GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes

Result • Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
18 Apr 2026
19:30
GIL Vicente

GIL Vicente

🏠Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 1-1
WINNER
Guimaraes

Guimaraes

✈️Away
Odds
12.05
X3.25
23.80
🏟️Stadium
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Win Probabilities
Home43%
Draw31%
⭐Away26%
🔮

Oracle's Vision

“The Oracle sees a clash where home soil whispers advantage, but history echoes a rival's shadow. Ancient wisdom reveals a tight contest, leaning towards the hosts avoiding defeat under sunny skies.”

Our AI model analyzes this Primeira Liga fixture between GIL Vicente and Guimaraes using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns GIL Vicente a 43% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Guimaraes a 26% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

GIL Vicente 43%Draw 31%Guimaraes 26%Predicted Score: 1-1BTTS: 45%
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

⚡

Analysis & Key Battles

GIL Vicente

HOME
✓
Strengths
  • Better recent form with higher goal-scoring average
  • Stronger defensive record in last 5 matches
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
⚠
Weaknesses
  • Draw-prone in recent matches (3 draws in last 5)
  • Head-to-head history unfavorable against Guimaraes
  • Limited clean sheets (1 in last 5)

Guimaraes

AWAY
✓
Strengths
  • Head-to-head dominance with 6 wins in last 5 meetings
  • Slightly better overall rating in API comparison (50.5% vs 49.5%)
  • Recent draw streak indicates resilience
⚠
Weaknesses
  • Poor recent form with 3 losses in last 5 matches
  • Offensive struggles, failing to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Lower goal-scoring average and higher goals conceded

Key Player Battles

⚔️Pablo vs Guimaraes defense: Pablo's goal-scoring ability (8 goals) will test Guimaraes' defensive organization, which has conceded an average of 1.6 goals recently.
⚔️Luís Esteves vs Guimaraes midfield: Esteves' playmaking (3 goals, 2 assists) could exploit Guimaraes' midfield in their 4-2-3-1 setup, given their recent form issues.
⚔️Guimaraes attackers vs GIL Vicente defense: Guimaraes' offensive players, despite recent struggles, face a GIL Vicente defense that has allowed 1.4 goals on average, creating a key battle for scoring opportunities.

Combined Analysis

Multi-source prediction consensus

High Agreement

Strong consensus for home win (39%). Both models highly confident.

GIL Vicente Win39%
Draw33%
Guimaraes Win28%

Key Insights

Reasoning behind the prediction

AI Analysis
High Confidence

Based on the data, GIL Vicente is predicted to win or draw, with a slight edge for a home win, aligning closely with market probabilities.

Form Analysis: GIL Vicente has better recent form (DWLDD vs DWLLL), scoring more goals on average (1.8 vs 1.4) and conceding fewer (1.4 vs 1.6). Guimaraes failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games, indicating offensive struggles.

Key Factors: 1) GIL Vicente's superior form and home advantage (rating 0.55) support a slight edge. 2) Head-to-head history favors Guimaraes (6 wins vs 3), but recent data shows GIL Vicente's stronger current performance. 3) No significant injuries for either team, minimizing disruption.

Conclusion: The data suggests GIL Vicente is more likely to avoid defeat, with a home win or draw as the most probable outcomes, consistent with market and model predictions.

Statistical Context
GIL Vicente

Double chance : GIL Vicente or draw

Team Comparison

GIL VicenteGuimaraes
Strength
49%
50%
Attacking Potential
56%
44%
Defensive Potential
53%
47%
Poisson Distribution
50%
50%
H2H Strength
29%
71%
Goals H2H
20%
80%
Wins the Game
49%
50%

GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a clash where home soil whispers advantage, but history echoes a rival's shadow. Ancient wisdom reveals a tight contest, leaning towards the hosts avoiding defeat under sunny skies.

Based on the data, GIL Vicente is predicted to win or draw, with a slight edge for a home win, aligning closely with market probabilities.

Form Analysis: GIL Vicente has better recent form (DWLDD vs DWLLL), scoring more goals on average (1.8 vs 1.4) and conceding fewer (1.4 vs 1.6). Guimaraes failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games, indicating offensive struggles.

Key Factors: 1) GIL Vicente's superior form and home advantage (rating 0.55) support a slight edge. 2) Head-to-head history favors Guimaraes (6 wins vs 3), but recent data shows GIL Vicente's stronger current performance. 3) No significant injuries for either team, minimizing disruption.

Conclusion: The data suggests GIL Vicente is more likely to avoid defeat, with a home win or draw as the most probable outcomes, consistent with market and model predictions.

Win Probabilities: GIL Vicente: 43% · Draw: 31% · Guimaraes: 26%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: GIL Vicente wins: 6 · Draws: 1 · Guimaraes wins: 3

Form: GIL Vicente: DDLWD · Guimaraes: LLLWD

  • Pablo vs Guimaraes defense: Pablo's goal-scoring ability (8 goals) will test Guimaraes' defensive organization, which has conceded an average of 1.6 goals recently.
  • Luís Esteves vs Guimaraes midfield: Esteves' playmaking (3 goals, 2 assists) could exploit Guimaraes' midfield in their 4-2-3-1 setup, given their recent form issues.
  • Guimaraes attackers vs GIL Vicente defense: Guimaraes' offensive players, despite recent struggles, face a GIL Vicente defense that has allowed 1.4 goals on average, creating a key battle for scoring opportunities.

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