena
V. Tsygankov
Inactive
Injured
Y. Regeer
Injury
Injured
D. Blind
Injury
Injured
J. Faberski
Knee Injury
Injured
M. ter Stegen
Hamstring Injury
Injured
A. van Axel Dongen
Thigh Injury
Injured
R. Bounida
Injury
Injured
A. Kaplan
Knee Injury
Injured
J. Sutalo
Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Ajax
Ajax
2Wins
4
Draws
PSV Eindhoven
4Wins
PSV Eindhoven
20%40%40%

Recent Matches

Last 10
May22026
AjaxAjax
2-2
Draw
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
Sep212025
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
2-2
Draw
AjaxAjax
Mar302025
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
0-2
Win
AjaxAjax
Nov22024
AjaxAjax
3-2
Win
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
Feb32024
AjaxAjax
1-1
Draw
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
Oct292023
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
5-2
Loss
AjaxAjax
Apr302023
AjaxAjax
1-1
Draw
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
Apr232023
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
3-0
Loss
AjaxAjax
Nov62022
AjaxAjax
1-2
Loss
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
Jul302022
AjaxAjax
3-5
Loss
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

Ajax 2 - 2 PSV Eindhoven

May 2, 2026

42% / 29% / 29%

Ajax4-3-3vs4-3-3PSV EindhovenPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven4-3-3
AjaxAjax4-3-3
PSV EindhovenBenchPSV Eindhoven7
AjaxBenchAjax7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Ajax

9Out

9 key players

PSV Eindhoven

5Out

2 key players

Ajax

Team

Ajax

Players Out

9(9 key)
V. Tsygankov

V. Tsygankov

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Y. Regeer

Y. Regeer

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Blind

D. Blind

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Faberski

J. Faberski

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

M. ter Stegen

M. ter Stegen

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. van Axel Dongen

A. van Axel Dongen

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

R. Bounida

R. Bounida

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Kaplan

A. Kaplan

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

J. Sutalo

J. Sutalo

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

PSV Eindhoven

Team

PSV Eindhoven

Players Out

5(2 key)
S. Dest

S. Dest

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
J. Veerman

J. Veerman

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
J. Schouten

J. Schouten

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

A. Plea

A. Plea

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Driouech

C. Driouech

MINOR
Injury:Knock

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-2 weeks

Eredivisie

League Statistics

Eredivisie • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
4400133+1012
2
PSV Eindhoven
PSV EindhovenAway
321094+57
3
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
321084+47
4
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
4211119+27
5
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
421187+17
6
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
320184+46
7
Excelsior
Excelsior
320173+46
8
Groningen
Groningen
4202910-16
9
Ajax
AjaxHome
211042+24
10
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
311134-14
11
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
41127704
12
Twente
Twente
210132+13
13
Telstar
Telstar
210134-13
14
PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
410348-43
15
Utrecht
Utrecht
301259-41
16
Willem II
Willem II
200228-60
17
ADO Den Haag
ADO Den Haag
300329-70
18
Cambuur
Cambuur
3003312-90
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Ajax

Confidence

Win Probabilities

40%Ajax
26%Draw
34%PSV Eindhoven

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
Odds 1·X·22.45 · 3.98 · 2.61
KickoffSat, Sep 5 · 18:00
StadiumJohan Cruijff Arena
League StatsEredivisie

Statistical Context

Ajax

WWWDD
  • WAug 30, 26A · Telstar0-4
  • WAug 27, 26H · FC Sion5-3
  • WAug 20, 26A · FC Sion2-4
  • DAug 16, 26H · Heerenveen2-2
  • DAug 13, 26A · Shelbourne2-2

