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  1. Home
  2. Premiership
  3. Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock

Result • Premiership·Aberdeen·Kilmarnock

Premiership
Premiership
Sep 5, 2026
14:00
medium Confidence
DRAW
Aberdeen

Aberdeen

Home
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.78
X3.60
24.00
Stadium
Pittodrie Stadium
medium Confidence
DRAW
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Away
Odds
11.78
X3.60
24.00
Stadium
Pittodrie Stadium
Win Probabilities
52%
Aberdeen
29%
Draw
19%
Kilmarnock
Home1.7852%
Draw3.6029%
Away4.0019%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Aberdeen are clear favourites, backed by a strong head-to-head record and Kilmarnock's winless start. The main risk is Aberdeen's recent scoring struggles, which could keep the match tight.

Our AI model analyzes this Premiership fixture between Aberdeen and Kilmarnock using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Aberdeen a 52% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Kilmarnock a 19% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 67%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 67%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: Christopher Cadden
    36'
    Yellow Card: Christopher CaddenAberdeen
  2. 38'
    Yellow Card: Aaron TshibolaKilmarnock
    Yellow Card: Aaron Tshibola
  3. 43'
    Yellow Card: Tom LoweryKilmarnock
    Yellow Card: Tom Lowery
  4. Substitution: Toyosi OlusanyaOut: Kevin Nisbet
    45'
    Substitution: Toyosi OlusanyaAberdeen · Out: Kevin Nisbet
  5. Substitution: Ayoub MoulouaOut: M. Ntelo
    45'
    Substitution: Ayoub MoulouaAberdeen · Out: M. Ntelo
  6. Substitution: Mats KnoesterOut: Tony Yogane
    45'
    Substitution: Mats KnoesterAberdeen · Out: Tony Yogane
  7. 52'
    Yellow Card: N. McCannKilmarnock
    Yellow Card: N. McCann
  8. Yellow Card: Ayoub Mouloua
    52'
    Yellow Card: Ayoub MoulouaAberdeen
  9. Yellow Card: Mats Knoester
    62'
    Yellow Card: Mats KnoesterAberdeen
  10. 62'
    Substitution: Rory McKenzieKilmarnock · Out: Djenairo Daniels
    Substitution: Rory McKenzieOut: Djenairo Daniels
  11. Substitution: Findlay MarshallOut: Lewis Smith
    62'
    Substitution: Findlay MarshallAberdeen · Out: Lewis Smith
  12. Substitution: Gavin MolloyOut: Nesta Guinness-Walker
    74'
    Substitution: Gavin MolloyAberdeen · Out: Nesta Guinness-Walker
  13. Yellow Card: Lewis Mayo
    75'
    Yellow Card: Lewis MayoAberdeen
  14. 76'
    Substitution: Tyreece John-JulesKilmarnock · Out: Erik Ring
    Substitution: Tyreece John-JulesOut: Erik Ring
  15. 84'
    Substitution: Mark O'HaraKilmarnock · Out: Greg Kiltie
    Substitution: Mark O'HaraOut: Greg Kiltie
  16. Yellow Card: Stuart Armstrong
    88'
    Yellow Card: Stuart ArmstrongAberdeen
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Strengths · Weaknesses

Aberdeen

  • Solid defensive record, conceding only 1.4 goals per game on average
  • Strong head-to-head dominance over Kilmarnock
  • Recent poor form with two consecutive losses
  • Struggling to score, failing to find the net in three of last five matches

Kilmarnock

  • Averaging 1.4 goals scored per game, showing some attacking threat
  • Have players capable of scoring, as seen in their four goals so far
  • Terrible defensive record, conceding 13 goals in four matches
  • Winless streak of four games, with zero points

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
52%
API-Football
45%
49%
Aberdeen493715

Moderate agreement on home win (49%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Aberdeen enter this Premiership clash as the clear favourites, with the bookmaker odds and the statistical model both pointing to a home victory. Despite a recent dip in form, Aberdeen's superior league position, stronger head-to-head record, and better defensive solidity give them a decisive edge over a Kilmarnock side that has lost all four of their opening matches.

Form Analysis: Aberdeen have struggled recently, losing two consecutive matches and failing to score in three of their last five games. However, they have shown resilience with a win in that stretch and have conceded an average of just 1.4 goals per game. Kilmarnock, on the other hand, are in dire form, having lost all four of their league games, conceding 13 goals while scoring only four. Their defensive fragility is a major concern, and they have yet to keep a clean sheet this season.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Aberdeen, who have won six of the last ten meetings. Kilmarnock's away form is poor, and they are rooted to the bottom of the table with zero points. Aberdeen's home advantage at Pittodrie, combined with Kilmarnock's leaky defence, should prove decisive.

Conclusion: All data points to a home win. Aberdeen's superior quality and Kilmarnock's defensive woes make an away upset highly unlikely. Expect Aberdeen to control the game and secure a much-needed three points.

