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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Primeira Liga
  3. AVS vs FC Porto

AVS vs FC Porto

Result • Primeira Liga·AVS·FC Porto

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
May 10, 2026
17:00
high Confidence
WINNER
AVS

AVS

Home
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 0-2
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 0-2
Odds
112.00
X6.25
21.22
Stadium
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves
high Confidence
FC Porto

FC Porto

Away
Odds
112.00
X6.25
21.22
Stadium
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Win Probabilities
8%
AVS
22%
Draw
70%
FC Porto
Home12.008%
Draw6.2522%
Away1.2270%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a dominant tide from the north, where the Dragons feast on the weak. AVS's fortress crumbles under Porto's relentless assault.

Our AI model analyzes this Primeira Liga fixture between AVS and FC Porto using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns AVS a 8% win probability, a 22% chance of a draw, and FC Porto a 70% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-2. Both teams to score probability: 35%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 35%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Roni
    23'
    Goal: RoniAVS
  2. Substitution: T. GallettoOut: Mateus Pivo
    49'
    Substitution: T. GallettoAVS · Out: Mateus Pivo
  3. 53'
    Goal: D. GulFC Porto · Assist: B. Sainz
    Goal: D. GulAssist: B. Sainz
  4. Goal: RoniAssist: G. Neiva
    58'
    Goal: RoniAVS · Assist: G. Neiva
  5. Yellow Card: Roni
    59'
    Yellow Card: RoniAVS
  6. 59'
    Substitution: V. FroholdtFC Porto · Out: S. Fofana
    Substitution: V. FroholdtOut: S. Fofana
  7. 59'
    Substitution: William GomesFC Porto · Out: B. Sainz
    Substitution: William GomesOut: B. Sainz
  8. 61'
    Yellow Card: D. PrpicFC Porto
    Yellow Card: D. Prpic
  9. 68'
    Substitution: O. PietuszewskiFC Porto · Out: Pepe
    Substitution: O. PietuszewskiOut: Pepe
  10. 68'
    Substitution: T. SilvaFC Porto · Out: A. Varela
    Substitution: T. SilvaOut: A. Varela
  11. Substitution: TomaneOut: G. Neiva
    68'
    Substitution: TomaneAVS · Out: G. Neiva
  12. 76'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideFC Porto · William Gomes
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideWilliam Gomes
  13. Substitution: A. SantosOut: G. Mendonca
    77'
    Substitution: A. SantosAVS · Out: G. Mendonca
  14. Goal: A. SantosAssist: T. Akinsola
    80'
    Goal: A. SantosAVS · Assist: T. Akinsola
  15. 81'
    Substitution: G. VeigaFC Porto · Out: R. Mora
    Substitution: G. VeigaOut: R. Mora
  16. Yellow Card: Pedro Lima
    85'
    Yellow Card: Pedro LimaAVS
  17. 90+2'
    Yellow Card: D. PrpicFC Porto
    Yellow Card: D. Prpic
  18. 90+2'
    Red Card: D. PrpicFC Porto
    Red Card: D. Prpic
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Samu vs AVS defense: Porto's top scorer (12 goals) will test AVS's backline, which has been vulnerable.
2William vs AVS midfield: William's 8 goals and creativity will be key in breaking down AVS's defensive block.
3Borja Sainz vs AVS full-backs: Sainz's 3 goals and 2 assists provide width and crossing threat.
Strengths · Weaknesses

AVS

  • Recent unbeaten streak of 4 matches
  • Decent attacking output (1.2 goals per game)
  • Poor defense (1.6 goals conceded per game)
  • No clean sheets in last 5 matches

FC Porto

  • Excellent form (4 wins in last 5)
  • Strong defense (3 clean sheets, 0.4 goals conceded per game)
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • One key player doubtful (G. Veiga)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
70%
API-Football
50%
60%
FC Porto43660

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (60%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

FC Porto is the overwhelming favorite to win against AVS, with bookmaker-implied probability of 77% and strong support from statistical models.

Form Analysis: FC Porto is in excellent form with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, while AVS has 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss. Porto's defense has been outstanding with 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding only 0.4 goals per match. AVS has conceded 1.6 goals per game and has no clean sheets in that period.