PSV Eindhoven

WWWDW
  • WAug 30, 26A · Utrecht1-6
  • WAug 23, 26H · Groningen5-1
  • WAug 15, 26A · Excelsior1-2
  • DAug 8, 26H · Fortuna Sittard2-2
  • WMay 17, 26H · Twente5-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1AZ Alkmaar4+1012WWWW
2PSV Eindhoven3+57WWD
3Feyenoord3+47WDW
4GO Ahead Eagles4+27LWDW
5Fortuna Sittard4+17WLWD
6NEC Nijmegen3+46WWL
7Excelsior3+46WLW
8Groningen4-16LLWW
9Ajax2+24DW
10Heerenveen3-14LDW

Head to Head

2
Ajax
4
Draws
4
PSV Eindhoven
  • May 2, 26Ajax – PSV Eindhoven2-2
  • Sep 21, 25PSV Eindhoven – Ajax2-2
  • Mar 30, 25PSV Eindhoven – Ajax0-2
  • Nov 2, 24Ajax – PSV Eindhoven3-2
  • Feb 3, 24Ajax – PSV Eindhoven1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

AjaxPSV Eindhoven
Played2—
Goals Scored4—
Goals Conceded2—
Avg Scored2.0—
Avg Conceded1.0—
Clean Sheets1—

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AjaxPSV Eindhoven
Over 2.5 Goals6/107/10
Both Teams Scored6/107/10
Clean Sheets1/103/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Ajax

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 22GJ. Heerkens
  2. 15DY. Baas
  3. 30DA. Bouwman
  4. 12DCaio Henrique
  5. 3DA. Gaaei
  6. 8MMohamed Abdalla
  7. 8MJ. Brandt
  8. 18MD. Klaassen
  9. 10AO. Gloukh
  10. 99AT. Arokodare
  11. 23AS. Berghuis

Coach: J. Heitinga

PSV Eindhoven

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 32GM. Kovář
  2. 6DR. Flamingo
  3. 3DYarek Gasiorowski
  4. 2DL. Geertruida
  5. 17DMauro Júnior
  6. 31MN. Fernandez
  7. 18MF. Kostić
  8. 21MS. Mijnans
  9. 19AE. Bajraktarevic
  10. 37AA. Bouhamdi
  11. 27AD. Man

Coach: P. Bosz

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven — Expert Prediction & Analysis

This is a tight, evenly-matched contest with a slight edge to Ajax, who are unbeaten in five and have home advantage, but PSV's superior form and head-to-head record make them dangerous. The main risk is that Ajax's extensive injury list could destabilize their defense, allowing PSV to capitalize.

This Eredivisie clash between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven is a tightly contested affair, with the bookmaker-implied probabilities showing a slight edge for the home side. Ajax are given a 39% chance, PSV 37%, and the draw 24%.…

Win Probabilities: Ajax: 40% · Draw: 26% · PSV Eindhoven: 34%

H2H: Ajax wins: 2 · Draws: 4 · PSV Eindhoven wins: 4

Form (latest first): Ajax: WWWDD · PSV Eindhoven: WWWDW

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
Sep 418:00
PEC Zwolle
12.3842%
X3.4529%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
NEC Nijmegen
Sep 514:30
Feyenoord
13.3330%
X3.3330%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Utrecht
Sep 516:45
GO Ahead Eagles
12.3343%
X3.4529%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Willem II
Sep 519:00
Excelsior
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Groningen
Sep 610:15
Twente
13.3330%
X3.7027%
22.3343%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Heerenveen
Sep 612:30
AZ Alkmaar
14.7621%
X3.5728%
21.9651%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Telstar
Sep 612:30
Cambuur
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Sep 614:45
Fortuna Sittard
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
NEC Nijmegen
Sep 816:45
Excelsior
11.5664%
X5.0020%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Twente
Sep 916:45
Telstar
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
AZ Alkmaar
Sep 1118:00
Willem II
Early projection
11.4768%
X5.8817%
26.6715%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Twente
Sep 1214:30
ADO Den Haag
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
Sep 1216:45
Groningen
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Sep 1218:00
Ajax
Early projection
13.2331%
X3.8526%
22.3343%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Cambuur
Sep 1219:00
NEC Nijmegen
Early projection
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access