Statistical ContextAberdeen

Combo Double chance : Aberdeen or draw and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
AberdeenKilmarnock
58%Strength41%
33%Attacking Potential67%
67%Defensive Potential33%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
80%H2H Strength20%
56%Goals H2H44%
58%Wins the Game41%
Head-to-head →Injuries · AberdeenInjuries · KilmarnockLive scores →

Statistical Context

Aberdeen

LDWLL
  • LOct 11, 26H · ST Johnstone0-1
  • DSep 19, 26A · Hibernian1-1
  • WSep 15, 26A · Motherwell0-4
  • LSep 2, 26A · Celtic3-0
  • LAug 30, 26H · Rangers0-1

Kilmarnock

LDWLL
  • LOct 10, 26A · Rangers3-1
  • DSep 19, 26H · Heart Of Midlothian1-1
  • WSep 15, 26A · Hibernian0-1
  • LSep 2, 26H · ST Mirren0-1
  • LAug 29, 26H · Dundee Utd0-4

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7ST Mirren8-610LLLLW
8Aberdeen8-28LDWDL
9Motherwell8-48LLLLW
10Hibernian8-47LDLLL
11Falkirk8-46LDWDL
12Kilmarnock8-115LDWDL

Head to Head

6
Aberdeen
0
Draws
4
Kilmarnock
  • Apr 25, 26Aberdeen – Kilmarnock1-0
  • Jan 31, 26Kilmarnock – Aberdeen3-0
  • Dec 14, 25Aberdeen – Kilmarnock2-1
  • Oct 29, 25Kilmarnock – Aberdeen0-1
  • Feb 22, 25Aberdeen – Kilmarnock1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

AberdeenKilmarnock
Played77
Goals Scored76
Goals Conceded815
Avg Scored1.00.9
Avg Conceded1.12.1
Clean Sheets22

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AberdeenKilmarnock
Over 2.5 Goals4/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock — Match Analysis

Aberdeen are clear favourites, backed by a strong head-to-head record and Kilmarnock's winless start. The main risk is Aberdeen's recent scoring struggles, which could keep the match tight.

Aberdeen enter this Premiership clash as the clear favourites, with the bookmaker odds and the statistical model both pointing to a home victory. Despite a recent dip in form, Aberdeen's superior league position, stronger head-to-head record, and better defensive solidity give them a decisive edge over a Kilmarnock side that has lost all four of their opening matches.

Form Analysis: Aberdeen have struggled recently, losing two consecutive matches and failing to score in three of their last five games. However, they have shown resilience with a win in that stretch and have conceded an average of just 1.4 goals per game. Kilmarnock, on the other hand, are in dire form, having lost all four of their league games, conceding 13 goals while scoring only four. Their defensive fragility is a major concern, and they have yet to keep a clean sheet this season.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Aberdeen, who have won six of the last ten meetings. Kilmarnock's away form is poor, and they are rooted to the bottom of the table with zero points. Aberdeen's home advantage at Pittodrie, combined with Kilmarnock's leaky defence, should prove decisive.

Conclusion: All data points to a home win. Aberdeen's superior quality and Kilmarnock's defensive woes make an away upset highly unlikely. Expect Aberdeen to control the game and secure a much-needed three points.

Win Probabilities: Aberdeen: 52% · Draw: 29% · Kilmarnock: 19%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 66% · Under 2.5: 34% · BTTS: 67%

H2H: Aberdeen wins: 6 · Draws: 0 · Kilmarnock wins: 4

Form (latest first): Aberdeen: LDWLL · Kilmarnock: LDWLL

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Premiership

Premiership

Scotland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
PremiershipScotland
Hibernian
Oct 1714:00
Falkirk
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
PremiershipScotland
Kilmarnock
Oct 1714:00
Motherwell
14.0025%
X3.1332%
22.3343%
PremiershipScotland
Aberdeen
Oct 1714:00
ST Mirren
12.0050%
X3.3330%
25.0020%
PremiershipScotland
ST Johnstone
Oct 1714:00
Dundee Utd
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee
Oct 1719:00
Rangers
19.0911%
X4.5522%
21.4967%
PremiershipScotland
Celtic
Oct 1814:00
Heart Of Midlothian
11.5963%
X4.3523%
27.1414%
PremiershipScotland
ST Mirren
Oct 2414:00
Dundee
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
PremiershipScotland
Rangers
Oct 2414:00
ST Johnstone
Early projection
11.3574%
X6.6715%
29.0911%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee Utd
Oct 2414:00
Aberdeen
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
PremiershipScotland
Falkirk
Oct 2414:00
Kilmarnock
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
PremiershipScotland
Hibernian
Oct 2512:00
Celtic
Early projection
17.1414%
X5.8817%
21.4569%
PremiershipScotland
Motherwell
Oct 2514:00
Heart Of Midlothian
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
PremiershipScotland
Celtic
Oct 2819:45
Dundee Utd
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.6913%
210.0010%
PremiershipScotland
ST Mirren
Oct 2819:45
Hibernian
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
PremiershipScotland
Aberdeen
Oct 2819:45
Falkirk
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%

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