Key Factors: The league standings show a massive gap: FC Porto is 1st with 85 points and +49 GD, while AVS is 18th with 17 points and -42 GD. Head-to-head history is one-sided: FC Porto has won all 3 previous meetings. Additionally, FC Porto's attack (63% rating) and defense (67%) dominate AVS's corresponding stats (38% and 33%).

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable FC Porto victory. AVS's relegation-threatened status and poor defensive record make it unlikely they can contain Porto's attack, led by top scorer Samu (12 goals).

Statistical ContextFC Porto

Winner : FC Porto

Team Comparison

AI Powered
AVSFC Porto
28%Strength72%
38%Attacking Potential63%
33%Defensive Potential67%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength100%
50%Goals H2H100%
28%Wins the Game72%
Head-to-head →Injuries · AVSInjuries · FC PortoLive scores →

Statistical Context

AVS

DLDWD
  • DSep 13, 26H · Farense0-0
  • LSep 7, 26A · Lusitânia Lourosa2-1
  • DMay 16, 26A · Moreirense0-0
  • WMay 2, 26A · Nacional1-2
  • DApr 26, 26H · Sporting CP1-1

FC Porto

WWLWW
  • WSep 20, 26H · Benfica3-1
  • WSep 12, 26A · Casa Pia1-4
  • LSep 8, 26H · Manchester City0-2
  • WSep 4, 26H · Moreirense2-1
  • WAug 29, 26A · Academico Viseu0-3

Head to Head

3
AVS
0
Draws
0
FC Porto
  • Dec 29, 25FC Porto – AVS2-0
  • Mar 15, 25FC Porto – AVS2-0
  • Oct 28, 24AVS – FC Porto0-5

Season Statistics — 2025 · 2026

AVSFC Porto
Played336
Goals Scored2715
Goals Conceded672
Avg Scored0.82.5
Avg Conceded2.00.3
Clean Sheets44

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AVSFC Porto
Over 2.5 Goals—5/10
Both Teams Scored—4/10
Clean Sheets—5/10

AVS vs FC Porto — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a dominant tide from the north, where the Dragons feast on the weak. AVS's fortress crumbles under Porto's relentless assault.

FC Porto is the overwhelming favorite to win against AVS, with bookmaker-implied probability of 77% and strong support from statistical models.

Form Analysis: FC Porto is in excellent form with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, while AVS has 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss. Porto's defense has been outstanding with 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding only 0.4 goals per match. AVS has conceded 1.6 goals per game and has no clean sheets in that period.

Key Factors: The league standings show a massive gap: FC Porto is 1st with 85 points and +49 GD, while AVS is 18th with 17 points and -42 GD. Head-to-head history is one-sided: FC Porto has won all 3 previous meetings. Additionally, FC Porto's attack (63% rating) and defense (67%) dominate AVS's corresponding stats (38% and 33%).

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable FC Porto victory. AVS's relegation-threatened status and poor defensive record make it unlikely they can contain Porto's attack, led by top scorer Samu (12 goals).

Win Probabilities: AVS: 8% · Draw: 22% · FC Porto: 70%

Predicted Score: 0-2 (20.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 35%

H2H: AVS wins: 3 · Draws: 0 · FC Porto wins: 0

Form (latest first): AVS: DLDWD · FC Porto: WWLWW

  • Samu vs AVS defense: Porto's top scorer (12 goals) will test AVS's backline, which has been vulnerable.
  • William vs AVS midfield: William's 8 goals and creativity will be key in breaking down AVS's defensive block.
  • Borja Sainz vs AVS full-backs: Sainz's 3 goals and 2 assists provide width and crossing threat.

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Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga

Portugal9 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primeira LigaPortugal
Moreirense
Oct 917:45
GIL Vicente
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.7027%
22.7037%
Primeira LigaPortugal
SC Braga
Oct 919:15
Sporting CP
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Casa Pia
Oct 1014:30
Santa Clara
Early projection
112.508%
X7.6913%
21.2779%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Maritimo
Oct 1017:00
FC Porto
Early projection
18.3312%
X6.2516%
21.3972%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Academico Viseu
Oct 1019:30
Estoril
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.0020%
25.0020%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Rio Ave
Oct 1114:30
Nacional
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Benfica
Oct 1117:00
Vitória SC
Early projection
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Arouca
Oct 1119:30
Estrela
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.7621%
23.8526%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Famalicao
Oct 1219:15
Alverca
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%

Betting Tips

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